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31-03-2023

Do sophisticated investors follow fundamental analysis strategies? Evidence from hedge funds and mutual funds

Authors: Feifei Wang, Xuemin Sterling Yan, Lingling Zheng

Published in: Review of Accounting Studies

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Abstract

Using fund returns and fund stockholdings, we investigate whether fund managers follow fundamental analysis strategies. We show that hedge fund and mutual fund returns tend to load negatively on the long-short returns of a comprehensive sample of fundamental strategies (i.e., accounting anomalies), suggesting that fund managers are prone to trade in the opposite direction of what fundamental strategies prescribe. The negative loadings are primarily driven by the short-leg of the anomalies, more pronounced for contrarian-like anomalies, and more prevalent among earnings quality, investment, external financing, value, and profitability-based anomalies. We show that funds with higher anomaly loadings perform significantly better. Our results suggest that fund managers, as a group, do not systematically pursue fundamental analysis strategies, perhaps due to agency concerns, but a subset of managers are skilled and profit from employing such strategies. We find similar results when examining the stockholdings of hedge funds and mutual funds. Our findings have important implications for the persistence of accounting anomalies, sophistication of institutional investors, and investment value of fundamental analysis.

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Appendix
Available only for authorised users
Footnotes
1
McLean et al. (2020) construct an index based on 130 market anomalies and investigate how nine different market participants, including institutional investors, trade with respect to this composite anomaly index. They do not examine individual anomalies or focus on accounting anomalies.
 
2
For ease of exposition, we use “fundamental analysis strategies”, “fundamental strategies,” and “accounting anomalies” interchangeably in this paper. Richardson et al. (2010) state that the research on fundamental analysis and the research on accounting anomalies significantly overlap, both having the primary goal of predicting earnings and returns.
 
3
Our approach is similar to Palhares and Richardson (2020), who examine both the returns and holdings of credit hedge funds and high-yield credit mutual funds to evaluate credit long–short managers’ exposure to the credit risk premium.
 
5
Our results are qualitatively similar if we compute total net assets (TNA)-weighted average returns across all hedge funds or mutual funds. See Table IA.1 in the Internet Appendix for details.
 
6
Our results are similar if we control for Fama and French three factors instead of the market factor in the regression of mutual fund returns.
 
7
We report CAPM alphas because accounting anomalies are traditionally identified as return patterns that cannot be explained by the CAPM.
 
8
This finding is consistent with a simple count of the positive and negative loadings among momentum- and contrarian-like anomalies in Table 3. For hedge funds, 14 of the 26 momentum-like anomalies have negative loadings, while all 28 contrarian-like anomalies have negative loadings. For mutual funds, 15 of 26 momentum-like anomalies have negative loadings, while 26 of the 28 contrarian-like anomalies have negative loadings. For details, please refer to Figure IA.1 in the Internet Appendix.
 
9
We note that the negative loadings for contrarian-like anomalies could be driven by fund managers engaging in momentum trading, but failing to unwind positions in a timely manner. Specifically, for contrarian-like anomalies, the long-short return during the formation period is negative, so fund managers engaging in momentum-trading will tend buy (sell) short- (long-) leg stocks during the formation period. If they do not unwind these positions in a timely fashion, they will hold positions opposite to the prescriptions of contrarian-like anomalies during the holding period. We thank the referee for suggesting this alternative explanation.
 
10
We require that funds have at least 24 months of returns. Our final sample for fund-level analyses include 4,645 hedge funds and 2,866 mutual funds.
 
11
The website is https://​activeshare.​nd.​edu/​. When the self-declared benchmark is missing for a fund, we use the S&P 500 index as its benchmark.
 
12
Our results are similar if we use other popular indexes as the benchmark portfolio for hedge funds.
 
13
We also plot in Figure IA.2 the relation between temporal changes in excess anomaly ranks and subsequent anomaly returns and find that the relationship is largely flat, consistent with the results in Tables IA.5 and IA.6.
 
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Metadata
Title
Do sophisticated investors follow fundamental analysis strategies? Evidence from hedge funds and mutual funds
Authors
Feifei Wang
Xuemin Sterling Yan
Lingling Zheng
Publication date
31-03-2023
Publisher
Springer US
Published in
Review of Accounting Studies
Print ISSN: 1380-6653
Electronic ISSN: 1573-7136
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11142-023-09762-z