Attribution of Global Warming Potential impacts in a multifunctional metals industry system using different system expansion and allocation methodologies

The design and manufacture of goods according to circular economy principles would avoid generating waste in the first place and lead to “closing the loop” by recirculating products and materials so they can become new materials. This could contribute to the supply security of materials, such as metals, in the foreseeable future. Materials previously considered wastes can be upgraded and turned into valuable co-products, with associated environmental benefits. Recycling waste materials generates new products and this raises many questions around the multifunctionality issue from a life cycle perspective.

Steel is well placed to be part of the circular economy. Steel is reusable and recyclable, the recycling technologies are proven and well established. Due to the value of steel scrap, it is widely recovered currently. Although figures differ, the overall steel recycling rate in the USA was 71% in 2019, with higher rates depending on the sectors (AISI and SMA 2021). The recycling rate for structural steel in the USA is 97%, and 96% from the automotive sector. Similar values are observed in Europe (Tata Steel 2022; EuRIC AISBL 2022; APEAL 2023). Slag, the main co-product of steelmaking, can be used to make cement, where it can reduce the CO₂ emissions by 50% (UKCSMA 2023). It is also used in road-making and as a fertilizer. Other co-products include dust and sludge, which are rich in iron and other metals and can be recycled back through the process (ArcelorMittal, 2022). The steelmaking process can be adjusted to maximise recovery of metals in the process dust, such as zinc, so it can become a secondary input in the production of zinc.

The recovery of zinc is a key issue. China is the largest producer of zinc globally, accounting for 32% of the zinc mine production in 2022 (ILZSG 2022). Australia is another major zinc supplier, accounting for 11% of the global zinc mine production (TDi and RMI 2022; USGS 2023). While there are enough extractable resources to ensure the long-term availability of zinc, there may be a short-term supply risk due to very limited exploration efforts in recent years. Zinc prices can be volatile and heavily depend on events in China. For instance, concerns over Chinese refined zinc output were one factor that contributed to prices reaching a multi-year high in June 2021 (Luke Nickels 2021). Similarly, prices rose over 2020 as lockdowns in various countries slowed production. In addition, the World Bank indicates that the growth of zinc mines and refineries in China is at risk due to safety and environmental concerns, suggesting that supplies may struggle to keep pace with increased demands (World Bank Group 2021). At national and regional level, critical or strategical raw materials and their availability from local sources for green transition technologies move into focus. Increasing zinc recycling is a meaningful and increasingly important additional source in supplying future zinc demand at global, regional and national level (Grund et al. 2019). On average, 13% of all refined special high grade (SHG) zinc produced in 2019 came from secondary sources, mostly from zinc-rich steel mill dusts (IZA 2022a). An additional 6 million tonnes of zinc were recycled by remelting zinc from zinc metal scrap and zinc containing industrial residues (Rostek et al. 2022). Zinc produced from secondary materials has a lower environmental impact in terms of land-use, water consumption and resource depletion. Remelting zinc metal scrap has a much lower carbon footprint than primary zinc produced from ore. However, the recycling of zinc from its main use — galvanized steel — increases the Global Warming Potential of the product (SHG zinc) (IZA 2022a).

When recycling galvanised steel, the scrap is usually remelted in electric arc furnaces (EAF) for steel recovery. In this process, zinc is found in the flue dust, the so-called EAF dust is too low in zinc concentration for direct use as a raw material for zinc production. The availability of zinc-free scrap is decreasing; as a result, the zinc content of dusts and sludges is increasing (Ma 2016; Stewart et al. 2022). A consequence is that larger amounts of these residues must be sent to landfill. The tightening of legislation around landfilling of these materials makes landfilling less attractive and potentially impossible in the future (Jalkanen et al. 2005). EAF dust, rich in iron, zinc, and other metals, is classified as hazardous waste in Europe and the USA. Landfilling of EAF dust is strictly regulated (Suetens et al. 2014), and alternative uses would be beneficial to the steel and the zinc smelting industries. The standard method for enriching zinc in EAF dust and thus making it a suitable raw material for primary zinc production is the Waelz process. It is considered the best available technology for recycling EAF dust (Grudinsky et al. 2019; Genderen et al. 2021). However, the final product has a relatively high content of impurities, such as halides (e.g., chlorides and fluorides) which are removed in an additional washing step (Antrekowitsch et al. 2015). Another limitation is the loss of iron to the slag during recovery (Lin et al. 2017). To increase profitability of the Waelz process, the minimum zinc content of the feed materials (mainly EAF dust) should be above 15%, limiting the feedstocks that can be input into the kiln. Other low zinc containing dusts arise in today’s steel production, such as basic oxygen steelmaking dust. Mostly the zinc concentration in these dusts is too low to allow for a financially viable zinc recycling.

