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Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change

Erschienen in:

30.06.2020

Action needed for staple crops in the Andean-Amazon foothills because of climate change

verfasst von: Lucila Marcela Beltrán-Tolosa, Carlos Navarro-Racines, Prajal Pradhan, Gisella S. Cruz-Garcia, Reynaldo Solis, Marcela Quintero

Erschienen in: Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change | Ausgabe 6/2020

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Abstract

The Andean-Amazon foothills region, shaped by Andean moist forests and Amazon forests in southwestern Colombia, Napo province in Ecuador, and Ucayali Province and Napo Basin in Peru, provides local and global ecosystem services as food, water, world climate regulation, water purification, and carbon absorption. However, it faces major problems of land-use change that are exacerbated by climate change that affects these ecosystem services. For instance, conventional agriculture contribute to deforestation, soil degradation, and biodiversity loss, which might be further aggravated by climate change–induced droughts, thus reducing staple crop production and, consequently, food security. Cassava (Manihot esculenta Crantz), maize (Zea mays L.), and plantain (Musa paradisiaca L.) are major staple crops in the region. They play a key role for food security and local farmers’ income but are highly exposed to climate risks. This article aims to quantify the level of exposure to climate change (measured as climatic suitability) of these crops in the Andean-Amazon foothills by using the EcoCrop model by the 2030s, 2050s, and 2080s under Representative Concentration Pathway 2.6, 4.5, and 8.5 scenarios. EcoCrop results showed that, whereas cassava will not lose climatic suitability, maize will lose more than half of its current suitable area, and plantain will gain and lose area, which would affect local food security. Globally, these results are important in highlighting adaptive and cost-effective strategies in agriculture and suggest that agricultural crop diversification may improve resilience by promoting the use of local crops varieties.

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Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology and Environmental Studies (IDEAM)-Colombia, National Meteorology and Hydrology Service of Peru (SENAMHI), National Institute of Meteorology (INMET)-Brazil, National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology (INAMHI)-Ecuador.

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Titel: Action needed for staple crops in the Andean-Amazon foothills because of climate change
verfasst von: Lucila Marcela Beltrán-Tolosa
Carlos Navarro-Racines
Prajal Pradhan
Gisella S. Cruz-Garcia
Reynaldo Solis
Marcela Quintero
Publikationsdatum: 30.06.2020
Verlag: Springer Netherlands
Erschienen in: Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change / Ausgabe 6/2020
Print ISSN: 1381-2386
Elektronische ISSN: 1573-1596
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-020-09923-4

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