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2019 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

4. Applications to Corporate Default Prediction and Consumer Credit

verfasst von : Michalis Doumpos, Christos Lemonakis, Dimitrios Niklis, Constantin Zopounidis

Erschienen in: Analytical Techniques in the Assessment of Credit Risk

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

This chapter illustrates the application of analytical predictive and descriptive techniques for credit risk assessment. To this end, two case applications are presented using data sets involving corporate defaults and credit card loans. The first part is devoted to the prediction of corporate defaults. A data set of 13,414 European small and medium-sized manufacturing enterprises (SMEs) from six countries is considered during the period 2009–2011. The information available for the firms involves their financial characteristics. Corporate default prediction models are constructed with statistical, machine learning, and multicriteria decision making techniques. The analysis of the results covers both the predictive performance of the models, as well as the insights that they provide regarding the factors that affect the default risk for European SMEs. In the second part, a descriptive multivariate clustering approach is employed to obtain analyze credit card loan applications. A publicly available data set of 30,000 cases is analyzed with the k-medoids algorithm to identify clusters of borrowers having similar characteristics. The results are discussed in terms of the common features of the clusters and their level of credit risk.

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Fußnoten
1
Kaggle is platform for machine learning and data science, with a focus on practical applications. The data used in this study are available at: https://​www.​kaggle.​com/​uciml/​default-of-credit-card-clients-dataset
 
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Metadaten
Titel
Applications to Corporate Default Prediction and Consumer Credit
verfasst von
Michalis Doumpos
Christos Lemonakis
Dimitrios Niklis
Constantin Zopounidis
Copyright-Jahr
2019
Verlag
Springer International Publishing
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-99411-6_4