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2024 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

An Analysis of the Dynamic Impact of Oil Price Fluctuations on China's Economy

Authors : Ruiting Xu, Paravee Maneejuk

Published in: Applications of Optimal Transport to Economics and Related Topics

Publisher: Springer Nature Switzerland

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Abstract

This study aims to investigate the mechanisms governing international oil price fluctuations and their dynamic repercussions on China's macroeconomy. To achieve this, we employ the BEKK-GARCH model to examine whether fluctuations in international oil prices exert an influence on China's oil prices. Furthermore, we utilize the nonlinear Markov Regime Vector Autoregression (MS-VAR) model to analyze the evolving effects of international oil price fluctuations on China's macroeconomy under varying regimes. Our findings reveal a significant two-way volatility spillover effect between international and domestic crude oil markets. Moreover, the impact of international crude oil price movements on China's macroeconomy is tempered by China's unique economic conditions. It's noteworthy that the Chinese economy tends to exhibit stability after achieving equilibrium rather than undergoing rapid shifts.

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Title: An Analysis of the Dynamic Impact of Oil Price Fluctuations on China's Economy
Authors: Ruiting Xu
Paravee Maneejuk
Publisher: Springer Nature Switzerland
Book: Applications of Optimal Transport to Economics and Related Topics
Print ISBN: 978-3-031-67769-4

Electronic ISBN: 978-3-031-67770-0

Copyright Year: 2024
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-67770-0_36

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