Skip to main content

2017 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

Convergence or Divergence: A Nonparametric Analysis on China’s Regional Disparity

verfasst von : Xiang Deng, Jianping Li, Jing Song

Erschienen in: Foundations of Economic Change

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

By applying key notions of evolutionary economics, this study develops an analytical framework to explain the differentiated evolutionary paths of convergence and divergence in the economic growth across China’s provinces since 1978. We adopt the nonparametric approach in the study, including both univariate and multivariate kernel density estimation. We find evidence that the convergence in economic growth across provinces does not take shape. Instead, a divergence exists in the economic growth of China. Furthermore, the evolutionary dynamics revealed by our kernel estimation suggests that the disparity of the economic growth rate continuously increases since 1978, not only among different provinces, but also among different areas within a single province.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Acemoglu D (2009) Introduction to modern economic growth. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA Acemoglu D (2009) Introduction to modern economic growth. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA
Zurück zum Zitat Aziz J, Duenwald C (2001) China’s provincial growth dynamics. International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC Aziz J, Duenwald C (2001) China’s provincial growth dynamics. International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC
Zurück zum Zitat Barro RJ, Sala-i-Martin X (1992) Convergence. J Polit Econ 100(2):223–251CrossRef Barro RJ, Sala-i-Martin X (1992) Convergence. J Polit Econ 100(2):223–251CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Bathelt H, Glückler J (2003) Toward a relational economic geography. J Econ Geogr 3(2):117–144CrossRef Bathelt H, Glückler J (2003) Toward a relational economic geography. J Econ Geogr 3(2):117–144CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Boschma RA, Lambooy JG (1999) Evolutionary economics and economic geography. J Evol Econ 9(4):411–429CrossRef Boschma RA, Lambooy JG (1999) Evolutionary economics and economic geography. J Evol Econ 9(4):411–429CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Caggiano G, Leonida L (2009) International output convergence: evidence from an autocorrelation function approach. J Appl Econ 24(1):139–162CrossRef Caggiano G, Leonida L (2009) International output convergence: evidence from an autocorrelation function approach. J Appl Econ 24(1):139–162CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Cai F, Du Y (2000) Convergence and divergence of regional economic growth in China. Econ Res J (in Chinese) 10:30–37 Cai F, Du Y (2000) Convergence and divergence of regional economic growth in China. Econ Res J (in Chinese) 10:30–37
Zurück zum Zitat Cai F, Wang D (2002) Comparative advantages: differences, changes and their impact on regional disparity. Soc Sci China (in Chinese) 5:41–54 Cai F, Wang D (2002) Comparative advantages: differences, changes and their impact on regional disparity. Soc Sci China (in Chinese) 5:41–54
Zurück zum Zitat Caniëls MC, Verspagen B (2001) Barriers to knowledge spillovers and regional convergence in an evolutionary model. J Evol Econ 11(3):307–329CrossRef Caniëls MC, Verspagen B (2001) Barriers to knowledge spillovers and regional convergence in an evolutionary model. J Evol Econ 11(3):307–329CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Corrado L, Martin R, Weeks M (2005) Identifying and interpreting regional convergence clusters across Europe. Econ J 115(502):C133–C160CrossRef Corrado L, Martin R, Weeks M (2005) Identifying and interpreting regional convergence clusters across Europe. Econ J 115(502):C133–C160CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat de La Fuente A (2003) Convergence equations and income dynamics: the sources of OECD convergence, 1970–1995. Economica 70:655–671CrossRef de La Fuente A (2003) Convergence equations and income dynamics: the sources of OECD convergence, 1970–1995. Economica 70:655–671CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Fan J (2006) Industrial agglomeration and difference of regional labor productivity: Chinese evidence with international comparison. Econ Res J (in Chinese) 11:72–81 Fan J (2006) Industrial agglomeration and difference of regional labor productivity: Chinese evidence with international comparison. Econ Res J (in Chinese) 11:72–81
Zurück zum Zitat Grabher G (1993) The weakness of strong ties: the lock-in of regional development in the Ruhr area. In: Grabher G (ed) The embedded firm: on the socio-economics of industrial networks. Routledge, London, pp 255–277 Grabher G (1993) The weakness of strong ties: the lock-in of regional development in the Ruhr area. In: Grabher G (ed) The embedded firm: on the socio-economics of industrial networks. Routledge, London, pp 255–277
Zurück zum Zitat Higgins MJ, Levy D, Young AT (2006) Growth and convergence across the United States: evidence from county-level data. Rev Econ Stat 88(4):671–681CrossRef Higgins MJ, Levy D, Young AT (2006) Growth and convergence across the United States: evidence from county-level data. Rev Econ Stat 88(4):671–681CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Kremer M, Onatski A, Stock J (2001) Searching for prosperity. Carn-Roch Conf Ser Public Policy 55(1):275–303CrossRef Kremer M, Onatski A, Stock J (2001) Searching for prosperity. Carn-Roch Conf Ser Public Policy 55(1):275–303CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Laursen K (2000) Do export and technological specialisation patterns co-evolve in terms of convergence or divergence? Evidence from 19 OECD countries, 1971–1991. J Evol Econ 10(4):415–436CrossRef Laursen K (2000) Do export and technological specialisation patterns co-evolve in terms of convergence or divergence? Evidence from 19 OECD countries, 1971–1991. J Evol Econ 10(4):415–436CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Ou X, Shen Z, Wang R (2006) Spatial structure evolution of regional economic growth and its inequality in China since 1978. Sci Geogr Sin (in Chinese) 26(6):641–648 Ou X, Shen Z, Wang R (2006) Spatial structure evolution of regional economic growth and its inequality in China since 1978. Sci Geogr Sin (in Chinese) 26(6):641–648