The HIsarna process is an innovative smelting reduction technology developed by Tata Steel as a low carbon smelting reduction technology (ULCOS 2010). Innovative smelting reduction technologies have been identified as (near-) zero-emissions technologies when combined with Carbon Capture Storage and Utilisation (CCUS) (MPP 2021). It is an alternative to the blast furnace process and removes several pre-processing steps, such as sintering and pelletising (Fig. 1). As the process gases from HIsarna are more suited for CCUS applications, this technology can be an important option for near-zero emissions steelmaking. In the HIsarna process, the injected iron ore melts and is converted into liquid hot metal. Hot metal can be used as an input in Basic Oxygen Steelmaking (BOS) to produce crude steel. The main product from HIsarna is hot metal; however, slag is also produced alongside it. Additionally, zinc-bearing residues can be injected into the HIsarna reactor. The zinc evaporates and is removed with the exhaust gas. HIsarna is a promising alternative for the treatment of zinc-bearing residues as it allows for the recovery of zinc from both high and low zinc residues, as well as galvanised zinc-coated steel, and the recovery of iron from those inputs into hot metal. However, this configuration makes the HIsarna process multifunctional. Understanding the environmental impacts of the hot metal, slag and zinc-rich dust in this multifunctional system is not straightforward.

This study builds on the findings of the ReclaMet project (EIT RawMaterials 2018), a project that explored the recovery of zinc and iron from zinc-containing residues with HIsarna. Earlier tests indicated the possibility of concentrating zinc into the HIsarna process dust (Kerry et al. 2022). This recycling promotes a more circular economy and closes the waste material loops from the zinc and automotive industries (Kerry et al. 2022). The flow of products and secondary materials can be seen in Fig. 2. Slag is also produced as a co-product from HIsarna and can be used as an input in the cement and concrete industry. Currently, no co-products or waste streams from the cement industry have been tested in HIsarna and this represents an open material loop.

Many institutions have created emissions trajectories and climate mitigation targets for each sector to reach net zero. This includes the steel sector (ArcelorMittal et al. 2021). When considering the different co-products in a system, understanding their GWP impact becomes key to ensuring that the current and future sectoral emission targets are accurate. Additionally, it supports monitoring and setting realistic science-based targets (SBTs). Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) has become the most commonly used method for assessing the environmental impact of a product or process. The allocation method used to share emissions between the product and co-products may have a significant impact on their respective GWP. Depending on the method used to attribute emissions to the co-product, the co-product GWP impact may be different, which could affect the GWP impact of the main product (e.g., hot metal). While many published LCAs focus on systems with one product, other studies fail to address this multifunctionality issue (Cherubini et al. 2018). This provides an incomplete picture of the system, and the full picture including the different co-products has to be considered. This paper will assess the effect of several allocation and system expansion methods on the Global Warming Potential (GWP) of the multifunctional HIsarna process by assessing the issue of two co-products, zinc-rich process dust and HIsarna slag. This supports a more complete and accurate picture of the GWP impacts of various industries, by understanding the GWP of each co-product. The addressed audience of the paper is the steel industry, zinc industry, and LCA practitioners interested in the broader discussion concerning the attribution of environmental impacts in multifunctional and multi-sectoral systems.

Different LCA allocation methods exist to address the issue of multifunctionality. To deal with multifunctionality, the ISO 14044 recommends the following hierarchy (ISO 2006a, b): (1) Subdivision, (2) System expansion, (3) Allocation (physical relationship) and (4) Allocation (by other relationships). A summary of the main methods relevant to this study is shown in Table 1, with their strengths and limitations. Aside from this hierarchy, there is little guidance for LCA practitioners to deal with the issue of multifunctionality. Some authors have published recommendations for dealing with co-products from specific sectors such as the metals industry (Santero and Hendry 2016) and zinc in particular (IZA 2022b), with variations of the hierarchy provided by the ISO standard. Other authors have developed an allocation method decision tree to aid in the decision of allocation method depending on the goal of the study (Ijassi et al. 2021). However, these publications focus on one co-product at a time, without considering the interactions between co-products and the need for a consistent approach across the full system. This general lack of guidance leads to inconsistencies and different approaches for similar multifunctionality problems in LCA, producing divergent results. Furthermore, justifications for the choice of approach are not commonly provided (Kyttä et al. 2022). This issue is further complicated as the ISO standard makes no distinction between different modelling approaches such as attributional and consequential LCA (Pelletier et al. 2015).

