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2024 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

7. This Is Not the End: How the Appeal of Populism Changed Due to the COVID-19 Pandemic

Authors : Michele Roccato, Nicoletta Cavazza, Pasquale Colloca

Published in: Political Psychology Perspectives on Populism

Publisher: Springer Nature Switzerland

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Abstract

When the COVID-19 pandemic engulfed the world, the contextual conditions in which the rise of populism took place deeply and rapidly changed. Did this mark a turning point in the trend of populism? In this chapter, we attempt to answer this question mainly based on a longitudinal research program we undertook soon after the pandemic onset (taking advantage of a pre-pandemic wave) to monitor Italian public opinion longitudinally. The pandemic triggered a widespread sense of vulnerability and psychological distress, followed by the need to regain control over one’s life. We documented two ways in which Italians have coped with this and that are linked to the populist trend. On the one hand, citizens relied on institutional authorities involved in crisis management (the typical “rally effect”), and, on the other hand, we observed an enhanced desire for strong leaders who can individuate solutions and effectively enact quick actions. In relation to these trends, our research program documented that the pandemic led to a break in the rise of populist votes in Italy. However, populist orientations remained unchanged. Thus, it is plausible that populism had a temporary halt, but it is likely to rebound to higher levels when the health and economic situations will return to pre-pandemic levels.

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Footnotes
1
Beyond the authors of this chapter, the CoCo research team includes Silvia Russo (Università di Torino). More details are available at the project website (https://​www.​dippsicologia.​unito.​it/​do/​progetti.​pl/​Show?​_​id=​9fxo).
 
2
Once again, trust in these institutions was assessed via the standard European Social Survey 10-category items.
 
3
All of these variables were assessed using the standard European Social Survey items.
 
4
At first glance, this Nagelkerke pseudo R2 may seem small. However, in explanatory research genuine explanations, even with small determination coefficients, are preferable to non-genuine explanations, where high determination coefficients are a consequence of an excessive semantic proximity between causes and effects (Von Wright 1971). In this case, the high semantic autonomy between the explanans (participants’ anxiety) and the explanandum (the vote they have cast) argues for of the authenticity of this explanation.
 
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Metadata
Title
This Is Not the End: How the Appeal of Populism Changed Due to the COVID-19 Pandemic
Authors
Michele Roccato
Nicoletta Cavazza
Pasquale Colloca
Copyright Year
2024
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-44073-1_7