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Erschienen in: Transportation 3/2020

25.03.2020

A critical appraisal of the use of simple time-money trade-offs for appraisal value of travel time measures

verfasst von: Stephane Hess, Andrew Daly, Maria Börjesson

Erschienen in: Transportation | Ausgabe 3/2020

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Abstract

Stated choice surveys have established themselves as the preferred approach for value of travel time elicitation with the help of choice models. However, major differences exist in the approach used across regions and contexts. In Europe (particularly Northern Europe), value of travel time is often estimated in large national studies, which continue to rely extensively on simple time-money trade-offs. On the other hand, studies in Australia and South America in particular tend to have a more local focus and follow the notion that more complex setups are preferable. The European studies however are also those where the results are actually used in cost–benefit analysis and data from European studies have formed a testbed for many advanced model specifications. The present paper aims to provide a critical appraisal of the use of simple time-money trade-offs, drawing from our experience in recent European studies. We highlight a number of issues, in terms of differences in valuations across formats as well as a lack of clarity on how respondents actually interpret travel time in these simple time-money trade-offs.

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Fußnoten
1
For instance, the differences in the VTT across modes arise from differences in the direct utility of time in the reference trip, due to differences in comfort and productivity of the travel time. However, the modal differences in the VTT arise also from self-selection, i.e. travellers with high resource value of time will tend to choose faster but more expensive modes, or those in which the travel time can be used for other purposes.
 
2
See Hess et al. (2018) for recent discussions on consistency with utility maximisation.
 
3
This is of course different from saying that web-based surveys themselves have lower burden than paper-based surveys, and the work on respondent burden (Axhausen et al. 2015) suggests this is indeed not the case.
 
4
Although less studied in the literature, it is conceivable that there is also an impact on the statistical accuracy of estimates, i.e. standard errors.
 
5
A relevant question is what “long-term” means in different policy contexts. In the context of infrastructure investment, the time horizon of many decades ahead is so long term that one must assume that the reference point of the travellers has shifted and indeed the population of travellers has changed substantially. However, also for policies that can be implemented in shorter time such as congestion pricing evidence indicates that the reference point still shifts considerably. Evidence from the introduction of the Stockholm congestion charges show that even 6 months or a year is enough to substantially shift the reference point. The Stockholm system was abolished 7 months after the introduction, but the traffic levels did not return to their initial level suggesting a shift of reference points. Moreover, Peer and Börjesson (2018), comparing SP survey questions regarding trips the same day and SP survey questions regarding trips months ahead, show that the reference point may shift even over a couple of months.
 
6
This approach is highly advanced and we can only give a brief overview here. Additional detail and interpretation can be found in Hess et al. (2017).
 
7
We have no reason to believe that this difference explains the differences we report below, and the results obtained with \(U = V \cdot \varepsilon\) on SP1 were broadly comparable, but with lower fit. Similarly, the differences we report across games were also confirmed by a simpler analysis using models with an additive error structure and without random heterogeneity.
 
9
In other evidence for this, it is worth noting that the 2008 Swedish VTT study used a method resembling the one used by Ortúzar (2007) to value the perceived security when accessing PT. Respondents were presented with two binary stated choice experiments, differing in the dimensions of in-vehicle travel time, walk time and wait time. In the first experiment, the respondents were asked to have a recently made PT trip in mind. In the second experiment, one of four different physical walking environments was attached to each choice task, presented by coloured drawings. The walking time weights were found to be consistently higher in the second experiment than in the first, even for the nicest and most secure walking environment. This could be due to an over-focus effect on the walking time in the second experiment. However, it is also a support of the conclusion from the UK study, indicating that we cannot learn about the how the value of time depends on travel conditions unless we explicitly vary them in the experiments.
 
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Metadaten
Titel
A critical appraisal of the use of simple time-money trade-offs for appraisal value of travel time measures
verfasst von
Stephane Hess
Andrew Daly
Maria Börjesson
Publikationsdatum
25.03.2020
Verlag
Springer US
Erschienen in
Transportation / Ausgabe 3/2020
Print ISSN: 0049-4488
Elektronische ISSN: 1572-9435
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-020-10097-w

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