nach oben

Erschienen in:

2018 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

5. Duration Dependence of Job-Finding Rates in Japan

verfasst von : Akiomi Kitagawa, Souichi Ohta, Hiroshi Teruyama

Erschienen in: The Changing Japanese Labor Market

Verlag: Springer Singapore

Einloggen

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config

KI-gestützte Suche

Aus

Abstract

This chapter examines the negative duration dependence of the job-finding probability in Japan by using officially collected data on individuals from the Labour Force Survey for the period 2003 to 2012. Because the survey has limited information on unemployment duration, a survival analysis is difficult to apply. We try to resolve this problem by adopting the bivariate probit estimation. We use information on the labor market status of the previous year to construct a proxy variable for the long-term unemployment experience. This variable is used to estimate the job-finding rate. A long-term unemployment equation is simultaneously estimated to deal with the problem of unobserved heterogeneity. After controlling for unobserved individual heterogeneity of workers by using a bivariate probit specification, we find that long-term unemployment has a negative impact on the job-finding probability for both men and women. This confirms the fact that the job-finding probability has a negative duration dependence on unemployment in the Japanese labor market. On average, unemployment for a year or more reduces the job-finding probability by about 0.075 (roughly by half).

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

über 102.000 Bücher
über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

Automobil + Motoren
Bauwesen + Immobilien
Business IT + Informatik
Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
Finance + Banking
Management + Führung
Marketing + Vertrieb
Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Jetzt informieren

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

über 67.000 Bücher
über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

Bauwesen + Immobilien
Business IT + Informatik
Finance + Banking
Management + Führung
Marketing + Vertrieb
Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Jetzt informieren

Vorheriges Kapitel Testing the Dual Structure of the Japanese Labor Market

Nur mit Berechtigung zugänglich

See Chap. 3 for a review of the literature.

This is due to the sample rotation system of this survey. The Statistic Bureau, Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, explains the system in the “Sampling Method, Estimation Method, and Sampling Errors of Estimates” as follows. A sample enumeration district remains in a sample for four consecutive months, leaves the sample for the following eight months, and joins the sample again for the same four months in the following year. For each enumeration district, two sets of dwelling units are selected. In the first year of enumeration for the sample enumeration district, the households in the sample dwelling units in the first set are surveyed for the first two consecutive months, and then replaced by households in the dwelling units of the other set. In the second year, the dwelling units of the first set enter the sample again, and are replaced by those of the other set in the same way as in the first year. Under this system, one-fourth of the sample enumeration districts and half of the sample households are replaced every month. Three-fourths of sample enumeration districts are common from month to month and a half of districts from year to year.

Recall that the data do not have a panel structure as explained in Sect. 5.3.

Note that an accurate identification is still difficult, as we do not have information on movements between unemployment and the out-of-labor-force states between the second and third survey months. However, this inaccuracy does not seem to cause a serious bias for long-term unemployment identification. Even workers who were unemployed (i.e., were searching jobs) both in the second and third surveys, but stopped searching during the 10 months between the two surveys, are considered to have dominant preference to work and be marginally out of the labor force, namely, “the hidden unemployed.” Thus, we do not think that regarding such persons as unemployed is problematic.

We do not report the univariate probit estimation results of Eq. (5.2).

Abe M, Ohta S (2001) Fluctuations in unemployment and industry labor markets. J Jpn Int Econ 15(4):437–464CrossRef

Eriksson S, Lagerström J (2006) Competition between employed and unemployed job applicants: Swedish evidence. Scand J Econ 108(3):373–396CrossRef

Eriksson S, Lagerström J (2012) Detecting discrimination in the hiring process: Evidence from an internet-based search channel. Empirical Economics 43(2):537–563CrossRef

Eriksson S, Rooth DO (2014) Do employers use unemployment as a sorting criterion when hiring? evidence from a field experiment. Am Econ Rev 104(3):1014–1039CrossRef

Genda Y, Kondo A, Ohta S (2010) Long-term effects of a recession at labor market entry in Japan and the United States. J Hum Resour 45(1):157–180

Kroft K, Lange F, Notowidigdo MJ (2013) Duration dependence and labor market conditions: Evidence from a field experiment. Q J Econ 128(3):1123–1167CrossRef

Lancaster T (1979) Econometric methods for the duration of unemployment. Econometrica 47(4):939–956CrossRef

Machin S, Manning A (1999) The causes and consequences of longterm unemployment in Europe. In: Ashenfelter O, Card D (eds) Handbook of Labor Economics, vol 3, Elsevier Science B.V., Amsterdam, Chap 47, pp 3085–3139

Naganuma S, Uno Y (2016) Long-term unemployment in Japan. Research LAB No.16-E-1, Bank of Japan

Nagase N, Nawata K, Mizuochi M (2011) “rodoryoku-chosa” wo mochiita rishokusha no saishushoku ni kansuru jisshobunseki (an analysis of the japanese male and female job search behaviors following job quit). Research Paper No.24, Statistical Research and Training Institute, Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, (in Japanese)

Nickell S (1979) The effect of unemployment and related benefits on the duration of unemployment. Econ J 89(353):34–49CrossRef

Oberholzer-Gee F (2008) Nonemployment stigma as rational herding: A field experiment. J Econ Behav Organ 65(1):30–40CrossRef

Ohta S (2010) Jakunesha Shugyo No Keizaigaku (The Economics of Youth Employment). Nikkei Publishing, Tokyo (in Japanese)

Shinozaki T (2015) Long-term unemployment in Japan in the global financial crisis and recession. Jpn Labor Rev 12(3):25–50

Steiner V (1990) Long-term unemployment, heterogeneity, and state dependence. Empirica 17(1):41–59CrossRef

Winter-Ebmer R (1998) Potential unemployment benefit duration and spell length: Lessons from a quasi-experiment in Austria. Oxford Bull Econ Stat 60(1):33–45CrossRef

Titel: Duration Dependence of Job-Finding Rates in Japan
verfasst von: Akiomi Kitagawa
Souichi Ohta
Hiroshi Teruyama
Verlag: Springer Singapore
Buch: The Changing Japanese Labor Market
Print ISBN: 978-981-10-7157-7

Electronic ISBN: 978-981-10-7158-4

Copyright-Jahr: 2018
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-7158-4_5