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Erschienen in: Soft Computing 10/2016

26.06.2015 | Methodologies and Application

An innovative recurrent error-based neuro-fuzzy system with momentum for stock price prediction

verfasst von: Mohammad Sultan Mahmud, Phayung Meesad

Erschienen in: Soft Computing | Ausgabe 10/2016

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Abstract

Neuro-fuzzy system is now one of the most widely used tools in the field of artificial intelligence systems. This study proposes a novel approach for time series stock market price prediction using a recurrent error-based neuro-fuzzy system with momentum (RENFSM). The basic idea of this approach is to use time series price momentum and time series prediction error adjusted to the well-known adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system, ANFIS. Extended from ANFIS, the aim of this study is to propose a reliable prediction system with minimal error. Moreover, to evaluate the proposed model strength, four top-listed stocks from Dhaka stock exchange were applied. In the experiments, several choices of momentum from 3 to 20 days are selected for data preprocessing. It was found that the proposed RENFSM performed superiorly and was more reliable compared to the existing methods such as ANFIS and neural networks.

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Metadaten
Titel
An innovative recurrent error-based neuro-fuzzy system with momentum for stock price prediction
verfasst von
Mohammad Sultan Mahmud
Phayung Meesad
Publikationsdatum
26.06.2015
Verlag
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Erschienen in
Soft Computing / Ausgabe 10/2016
Print ISSN: 1432-7643
Elektronische ISSN: 1433-7479
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00500-015-1752-z

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