Skip to main content
Top

2015 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

From Ice to Penguins: The Role of Mathematics in Antarctic Research

Authors : José C. Xavier, S. L. Hill, M. Belchier, T. J. Bracegirdle, E. J. Murphy, J. Lopes Dias

Published in: Mathematics of Energy and Climate Change

Publisher: Springer International Publishing

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Mathematics underpins all modern Antarctic science as illustrated by numerous activities carried out during the international year “Mathematics for Planet Earth”. Here, we provide examples of some ongoing applications of mathematics in a wide range of Antarctic science disciplines: (1) Feeding and foraging of marine predators; (2) Fisheries management and ecosystem modelling; and (3) Climate change research. Mathematics has allowed the development of diverse models of physical and ecological processes in the Antarctic. It has provided insights into the past dynamics of these systems and allows projections of potential future conditions, which are essential for understanding and managing the effects of fishing and climate change. Highly specific methods and models have been developed to address particular questions in each discipline, from the detailed analyses of remote-sensed predator tracking data to the assessment of the outputs from multiple global climate models. A key issue, that is common to all disciplines, is how to deal with the inherent uncertainty that arises from limited data availability and the assumptions or simplifications that are necessary in the analysis and modeling of interacting processes. With the continued rapid development of satellite-based and remote observation systems (e.g. ocean drifters and automatic weather stations), and of new methods for genetic analyses of biological systems, a step-change is occurring in the magnitude of data available on all components of Antarctic systems. These changes in data availability have already led to the development of new methods and algorithms for their efficient collection, validation, storage and analysis. Further progress will require the development of a wide range of new and innovative mathematical approaches, continuing the trend of world science becoming increasingly international and interdisciplinary.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literature
1.
go back to reference Agnew, D.J., Kirkwood, G.P.: A statistical method for estimating the level of IUU fishing: application to CCAMLR subarea 48.3. CCAMLR Sci. 12, 119–141 (2005) Agnew, D.J., Kirkwood, G.P.: A statistical method for estimating the level of IUU fishing: application to CCAMLR subarea 48.3. CCAMLR Sci. 12, 119–141 (2005)
2.
go back to reference Agnew, D.J., Edwards, C., Hillary, R., Mitchell, R., Lopez Abellan, L.J.: Status of the coastal stocks of Dissostichus spp. In east Antarctica (Divisions 58.4.1 and 58.4.2). CCAMLR Sci. 16, 71–100 (2009) Agnew, D.J., Edwards, C., Hillary, R., Mitchell, R., Lopez Abellan, L.J.: Status of the coastal stocks of Dissostichus spp. In east Antarctica (Divisions 58.4.1 and 58.4.2). CCAMLR Sci. 16, 71–100 (2009)
3.
go back to reference Anisimov, O.A., Vaughan, D.G., Callaghan, T.V., Furgal, C., