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2017 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

A System Dynamics Approach to Simulate the Restoration Plans for Urmia Lake, Iran

verfasst von : Mahdi Zarghami, Mohammad AmirRahmani

Erschienen in: Optimization and Dynamics with Their Applications

Verlag: Springer Singapore

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Abstract

Increasing water demand is threatening many hydro-environmental systems, particularly lakes in arid regions. The goal of this research is to assess restoration plans for a drying saline lake, Urmia Lake, in Iran. In order to include interactions of different lake sub-systems, effectiveness of the plans, as a challenging question for decision makers, is studied by a system dynamics model. The plans that are studied and modeled are increasing irrigation efficiency, decreasing irrigated land area, cloud seeding, inter-basin water transfer projects, and using refined wastewater. Here, it is found that increasing irrigation efficiency by 4% annually and controlling irrigated lands would have around 60% effect in revitalizing the lake to its ecological level, among those considered restoration plans. By linking potential policies to their outcomes, this modeling effort is a step toward supporting the consensus to restore the lake.

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Titel: A System Dynamics Approach to Simulate the Restoration Plans for Urmia Lake, Iran
verfasst von: Mahdi Zarghami
Mohammad AmirRahmani
Verlag: Springer Singapore
Buch: Optimization and Dynamics with Their Applications
Print ISBN: 978-981-10-4213-3

Electronic ISBN: 978-981-10-4214-0

Copyright-Jahr: 2017
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-4214-0_15

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