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01-09-2012

Extremes of Temperature, Oxygen and Blooms in the Baltic Sea in a Changing Climate

Authors: Thomas Neumann, Kari Eilola, Bo Gustafsson, Bärbel Müller-Karulis, Ivan Kuznetsov, H. E. Markus Meier, Oleg P. Savchuk

Published in: Ambio | Issue 6/2012

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Abstract

In the future, the Baltic Sea ecosystem will be impacted both by climate change and by riverine and atmospheric nutrient inputs. Multi-model ensemble simulations comprising one IPCC scenario (A1B), two global climate models, two regional climate models, and three Baltic Sea ecosystem models were performed to elucidate the combined effect of climate change and changes in nutrient inputs. This study focuses on the occurrence of extreme events in the projected future climate. Results suggest that the number of days favoring cyanobacteria blooms could increase, anoxic events may become more frequent and last longer, and salinity may tend to decrease. Nutrient load reductions following the Baltic Sea Action Plan can reduce the deterioration of oxygen conditions.

previous article Impact of Climate Change on Ecological Quality Indicators and Biogeochemical Fluxes in the Baltic Sea: A Multi-Model Ensemble Study

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Title: Extremes of Temperature, Oxygen and Blooms in the Baltic Sea in a Changing Climate
Authors: Thomas Neumann
Kari Eilola
Bo Gustafsson
Bärbel Müller-Karulis
Ivan Kuznetsov
H. E. Markus Meier
Oleg P. Savchuk
Publication date: 01-09-2012
Publisher: Springer Netherlands
Published in: Ambio / Issue 6/2012
Print ISSN: 0044-7447
Electronic ISSN: 1654-7209
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-012-0321-2

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Other articles of this Issue 6/2012

Impact of Climate Change on Ecological Quality Indicators and Biogeochemical Fluxes in the Baltic Sea: A Multi-Model Ensemble Study

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