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2021 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

Chapter 3: John Maynard Keynes on Debt and Demand

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Abstract

This chapter discusses the insights from John Maynard Keynes about crises. He introduced a behavioural explanation of booms and busts with the help of two psychological concepts: animal spirits (greed and fear) and herd behaviour (reinforcing ups and downs of financial markets). He also pointed at the destabilizing consequences of high household debt for the economy. This represents the connection between his microeconomics and his macroeconomics. When households reduce their consumer spending due to high indebtedness and/or high unemployment rates (during a recession), effective demand in an economy is low. This can only be countered with increased government expenditures. Recovery measures include stimulus packages and a debt jubilee.

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Footnotes
1
Luis Jácome and Srobona Mitra, “LTV and DTI Limits – Going Granular,” IMF Working Paper 15/154, 2015.
 
2
Daniele Tori and Özlem Onaran, “The Effects of Financialization on Investment: Evidence from Firm-Level Data for the UK,” Cambridge Journal of Economics 42, 5 (2018): 1393–1416.
 
3
IMF, “New Data on Global Debt”, https://​blogs.​imf.​org/​2019/​01/​02/​new-data-on-global-debt/​ Accessed on November 18, 2019.
 
6
Andrew Haldane, Matt Roberts-Sklar, Tomasz Wieladek, and Chris Young, “QE: The Story so far”, Staff Working Paper 624 (London: Bank of England, October 2016).
 
7
Haldane et al., ”QE”.
 
10
Divosa, “Armoede en schulden in Nederland” (Utrecht: Divosa, 2018), https://​www.​divosa.​nl/​pdf/​%2D%2D_​%2D%2Darmoede-en-schulden-nederland/​pagina.​pdf Accessed on November 19, 2019.
 
11
CfRC, “Britain in the Red – Why we need Action to Help Over-Indebted Households” (London: Trades Union Congress, 2016), https://​www.​responsible-credit.​org.​uk/​britain-red-action-reduce-debt-burden/​ Accessed on November 19, 2019.
 
12
Robert Skidelsky, John Maynard Keynes 1883–1946: Economist, Philosopher, Statesman (London: Penguin, 2005).
 
13
Keynes, John Maynard, The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money (New York: Macmillan, 1936), p. 34.
 
14
The opposition was led by Dutch prime minister Mark Rutte, who used the misplaced metaphor of ‘keeping one’s household accounts in order’ in his demands for structural reforms (such as a higher pension age) in the southern EU-member states. The rest of the EU, including Germany and France, criticized him for this. And rightly so.
 
Literature
go back to reference Haldane, Andrew, Matt Roberts-Sklar, Tomasz Wieladek, and Chris Young. “QE: The Story so far.” Staff Working Paper 624. London: Bank of England, October 2016. Haldane, Andrew, Matt Roberts-Sklar, Tomasz Wieladek, and Chris Young. “QE: The Story so far.” Staff Working Paper 624. London: Bank of England, October 2016.
go back to reference Jácome, Luis and Srobona Mitra. “LTV and DTI Limits – Going Granular.” IMF Working Paper 15/154, 2015. Jácome, Luis and Srobona Mitra. “LTV and DTI Limits – Going Granular.” IMF Working Paper 15/154, 2015.
go back to reference Keynes, John Maynard. The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. New York: Macmillan, 1936. Keynes, John Maynard. The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. New York: Macmillan, 1936.
go back to reference Skidelsky, Robert. John Maynard Keynes 1883–1946: Economist, Philosopher, Statesman. London: Penguin, 2005. Skidelsky, Robert. John Maynard Keynes 1883–1946: Economist, Philosopher, Statesman. London: Penguin, 2005.
go back to reference Tori, Daniele and Özlem Onaran. ‘The Effects of Financialization on Investment: Evidence from Firm-Level Data for the UK.’ Cambridge Journal of Economics 42, 5 (2018): 1393–1416.CrossRef Tori, Daniele and Özlem Onaran. ‘The Effects of Financialization on Investment: Evidence from Firm-Level Data for the UK.’ Cambridge Journal of Economics 42, 5 (2018): 1393–1416.CrossRef
Metadata
Title
Chapter 3: John Maynard Keynes on Debt and Demand
Author
Irene van Staveren
Copyright Year
2021
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-57609-7_4