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2021 | Book

Financial Data Resampling for Machine Learning Based Trading

Application to Cryptocurrency Markets

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About this book

This book presents a system that combines the expertise of four algorithms, namely Gradient Tree Boosting, Logistic Regression, Random Forest and Support Vector Classifier to trade with several cryptocurrencies. A new method for resampling financial data is presented as alternative to the classical time sampled data commonly used in financial market trading. The new resampling method uses a closing value threshold to resample the data creating a signal better suited for financial trading, thus achieving higher returns without increased risk. The performance of the algorithm with the new resampling method and the classical time sampled data are compared and the advantages of using the system developed in this work are highlighted.

Table of Contents

Frontmatter
Chapter 1. Introduction
Abstract
This chapter presents an overview of this work and its structure. The main goals of this work are described, the main improvements as well as novelties brought forward by this work in its subject area are revealed and finally the structure of this book is summarized.
Tomé Almeida Borges, Rui Neves
Chapter 2. Background and State-of-the-Art
Abstract
This chapter presents the fundamental concepts put into practice throughout this thesis. In first place, the subject of Cryptocurrencies is introduced and complemented by a description of the overall panorama of the Cryptocurrency Exchange Market. Secondly, the two main approaches used for examining financial markets are explained. Thirdly, an overview of the principles of each of the four learning algorithms as well as the ensemble voting method employed in this work are presented. Lastly, to conclude this chapter, some academic papers related to this thesis will be reviewed to support some of the decisions made.
Tomé Almeida Borges, Rui Neves
Chapter 3. Implementation
Abstract
In order to validate that utilizing resampled data rather than time sampled data is in fact advantageous, a single trading system capable of forecasting financial movements on these two types of data was developed. The forecasting results obtained from the various resampling datasets are represented and compared against each other in Chap. 4. In this chapter the proposed strategy implemented to maximize the predictive performance in the cryptocurrency exchange market is described. Before anything else, the main architecture of the system is overviewed. Afterwards, a more detailed description of each module that composes the system and its objective will be described.
Tomé Almeida Borges, Rui Neves
Chapter 4. Results
Abstract
This section starts by describing the financial data, evaluation metrics and an additional strategy utilized as comparison baseline for this work’s system. Afterwards, the overall results obtained are reported to evince that this system is valid and posteriorly the results for each different type of resampling are presented and analysed in form of case studies. Lastly, follows a discussion and comparison of the results obtained with the time and alternative resampling procedures.
Tomé Almeida Borges, Rui Neves
Chapter 5. Conclusions and Future Work
Abstract
This last chapter summarizes the main conclusions to be assimilated from this book and, on a final note, possible paths for future work and improvements are listed.
Tomé Almeida Borges, Rui Neves
Metadata
Title
Financial Data Resampling for Machine Learning Based Trading
Authors
Dr. Tomé Almeida Borges
Prof. Rui Neves
Copyright Year
2021
Electronic ISBN
978-3-030-68379-5
Print ISBN
978-3-030-68378-8
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-68379-5

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