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2016 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

10. A Critical Appraisal

verfasst von : Nicos Christodoulakis

Erschienen in: An Economic Analysis of Conflicts

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

The final chapter discusses how the use of dynamic models helps in understanding the escalation and duration of a conflict, as opposed to cross-section estimates based on sparse data from different countries. This facilitates the analysis of factors that may stand responsible for the break-out and the escalation of a conflict. Usually, these factors range from the lack of strategy and leadership to incomplete information, and the economic analysis can be used to determine the costs incurred by failure to reach a compromise early on. Greece is found to have been singularly prone to most of such factors during the 1940s and this explains the dire consequences that the Civil War had on the country.

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Fußnoten
1
For details see Averof-Tositsas (2010, p. 292).
 
2
Perhaps the most notorious rejection of reality was the claim by the KKE leader 2 months after the final defeat in Grammos that “the main forces of DAG remain unscathed with arms by the side”!
 
3
For a description of this alarming situation by the US mission to Greece, see the Report by Porter (2006, p 80 and 162).
 
Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Averof-Tositsas E (2010) By fire and axe: Greece 1946–1949 and the precedents. Estia Editions, Athens (in Greek) Averof-Tositsas E (2010) By fire and axe: Greece 1946–1949 and the precedents. Estia Editions, Athens (in Greek)
Zurück zum Zitat Brown ME (1996) The causes and regional dimensions of internal conflict. In: Brown M (ed) The international dimensions of internal conflict Cambridge. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA Brown ME (1996) The causes and regional dimensions of internal conflict. In: Brown M (ed) The international dimensions of internal conflict Cambridge. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA
Zurück zum Zitat Gregoriadis S (2011) N. Zachariadis: the fatal leader, vol IV. Kyriakatiki Editions, Athens (in Greek) Gregoriadis S (2011) N. Zachariadis: the fatal leader, vol IV. Kyriakatiki Editions, Athens (in Greek)
Zurück zum Zitat Mazower M (2012) Governing the world: the history of an idea. Allen Lane Editions, London Mazower M (2012) Governing the world: the history of an idea. Allen Lane Editions, London
Zurück zum Zitat Newman E (2014) Understanding civil wars: continuity and change in intrastate conflicts. Routledge, London Newman E (2014) Understanding civil wars: continuity and change in intrastate conflicts. Routledge, London
Zurück zum Zitat Porter P (2006) Wanted: a miracle for Greece: diaries of a presidential envoy. Metamesonykties Editions, Athens (in Greek) Porter P (2006) Wanted: a miracle for Greece: diaries of a presidential envoy. Metamesonykties Editions, Athens (in Greek)
Zurück zum Zitat Sfikas T (2002) The ‘war-peaceful’ dimension in the Greek civil war: peaceful initiatives and compromise possibilities 1945–1949. In: Nikolakopoulos E, Rigos A, Psallidas G (eds) The civil war: from varkiza to grammos (February 1945–August 1949). Athens, Themelio Editions (in Greek) Sfikas T (2002) The ‘war-peaceful’ dimension in the Greek civil war: peaceful initiatives and compromise possibilities 1945–1949. In: Nikolakopoulos E, Rigos A, Psallidas G (eds) The civil war: from varkiza to grammos (February 1945–August 1949). Athens, Themelio Editions (in Greek)
Zurück zum Zitat von Clausewitz C (1976) On war. Howard M, Paret P (ed & transl). Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ von Clausewitz C (1976) On war. Howard M, Paret P (ed & transl). Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ
Metadaten
Titel
A Critical Appraisal
verfasst von
Nicos Christodoulakis
Copyright-Jahr
2016
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-32261-2_10