Zurück zum Zitat Pittau MG, Zelli R (2006) Empirical evidence of income dynamics across EU regions. J Appl Econ 21(5):605–628CrossRef Pittau MG, Zelli R (2006) Empirical evidence of income dynamics across EU regions. J Appl Econ 21(5):605–628CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Quah DT (1996) Convergence empirics across economies with (some) capital mobility. J Econ Growth 1(1):95–124CrossRef Quah DT (1996) Convergence empirics across economies with (some) capital mobility. J Econ Growth 1(1):95–124CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Quah DT (2002) Spatial agglomeration dynamics. Am Econ Rev 92(2):247–252CrossRef Quah DT (2002) Spatial agglomeration dynamics. Am Econ Rev 92(2):247–252CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Scott DW (1992) Multivariate density estimation: theory, practice and visualization. Wiley, New YorkCrossRef Scott DW (1992) Multivariate density estimation: theory, practice and visualization. Wiley, New YorkCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Shi X, Zhao S (2011) The regional economic convergence and its mechanism in China: 1978–2009. J Quant Tech Econ (in Chinese) 1:51–62 Shi X, Zhao S (2011) The regional economic convergence and its mechanism in China: 1978–2009. J Quant Tech Econ (in Chinese) 1:51–62
Zurück zum Zitat Silverman BW (1981) Using kernel density estimates to investigate multimodality. J R Stat Soc Ser B Methodol 43(1):97–99 Silverman BW (1981) Using kernel density estimates to investigate multimodality. J R Stat Soc Ser B Methodol 43(1):97–99
Zurück zum Zitat Wang X, Fan W (2004) Analysis on the regional disparity in China and the influential factors. Econ Res J (in Chinese) 1:33–44 Wang X, Fan W (2004) Analysis on the regional disparity in China and the influential factors. Econ Res J (in Chinese) 1:33–44
Zurück zum Zitat Weißbach R, Gefeller O (2004) A rule-of-thumb for the variable bandwidth selection in kernel hazard rate estimation. Technical Report//Universität Dortmund, SFB 475 Komplexitätsreduktion in Multivariaten Datenstrukturen Weißbach R, Gefeller O (2004) A rule-of-thumb for the variable bandwidth selection in kernel hazard rate estimation. Technical Report//Universität Dortmund, SFB 475 Komplexitätsreduktion in Multivariaten Datenstrukturen
Zurück zum Zitat Wu Y (2006) A spatial econometric analysis of China’s provincial economic growth convergence. J Quant Tech Econ (in Chinese) 12:101–108 Wu Y (2006) A spatial econometric analysis of China’s provincial economic growth convergence. J Quant Tech Econ (in Chinese) 12:101–108
Zurück zum Zitat Xu X, Li X (2004) Convergence in Chinese cities. Econ Res J (in Chinese) 5:40–48 Xu X, Li X (2004) Convergence in Chinese cities. Econ Res J (in Chinese) 5:40–48
Zurück zum Zitat Xu X, Shu Y (2005) Physical capital, human capital, and regional twin-peak convergence in China. J World Econ (in Chinese) 28(1):47–57 Xu X, Shu Y (2005) Physical capital, human capital, and regional twin-peak convergence in China. J World Econ (in Chinese) 28(1):47–57
Zurück zum Zitat Yan P, Wang B (2004) Technical efficiency, technical progress & productivity growth: an empirical analysis based on DEA. Econ Res J (in Chinese) 12:55–65 Yan P, Wang B (2004) Technical efficiency, technical progress & productivity growth: an empirical analysis based on DEA. Econ Res J (in Chinese) 12:55–65
Zurück zum Zitat Young AT, Higgins MJ, Levy D (2008) Sigma convergence versus beta convergence: evidence from US county-level data. J Money Credit Bank 40(5):1083–1093CrossRef Young AT, Higgins MJ, Levy D (2008) Sigma convergence versus beta convergence: evidence from US county-level data. J Money Credit Bank 40(5):1083–1093CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Zhang H (2004) The application of the augmented Solow model diversities and convergence among Chinese provinces. China Econ Q (in Chinese) 3(3):605–618 Zhang H (2004) The application of the augmented Solow model diversities and convergence among Chinese provinces. China Econ Q (in Chinese) 3(3):605–618
Zurück zum Zitat Zhang X, Gui B (2008) The analysis of total factor productivity in China: a review and application of Malmquist index approach. J Quant Tech Econ (in Chinese) 6:111–122 Zhang X, Gui B (2008) The analysis of total factor productivity in China: a review and application of Malmquist index approach. J Quant Tech Econ (in Chinese) 6:111–122
Zurück zum Zitat Zou W, Zhou H (2007) The estimation and analysis on the China’s inter-provincial growth disparities (1978–2002): an empirical study based on the counterfactual income approach. Manage World (in Chinese) 7:37–46 Zou W, Zhou H (2007) The estimation and analysis on the China’s inter-provincial growth disparities (1978–2002): an empirical study based on the counterfactual income approach. Manage World (in Chinese) 7:37–46
Metadaten
Titel
Convergence or Divergence: A Nonparametric Analysis on China’s Regional Disparity
verfasst von
Xiang Deng
Jianping Li
Jing Song
Copyright-Jahr
2017
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-62009-1_6