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2020 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

7. BRI and Central Asia

Authors : Pradumna B. Rana, Xianbai Ji

Published in: China’s Belt and Road Initiative

Publisher: Springer Singapore

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Abstract

The BRI has transformed Central Asia from a land-locked and ‘forgotten’ region to a land of economic opportunities. With the initiation of the BRI by China in 2013, the volume of intra-regional international trade and the inflow of foreign investment into the region have surged. The number of China-Europe trains transiting through Central Asia has also increased significantly. In addition to connectivity, the BRI has contributed to industrialisation and financial sector development in the Central Asian region. On the other hand, the BRI could lead to debt distress in several countries, with Tajikistan being particularly vulnerable. The BRI may have also aggravated Sinophobia in several Central Asian Republics. The BRI has to navigate a complex geopolitical environment in Central Asia. If implemented improperly, BRI infrastructure projects could worsen the region’s pre-existing geopolitical fault lines.

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Appendix
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Footnotes
1
The proposed land law allowed foreigners to rent agricultural land in Kazakhstan for 25 years. It also allowed land to be sold or leased at auctions.
 
2
To the extent that Russia’s official stance towards the BRI is mildly supportive, in this study Russia’s role per se is not considered as a source of geopolitical tension (or geopolitical dividends) as far as China’s economic engagement with Central Asian republics is concerned. This is not to argue a structurally diminished role for Russia, whether in terms of security, economics or culture, in this part of the world traditionally under the Russian/Soviet/Russian sphere of influence, but to argue that Russia has so far refrained from pursuing a policy of obstructionism vis-à-vis the BRI and China’s economic presence in its backyard. In addition, as this study examines the implications and impacts of the BRI predominately from the perspective of regional countries, the dynamics of greater power competition in which Russia is a major part is not the focus of this chapter.
 
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Metadata
Title
BRI and Central Asia
Authors
Pradumna B. Rana
Xianbai Ji
Copyright Year
2020
Publisher
Springer Singapore
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-5171-0_7