Skip to main content
Erschienen in: Biodiversity and Conservation 1/2017

18.10.2016 | Commentary

Assessments of species’ vulnerability to climate change: from pseudo to science

verfasst von: Alisa A. Wade, Brian K. Hand, Ryan P. Kovach, Clint C. Muhlfeld, Robin S. Waples, Gordon Luikart

Erschienen in: Biodiversity and Conservation | Ausgabe 1/2017

Einloggen

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Climate change vulnerability assessments (CCVAs) are important tools to plan for and mitigate potential impacts of climate change. However, CCVAs often lack scientific rigor, which can ultimately lead to poor conservation prioritization and associated ecological and economic costs. We discuss the need to improve comparability and consistency of CCVAs and either validate their findings or improve assessment of CCVA uncertainty and sensitivity to methodological assumptions.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Akçakaya HR, Sjogren-Gulve P (2000) Population viability analyses in conservation planning: an overview. Ecol Bull 48:9–21 Akçakaya HR, Sjogren-Gulve P (2000) Population viability analyses in conservation planning: an overview. Ecol Bull 48:9–21
Zurück zum Zitat Beever EA, O’Leary J, Mengelt C et al (2015) Improving conservation outcomes with a new paradigm for understanding species’ fundamental and realized adaptive capacity. Conserv Lett. doi:10.1111/conl.12190 Beever EA, O’Leary J, Mengelt C et al (2015) Improving conservation outcomes with a new paradigm for understanding species’ fundamental and realized adaptive capacity. Conserv Lett. doi:10.​1111/​conl.​12190
Zurück zum Zitat Deser C, Knutti R, Solomon S, Phillips AS (2012) Communication of the role of natural variability in future North American climate. Nat Clim Chang 2:775–779. doi:10.1038/nclimate1562 CrossRef Deser C, Knutti R, Solomon S, Phillips AS (2012) Communication of the role of natural variability in future North American climate. Nat Clim Chang 2:775–779. doi:10.​1038/​nclimate1562 CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Glick P, Stein BA, Edelson NA (2011) Scanning the conservation horizon: a guide to climate change vulnerability assessment. National Wildlife Federation, Washington Glick P, Stein BA, Edelson NA (2011) Scanning the conservation horizon: a guide to climate change vulnerability assessment. National Wildlife Federation, Washington
Zurück zum Zitat IPCC (International Panel on Climate Change) (2007) Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II, and III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland IPCC (International Panel on Climate Change) (2007) Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II, and III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland
Zurück zum Zitat IPCC (International Panel on Climate Change) (2014) Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II, and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland IPCC (International Panel on Climate Change) (2014) Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II, and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland
Zurück zum Zitat Lankford AJ, Svancara LK, Lawler JJ, Vierling K (2014) Comparison of climate change vulnerability assessments for wildlife. Wildl Soc Bull. doi:10.1002/wsb.399 Lankford AJ, Svancara LK, Lawler JJ, Vierling K (2014) Comparison of climate change vulnerability assessments for wildlife. Wildl Soc Bull. doi:10.​1002/​wsb.​399
Zurück zum Zitat Manley PN, Zielinski WJ, Schlesinger MD, Mori SR (2004) Evaluation of a multiple-species approach to monitoring species at the ecoregional scale. Ecol Appl 14:296–310CrossRef Manley PN, Zielinski WJ, Schlesinger MD, Mori SR (2004) Evaluation of a multiple-species approach to monitoring species at the ecoregional scale. Ecol Appl 14:296–310CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat McClure MM, Alexander M, Borggaard D et al (2013) Incorporating climate science in applications of the U.S. Endangered Species Act for aquatic species. Conserv Biol 27:1222–1233. doi:10.1111/cobi.12166 CrossRefPubMed McClure MM, Alexander M, Borggaard D et al (2013) Incorporating climate science in applications of the U.S. Endangered Species Act for aquatic species. Conserv Biol 27:1222–1233. doi:10.​1111/​cobi.​12166 CrossRefPubMed
