Agricultural Adaptation to Climate Change in Sub-Saharan Africa

Table of Contents

1. Frontmatter

2. Chapter 1. Climate Trends in Senegal

   Marieme Toure

   Abstract

   Senegal is located in the western most part of Africa and bordered by Mauritania, Mali, Guinea and Guinea-Bissau.

3. Chapter 2. Predicted Cereal Production in Senegal for 2050 and 2080

   Marieme Toure

   Abstract

   Senegal is highly vulnerable to shocks associated with climate change. Crop production in Senegal, as mentioned in the previous chapter, is subject to historical droughts events and recent return of the rains and their flooding consequences. These climate-related events have led to the increased vulnerability to food security in Senegal.

4. Chapter 3. Alternatives and Robustness Analysis

   Marieme Toure

   Abstract

   Since agricultural production is inherently variable, the immediate step after our prediction analysis is to explore the impact of technical changes, alternative soil quality, and longer persistent disasters on cereal production. As discussed in the first chapter, the most common climate event risks to agricultural production in Senegal are droughts and floods.

5. Chapter 4. Resulting Impact of Climate Change on Child Malnutrition

   Marieme Toure

   Abstract

   According to the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) in 2022, around 10% of humanity was suffering from hunger and 35 million more people were pushed into hunger between 2020 and 2022.

6. Chapter 5. Policy Issues, Climate Risks, and Financialization of Crops

   Marieme Toure

   Abstract

   In order to better assess policy issues and identify those who are being mostly affected by the impact of climate change in cereal production, it is important to discuss the heterogeneity of land ownership. Ninety-five percent of Senegal’s farms are smallholdings, with farm size ranging from 1.5 to 5 ha. The remaining 5% of holdings are larger farms. Large national and international agribusinesses have had a presence in Senegal since at least the 1930s. The largest farms have concentrated operations in the Senegal River Valley, the land around Dakar and coastal areas, and in the Casamance, although agribusinesses have also begun to invest in more remote areas, according to the U.S. Agency for International Development.

7. Chapter 6. Conclusion

   Marieme Toure

   Abstract

   This dissertation was an effort to estimate the resulting impact of climate change on long-term crop production, food security, and child malnutrition.

8. Backmatter