The choice of allocation method can create significant uncertainty on the results of LCA studies (Cherubini et al. 2018). This uncertainty can mislead decision-makers in comparing scenarios (Geisler et al. 2005). An uncertainty analysis is not always included in LCA studies. It would support the interpretation of LCA results, and it could verify that the results for each scenario are different (Huijbregts et al. 2001). Other authors have previously studied the uncertainty due to allocation methods (Mendoza Beltran et al. 2016, 2018; AzariJafari et al. 2018; Cherubini et al. 2018). A sensitivity analysis should be performed for multifunctional systems to assess the uncertainty created by the different allocation methods. This study is the first in which the choice of allocation method has been evaluated for HIsarna and its application for zinc recovery, enabling the assessment of uncertainty when different allocation methods are used.

One of the key issues from an LCA perspective is that the production of hot metal, slag and zinc-rich dust cannot be divided into sub-processes. The main product and co-products are produced simultaneously. For this reason, subdivision has not been considered any further in this study (Step 1:1 of the allocation procedure in ISO 14044:2006). The current worldsteel methodology on Life Cycle Inventory Methodology (Worldsteel Association 2017) proposes using system expansion to deal with multifunctional systems. This method “expands” the system boundaries beyond the steelmaking process to incorporate those processes avoided due to the production of co-products in the multifunctional system. Other standards, e.g. ISO 20915, provide more specific substitution options for different co-products.

The function of the system is defined as the production of 1 kg of hot metal from HIsarna. For this study, GWP (over 100 years) has been assessed. The CML2001 (Aug. 2016) method is used to assess the GWP impacts of the inventory data, as a means to explore the issues of attribution in multifunctional systems CML was developed at Leiden University and followed guidelines established by ISO 14044 (2006b) and by the International Life Cycle Data System (ILCD), developed by the European Commission Joint Research Centre (2011). The LCA is a cradle-to-gate study, including in the system boundary the raw material inputs into the HIsarna process and the zinc-rich feedstocks up until the production of the hot metal, slag, and zinc-rich process dust from HIsarna. The system boundary is depicted in Fig. 3.

The GWP of HIsarna hot metal with the HIsarna full scale model data is 1.72 kg CO2 eq./kg hot metal. This is the impact of baseline HIsarna, when no zinc-rich feedstocks are added and zinc is not recovered in the dust. In baseline HIsarna, some co-products/by-products receive a system expansion GWP credit according to common practice. The co-products/by-products that receive a credit are gypsum, beach iron and slag. These co-products and their credits are reflected in Table 3. Different allocation methods were considered for zinc-rich process dust and slag. The GWP results for each co-product, according to each allocation method are shown in Table 4.

This study has evaluated the effect of different allocation methods on the GHG emissions attributed to hot metal and two co-products (zinc-rich dust and slag) within the steel industry. This case study reflects a common challenge in LCA, where there is a need to ensure consistency of allocation approaches but also to retain relevance for each product system in all circumstances. In the current analysis, GHG emissions of the main hot metal product were found to vary from 1.72 to 1.17 kg CO₂ eq. per kg hot metal depending on the allocation method employed. This represents a substantial reduction of over 30%, a reduction larger than many decarbonisation options are predicted to provide. Each method attributes each co-product a different GWP value. The GWP impacts for zinc-rich process dust range from 0 to 3.71 kg CO₂ eq. per kg zinc-rich dust. A similarly wide range is applicable for slag, 0 to 1.27 kg CO₂ eq. per kg slag. This highlights the relevance of harmonizing the allocation methods for co-products. Several allocation combinations have been explored; however, no allocation method or combination of methods was identified as likely to be preferable for all stakeholders. No combination was highlighted as a good compromise for both the co-product producer and co-product users.

The relation between the GWP attributed to the main product and two co-products has been explored. No single methodology recognizes the complexities of both co-products, and the attribution of impacts from the steel production process may require approaches unique to each co-product. At present, there are inconsistencies in how impacts are attributed to the same co-product between the participating industries, which risks underreporting of the overall impact of associated production processes. Engagement of stakeholders, alongside consideration of additional allocation options, existing or hybrid, is needed to create a standardized allocation approach with consensus of the involved industries and credible to external stakeholders.

Governments, regulators and society have made increasing efforts in recognising the importance of lifecycle-based assessments. This has highlighted the need for a consistent approach regarding the attribution of impacts. In this study, the same allocation methods have been applied to both co-products. Further research is suggested to explore other methods, existing or hybrid, that might be suitable for multifunctional systems involving co-products and that could identify the preferred option for future guidance.