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2020 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

Assessing Future Variations in Landslide Occurrence Due to Climate Changes: Insights from an Italian Test Case

verfasst von : Guido Rianna, Alfredo Reder, Luca Pagano, Paola Mercogliano

Erschienen in: Geotechnical Research for Land Protection and Development

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

The paper compares the findings provided by empirical and physically-based models in estimating future evolutions in landslide occurrence as a consequence of the ongoing Climate Change. As test case, the phenomena affecting pyroclastic covers on Lattari Mts. (Campania Region) are considered. Simulation chains developed for both the approaches, pros and cons are carefully displayed pointing out the uncertainties currently associated to projections and the main gaps to bridge. Whatever the approach, an increase is expected but the relative magnitude and the evolution is deeply influenced by impact tools beyond the selected climate projections and concentration scenarios.

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Vorheriges Kapitel Mechanised Tunnel Excavation Through an Instrumented Site in Rome: Class A Predictions and Monitoring Data

Nächstes Kapitel Back-Analysis of the Post-Failure Stage of a Landslide Using the Material Point Method

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Titel: Assessing Future Variations in Landslide Occurrence Due to Climate Changes: Insights from an Italian Test Case
verfasst von: Guido Rianna
Alfredo Reder
Luca Pagano
Paola Mercogliano
Verlag: Springer International Publishing
Buch: Geotechnical Research for Land Protection and Development
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-21358-9

Electronic ISBN: 978-3-030-21359-6

Copyright-Jahr: 2020
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-21359-6_27

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