Skip to main content

2017 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

Black-Litterman Model with Multiple Experts’ Linguistic Views

verfasst von : Marcin Bartkowiak, Aleksandra Rutkowska

Erschienen in: Soft Methods for Data Science

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

This paper presents fuzzy extensions of the Black-Litterman portfolio selection model. Black and Litterman identified two sources of information about expected returns and combined these two sources of information into one expected return formula. The first source of information is the expected returns that follow from the Capital Asset Pricing Model and thus should hold if the market is in equilibrium. The second source of information is comprised of the views held by investors. The presented extension, owing to the use of fuzzy random variables, includes two elements that are important from the point of view of practice: linguistic information and the views of multiple experts. The paper introduces the model extension step-by-step and presents an empirical example.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Fußnoten
1
The concept of FRV was introduced by Feron, R., 1976. Ensembles aleatoires flous. C.R. Acad. Sci. Paris, Ser. A (282), pp. 903–906.
 
2
Variance of FRV have several definition of variance (cf. [6]).
 
3
The aggregation operator can be considered as a separate research issue. This paper illustrates a new BL algorithm; so, vector p is set in the simplest way through the frequency of the experts answers, with the assumption that all the opinions are equivalent.
 
4
The WIG20 index is based on the value of a portfolio with shares in the 20 major and most liquid companies on the Warsaw Stock Exchange Main List.
 
Literatur
1.
Zurück zum Zitat Bevan A, Winkelmann K (1998) Using the Black-Litterman global asset allocation model: three years of practical experience, Goldman, Sachs & Company Bevan A, Winkelmann K (1998) Using the Black-Litterman global asset allocation model: three years of practical experience, Goldman, Sachs & Company
2.
Zurück zum Zitat Black F (1972) Capital market equilibrium with restricted borrowing. J Bus 45(3):444–455CrossRef Black F (1972) Capital market equilibrium with restricted borrowing. J Bus 45(3):444–455CrossRef
3.
Zurück zum Zitat Black F, Litterman R (1990) Asset allocation: combining investors views with market equilibrium. Fixed Income Research, Goldman, Sachs & Company Black F, Litterman R (1990) Asset allocation: combining investors views with market equilibrium. Fixed Income Research, Goldman, Sachs & Company
4.
Zurück zum Zitat Black F, Litterman R (1991) Global asset allocation with equities, bonds and currencies, Goldman, Sachs & Company Black F, Litterman R (1991) Global asset allocation with equities, bonds and currencies, Goldman, Sachs & Company
5.
Zurück zum Zitat Black F, Litterman R (1992) Global portfolio optimization. Financ Anal J, 28–43 Black F, Litterman R (1992) Global portfolio optimization. Financ Anal J, 28–43
6.
Zurück zum Zitat Couso I, Dubois D (2009) On the variability of the concept of variance for fuzzy random variables. IEEE Trans Fuzzy Syst 5(17):1070–1080CrossRef Couso I, Dubois D (2009) On the variability of the concept of variance for fuzzy random variables. IEEE Trans Fuzzy Syst 5(17):1070–1080CrossRef
7.
Zurück zum Zitat Feng Y, Hu L, Shu H (2001) The variance and covariance of fuzzy random variables and their applications. Fuzzy Sets Syst 120:487–497MathSciNetCrossRefMATH Feng Y, Hu L, Shu H (2001) The variance and covariance of fuzzy random variables and their applications. Fuzzy Sets Syst 120:487–497MathSciNetCrossRefMATH
8.
Zurück zum Zitat Gharakhani M, Sadjadi S (2013) A fuzzy compromise programming approach for the Black-Litterman portfolio selection model. Decis Sci Lett 1(2):11–22CrossRef Gharakhani M, Sadjadi S (2013) A fuzzy compromise programming approach for the Black-Litterman portfolio selection model. Decis Sci Lett 1(2):11–22CrossRef
9.
10.
Zurück zum Zitat He G, Litterman R (1999) The intuition behind Black-Litterman model portfolios, Goldman, Sachs & Company He G, Litterman R (1999) The intuition behind Black-Litterman model portfolios, Goldman, Sachs & Company
11.
Zurück zum Zitat Huynh V-N, Nakamori Y (2005) Multi-expert decision-making with linguistic information: a probabilistic-based model. IEEE, Hawaii Huynh V-N, Nakamori Y (2005) Multi-expert decision-making with linguistic information: a probabilistic-based model. IEEE, Hawaii
12.
Zurück zum Zitat Kacprzyk J, Orlovski S (2013) Optimization models using fuzzy sets and possibility theory. Springer, NetherlandsMATH Kacprzyk J, Orlovski S (2013) Optimization models using fuzzy sets and possibility theory. Springer, NetherlandsMATH
14.
Zurück zum Zitat Kruse R, Meyer KD (1987) Statistic with vague data. Reidel Publishing Company Kruse R, Meyer KD (1987) Statistic with vague data. Reidel Publishing Company
16.
Zurück zum Zitat Lawrence K, Pai DR, Klimberg RK, Lawrence SM (2009) A fuzzy programming approach to financial portfolio model. Financial Modeling Applications and Data Envelopment Applications 53 Lawrence K, Pai DR, Klimberg RK, Lawrence SM (2009) A fuzzy programming approach to financial portfolio model. Financial Modeling Applications and Data Envelopment Applications 53
17.
Zurück zum Zitat Lintner J (1965) The valuation of risk assets and the selection of risky investments in stock portfolios and capital budgets. Rev Econ Stat 47(1):12–37CrossRef Lintner J (1965) The valuation of risk assets and the selection of risky investments in stock portfolios and capital budgets. Rev Econ Stat 47(1):12–37CrossRef
18.
Zurück zum Zitat Litterman R, the Quantitative Resources Group (2003) Modern investment management: an equilibrium approach. John Wiley & Sons, New Jersey Litterman R, the Quantitative Resources Group (2003) Modern investment management: an equilibrium approach. John Wiley & Sons, New Jersey
19.
Zurück zum Zitat Markowitz HM (1952) Portfolio selection. J Financ 7(1):77–91 Markowitz HM (1952) Portfolio selection. J Financ 7(1):77–91
21.
Zurück zum Zitat Noor-E-Alama M, Ferdousi Lipi T, Ahsan Akhtar Hasin M, Ullah A (2011) Algorithms for fuzzy multi expert multi criteria decision making (ME-MCDM). Knowledge-Based Systems, April, 367–377 Noor-E-Alama M, Ferdousi Lipi T, Ahsan Akhtar Hasin M, Ullah A (2011) Algorithms for fuzzy multi expert multi criteria decision making (ME-MCDM). Knowledge-Based Systems, April, 367–377
23.
Zurück zum Zitat Sharpe W (1964) Capital asset prices: a theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk. J Financ 19(3):425–442 Sharpe W (1964) Capital asset prices: a theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk. J Financ 19(3):425–442
24.
Metadaten
Titel
Black-Litterman Model with Multiple Experts’ Linguistic Views
verfasst von
Marcin Bartkowiak
Aleksandra Rutkowska
Copyright-Jahr
2017
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-42972-4_5