Zurück zum Zitat Nicotra AB, Beever EA, Robertson AL et al (2015) Assessing the components of adaptive capacity to improve conservation and management efforts under global change. Conserv Biol 5:1268–1278. doi:10.1111/cobi.12522 CrossRef Nicotra AB, Beever EA, Robertson AL et al (2015) Assessing the components of adaptive capacity to improve conservation and management efforts under global change. Conserv Biol 5:1268–1278. doi:10.​1111/​cobi.​12522 CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Rowland E, Davison J, Graumlich L (2011) Approaches to evaluating climate change impacts on species: a guide to initiating the adaptation planning process. Environ Manag 47:322–337. doi:10.1007/s00267-010-9608-x CrossRef Rowland E, Davison J, Graumlich L (2011) Approaches to evaluating climate change impacts on species: a guide to initiating the adaptation planning process. Environ Manag 47:322–337. doi:10.​1007/​s00267-010-9608-x CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Seebacher F, White CR, Franklin CE (2015) Physiological plasticity increases resilience of ectothermic animals to climate change. Nat Clim Chang 5:61–66. doi:10.1038/nclimate2457 CrossRef Seebacher F, White CR, Franklin CE (2015) Physiological plasticity increases resilience of ectothermic animals to climate change. Nat Clim Chang 5:61–66. doi:10.​1038/​nclimate2457 CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Snover AK, Mantua NJ, Littell JS et al (2013) Choosing and using climate-change scenarios for ecological-impact assessments and conservation decisions. Conserv Biol 27:1147–1157. doi:10.1111/cobi.12163 CrossRefPubMed Snover AK, Mantua NJ, Littell JS et al (2013) Choosing and using climate-change scenarios for ecological-impact assessments and conservation decisions. Conserv Biol 27:1147–1157. doi:10.​1111/​cobi.​12163 CrossRefPubMed
Zurück zum Zitat Thompson LM, Staudinger MD, Carter SL (2015) Summarizing components of U.S. Department of the Interior vulnerability assessments to focus climate adaptation planning. U.S. Geological Survey, RestonCrossRef Thompson LM, Staudinger MD, Carter SL (2015) Summarizing components of U.S. Department of the Interior vulnerability assessments to focus climate adaptation planning. U.S. Geological Survey, RestonCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Tonmoy FN, El-Zein A, Hinkel J (2014) Assessment of vulnerability to climate change using indicators: a meta-analysis of the literature. Wiley Interdiscip Rev Clim Chang 5:775–792. doi:10.1002/wcc.314 CrossRef Tonmoy FN, El-Zein A, Hinkel J (2014) Assessment of vulnerability to climate change using indicators: a meta-analysis of the literature. Wiley Interdiscip Rev Clim Chang 5:775–792. doi:10.​1002/​wcc.​314 CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Wade AA, Hand BK, Kovach RP et al (2016) Accounting for adaptive capacity and uncertainty in assessments of species’ climate-change vulnerability. Conserv Biol. doi:10.1111/cobi.12764 PubMed Wade AA, Hand BK, Kovach RP et al (2016) Accounting for adaptive capacity and uncertainty in assessments of species’ climate-change vulnerability. Conserv Biol. doi:10.​1111/​cobi.​12764 PubMed
Zurück zum Zitat Weeks ES, Walker S, Overton JM, Clarkson B (2013) The value of validated vulnerability data for conservation planning in rapidly changing landscapes. Environ Manag 51:1055–1066. doi:10.1007/s00267-013-0034-8 CrossRef Weeks ES, Walker S, Overton JM, Clarkson B (2013) The value of validated vulnerability data for conservation planning in rapidly changing landscapes. Environ Manag 51:1055–1066. doi:10.​1007/​s00267-013-0034-8 CrossRef
Metadaten
Titel
Assessments of species’ vulnerability to climate change: from pseudo to science
verfasst von
Alisa A. Wade
Brian K. Hand
Ryan P. Kovach
Clint C. Muhlfeld
Robin S. Waples
Gordon Luikart
Publikationsdatum
18.10.2016
Verlag
Springer Netherlands
Erschienen in
Biodiversity and Conservation / Ausgabe 1/2017
Print ISSN: 0960-3115
Elektronische ISSN: 1572-9710
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10531-016-1232-5

Weitere Artikel der Ausgabe 1/2017

Biodiversity and Conservation 1/2017 Zur Ausgabe