2009 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel
Cost Risk Tolerance Area of Material Supply in Biomass Power Generation
verfasst von : Sun Jingchun, Chen Jianhua, Fang Ye, Hou Junhu
Erschienen in: Cutting-Edge Research Topics on Multiple Criteria Decision Making
Verlag: Springer Berlin Heidelberg
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This research aims to shed light on the interaction mechanism of cost risks for biomass material supply in power generation. Firstly, game model is established to analyze interactions among factors including unit procurement cost, unit transportation cost, basic price and coal price for cop residue collection. Secondly, Monte Carlo simulation is implemented based on two profit ratio to compare the profit increase under material competition with that under price alliance. Thirdly, risk tolerance area approach is applied in mapping of cost risk. Shi Liquan Biomass Power Plant in Shandong Province of China is analyzed as a case to show that price alliance will benefit both the allied enterprises and the local collection area by the proposed methodology.