Skip to main content
Top

2021 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

14. Forecast of Future Impacts of Using ICT Services on GHG Emissions Reduction and GDP Growth in Japan

Authors : Xiaoxi Zhang, Machiko Shinozuka, Yuriko Tanaka, Yuko Kanamori, Toshihiko Masui

Published in: EcoDesign and Sustainability II

Publisher: Springer Singapore

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Information and communication technologies (ICTs) can potentially contribute to realizing a decarbonized and dematerialized society through increased productivity in many industries and lifestyle changes. Several previous studies have focused on these environmental impacts of ICTs use by estimating and comparing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reductions with and without existing ICT use. However, few studies have estimated the environmental impacts of future ICT use. In this paper, a method is proposed to make scenarios and estimate future environmental and economic impacts of ICTs use on the basis of a computable general equilibrium (AIM/CGE [Japan]) model. The evaluated ICT services are ICT services already in common use and several new ICTs. Two scenarios (baseline and ICT accelerated) until 2030 are set for assessing the environmental and economic impacts of using these ICTs. Model simulation results show Japan’s GHG emissions to be about 34 Mt-CO2eq lower and gross domestic product (GDP) more than ¥33 trillion higher in 2030 in the ICT accelerated scenario than in the baseline scenario. This demonstrates that ICTs will be able to contribute to both economic growth and GHG emissions reduction in the future.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literature
go back to reference Fuji Chimera Research & Institute Inc. (2018) Study of new business strategies by SI/NI Vendors of Japan (In Japanese) Fuji Chimera Research & Institute Inc. (2018) Study of new business strategies by SI/NI Vendors of Japan (In Japanese)
go back to reference Fujimori S, Masui T, Matsuoka Y (2012) AIM/CGE [basic] manual: discussion paper series, 2012–01, Center for Social and Environmental Systems Research, National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES) Fujimori S, Masui T, Matsuoka Y (2012) AIM/CGE [basic] manual: discussion paper series, 2012–01, Center for Social and Environmental Systems Research, National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES)
go back to reference Information and communications in Japan WHITE PAPER (2017) Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications Information and communications in Japan WHITE PAPER (2017) Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications
go back to reference Information and communications in Japan WHITE PAPER (2018) Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (In Japanese) Information and communications in Japan WHITE PAPER (2018) Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (In Japanese)
go back to reference IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (2014) United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (2014) United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
go back to reference L.1410 (2012) Methodology for environmental life cycle assessment (LCA) of information and communication (ICT) goods, networks and services. International Telecommunication Union L.1410 (2012) Methodology for environmental life cycle assessment (LCA) of information and communication (ICT) goods, networks and services. International Telecommunication Union
go back to reference Masui T, Rana A, Matsuoka Y (2003) Climate Policy Assessment, Chap. 11, pp 177–196 Masui T, Rana A, Matsuoka Y (2003) Climate Policy Assessment, Chap. 11, pp 177–196
go back to reference Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications JAPAN (2005) Input-Output Tables for Japan, 2009 Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications JAPAN (2005) Input-Output Tables for Japan, 2009
go back to reference Nagao T, Hara M, Hannoe S, Nakamura J (2015) Estimation of reduction in CO2 emissions by using ICT throughout Japan. In: Proceedings of the 9th international symposium on environmentally conscious design and inverse manufacturing, Tokyo, 2–4 December 2015 Nagao T, Hara M, Hannoe S, Nakamura J (2015) Estimation of reduction in CO2 emissions by using ICT throughout Japan. In: Proceedings of the 9th international symposium on environmentally conscious design and inverse manufacturing, Tokyo, 2–4 December 2015
go back to reference Nikkei BP (2016) Road map 2016–2025 ICT Integrated New Industry (In Japanese) Nikkei BP (2016) Road map 2016–2025 ICT Integrated New Industry (In Japanese)
go back to reference Origuchi T, Shinozuka M, Zhang X, Munesue Y, Kanamori Y, Masui T (2017) Assessment of impacts on CO2 emissions and GDP of ICT services in Japan using computable general equilibrium model. In: Proceeding of the 10th international symposium on environmentally conscious design and inverse manufacturing, Taiwan, 29 November–1 December, 2017 Origuchi T, Shinozuka M, Zhang X, Munesue Y, Kanamori Y, Masui T (2017) Assessment of impacts on CO2 emissions and GDP of ICT services in Japan using computable general equilibrium model. In: Proceeding of the 10th international symposium on environmentally conscious design and inverse manufacturing, Taiwan, 29 November–1 December, 2017
go back to reference Submission of Japan’s Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC) (2015) Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan Submission of Japan’s Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC) (2015) Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan
go back to reference The Guideline for Information and Communication Technology (ICT) Eco-efficiency Estimation (2006) The Japan Forum on Eco-efficiency The Guideline for Information and Communication Technology (ICT) Eco-efficiency Estimation (2006) The Japan Forum on Eco-efficiency
Metadata
Title
Forecast of Future Impacts of Using ICT Services on GHG Emissions Reduction and GDP Growth in Japan
Authors
Xiaoxi Zhang
Machiko Shinozuka
Yuriko Tanaka
Yuko Kanamori
Toshihiko Masui
Copyright Year
2021
Publisher
Springer Singapore
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-6775-9_14