01-04-2025 | Original Paper
Decoding the predesigned HDPE synthesis recipe: utilizing the power of ANN and Monte Carlo for tailored molecular weight distribution
Authors: Ramin Bairami Habashi, Mohammad Najafi, Reza Zarghami, Alireza Sabzevari
Published in: Journal of Polymer Research | Issue 4/2025
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Abstract
This article presents a groundbreaking approach to the synthesis of high-density polyethylene (HDPE) with tailored molecular weight distributions (MWD) through the innovative use of artificial neural networks (ANNs) and Monte Carlo simulations. The study focuses on the copolymerization of ethylene and 1-butene using a dual-site metallocene catalyst, aiming to achieve bimodal MWDs at a micro-model scale. By leveraging Monte Carlo simulations, the research models the growth and distribution of individual polymer chains, providing a detailed understanding of the copolymerization process. The integration of ANNs further enhances the predictive capabilities, enabling the optimization of initial reactant concentrations to achieve pre-designed bimodal distributions. The article delves into the kinetic model of the copolymerization process, highlighting key reaction steps such as catalyst activation, chain initiation, propagation, and deactivation. It also explores the validation of Monte Carlo simulations through experimental data, demonstrating a strong correlation between predicted and observed outcomes. The use of ANNs in both forward and inverse modeling is discussed, showcasing their efficacy in predicting copolymer properties and identifying optimal reaction conditions. The study concludes with a detailed analysis of the effects of comonomer incorporation and chain branching on copolymer properties, providing valuable insights into the control of molecular weights and the enhancement of polymer performance. This comprehensive approach offers a robust framework for optimizing HDPE synthesis, making it a significant contribution to the field of polymer science.
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Abstract
The copolymerization of ethylene and 1-butene in the presence of hydrogen using a dual-site metallocene catalyst was optimized to produce copolymers with pre-designed bimodal molecular weight distributions (MWDs). This optimization employed artificial neural networks (ANNs) featuring both forward and inverse models. A rigorous training phase was conducted for the ANN models using a dataset derived from Monte Carlo simulations, followed by validation and testing procedures. The forward model accurately predicted bimodal distributions obtained through the Monte Carlo method based on initial copolymerization conditions, which included concentration ratios of ethylene to 1-butene and ethylene to hydrogen, while keeping co-catalyst concentration and copolymerization temperature constant. High alignment between predicted and simulated MWD was confirmed through weight fraction comparisons across multiple concentration ratios. Additionally, the inverse model effectively estimated initial copolymerization conditions using weight fraction data for specific chain lengths from bimodal MWD diagrams. As a result, the initial copolymerization conditions in the Monte Carlo simulations were successfully optimized through the integration of ANNs, leading to the generation of pre-designed bimodal distributions. The results demonstrated that HDPE synthesized under different conditions exhibited distinct properties: Case (1) produced higher crystallinity and density with lower comonomer incorporation, while Case (3) resulted in higher molecular weight but lower crystallinity. Case (2) displayed intermediate properties, resembling a bimodal distribution with similar peak heights. This study highlighted the efficacy of integrating Monte Carlo and ANN techniques for precise control over MWD, providing a robust framework for tailoring HDPE properties to enhance performance across diverse applications.
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