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2021 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

Binary Prediction

Author : Arnab Kumar Laha

Published in: Applied Advanced Analytics

Publisher: Springer Singapore

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Abstract

Binary prediction is one of the most widely used analytical techniques having many applications in multiple domains. In the business context, it is used to predict loan default, discontinuance of insurance policies, customer attrition, fraud detection, etc. Because of its huge importance, a number of methods have been developed to solve this problem. In this article, we discuss the well-known logistic regression predictor and compare its performance with a relatively less widely used predictor—the maximum score predictor—using two real-life unbalanced datasets. The maximum score predictor is observed to perform better than the logistic regression predictor for both these unbalanced datasets, indicating that the maximum score predictor can be a useful addition to the analysts toolkit when dealing with the binary prediction problem.

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Footnotes
1
Of the 318 observations in the dataset, 84 books were H and the rest were P.
 
2
The number of observations in training, validation and test datasets was 223, 64 and 31, respectively.
 
Literature
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Metadata
Title
Binary Prediction
Author
Arnab Kumar Laha
Copyright Year
2021
Publisher
Springer Singapore
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-33-6656-5_2