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Published in: Water Resources Management 14/2011

01-11-2011

Aquifers Management through Evolutionary Bayesian Networks: The Altiplano Case Study (SE Spain)

Authors: Jose-Luis Molina, Raziyeh Farmani, John Bromley

Published in: Water Resources Management | Issue 14/2011

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Abstract

An approach for the integration of Object-Oriented Bayesian Networks (OOBNs) and Evolutionary Multiobjective Optimization (EMO) is proposed for integrated water resource management and decision support. Bayesian Networks (BNs) offer a novel and powerful tool for modelling complex water systems, facilitating the use of hierarchical modelling by improving the efficiency and communication between the different parts of a model. EMO offers a range of non-dominated optimal management solutions on a Pareto front that facilitate the identification of tradeoffs among conflicting criteria regarding stakeholder’s preferences. The integrated tool provides new possibilities for undertaking an integrated analysis where stakeholder participation can play an important role. It is used for simultaneously analysing the whole water system, characterising uncertainty as probabilities and evaluating different management options. The tool is applied to an overexploited water system located in Southern Spain that is supplied totally by groundwater. In this study, a complex model based on BNs is designed and used as the core of the study. The transition to Evolutionary Bayesian networks (EOBNs) allows stakeholder involvement to be utilized more effectively for designing and evaluating the model’s consistency, and taking into account their conflicting interests.

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Metadata
Title
Aquifers Management through Evolutionary Bayesian Networks: The Altiplano Case Study (SE Spain)
Authors
Jose-Luis Molina
Raziyeh Farmani
John Bromley
Publication date
01-11-2011
Publisher
Springer Netherlands
Published in
Water Resources Management / Issue 14/2011
Print ISSN: 0920-4741
Electronic ISSN: 1573-1650
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-011-9893-z

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