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2021 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

8. Defining Probabilities of Events

Authors : Franco Oboni, Cesar H. Oboni

Published in: Convergent Leadership-Divergent Exposures

Publisher: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

This chapter discusses how probabilities of single events can be evaluated and updated, and delivers some examples of portfolio analyses. A box with links to key terms is included in the references at the end of this chapter to facilitate the read.

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previous chapter Comprehensive Hazard Identification
next chapter Evaluating Consequences
Appendix
Available only for authorised users
Literature
Ang AH-S, Tang WH (1975) Probability concepts in engineering planning and design, Volume I, basic principles. Wiley
Ang AH-S, Tang WH (1984) Probability concepts in engineering planning and design, volume II, decision, risk and reliability. Wiley
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Lipscomb J, Parmigiani G, Hasselblad V (1998) Combining expert judgement by hierarchical modeling: an application to physician staffing. Manage Sci 44(2):149–161CrossRef
Oboni C, Oboni F (2018) Geoethical consensus building through independent risk assessments. In: Resources for future generations 2018 (RFG2018). Vancouver BC, June 16–21, 2018
Oboni F, Oboni C (2016) The long shadow of human-generated geohazards: risks and crises. In: Farid A (ed.) Geohazards caused by human activity. InTechOpen. ISBN: 978–953–51–2802–1, Print ISBN 978–953–51–2801–4
Oboni F, Oboni C, Caldwell J (2014) Risk assessment of the long-term performance of closed tailings. In: Tailings and Mine Waste 2014. Keystone CO, USA, October 5–8, 2014
Rosenblueth E (1975) Point estimates for probability moments. Proc National Acad Sci USA PNAS 72(10):3812–3814CrossRef
Straub D, Grêt-Regamey A (2006) A Bayesian probabilistic framework for avalanche modelling based on observations. Cold Regions Sci Technol 46:192–203CrossRef
Metadata
Title
Defining Probabilities of Events
Authors
Franco Oboni
Cesar H. Oboni
Copyright Year
2021
Book
Convergent Leadership-Divergent Exposures

Print ISBN: 978-3-030-74929-3

Electronic ISBN: 978-3-030-74930-9

Copyright Year: 2021

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-74930-9_8