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Erschienen in: Environmental Earth Sciences 22/2017

01.11.2017 | Original Article

Analyzing and modeling of a large river basin dynamics applying integrated cellular automata and Markov model

verfasst von: Brij Kishor Pandey, Deepak Khare

Erschienen in: Environmental Earth Sciences | Ausgabe 22/2017

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Abstract

Historical and exact information about the land use/land cover change is very important for regional sustainable development. The aim of this paper is to determine the rapid changes in land use/land cover (LULC) pattern due to agriculture expansion, environmental calamities such as flood and government policies over Upper Narmada basin, India. Multi-temporal Landsat satellite images for years 1990, 2000, 2010 and 2015 were used to analyze and monitor the changes in LULC with an overall accuracy of more than 85%. Results revealed a potential decrease in natural vegetation (− 9.52%) due to the expansion of settlement (+ 0.52%) and cropland (+ 9.43%) from 1990 to 2015. In the present study, Cellular Automata and Markov (CA–Markov), an integrated tool was used to project the short-term LULC map of year 2030. The projected LULC (2030) indicated the expansion of built-up area along with the cropland and degradation in the vegetation area. The outcomes from the study can help as a guiding tool for protection of natural vegetation and the management of the built-up area. Additionally, it will help in devising the strategies to utilize every bit of land in the study area for decision makers.

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Metadaten
Titel
Analyzing and modeling of a large river basin dynamics applying integrated cellular automata and Markov model
verfasst von
Brij Kishor Pandey
Deepak Khare
Publikationsdatum
01.11.2017
Verlag
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Erschienen in
Environmental Earth Sciences / Ausgabe 22/2017
Print ISSN: 1866-6280
Elektronische ISSN: 1866-6299
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-017-7133-4

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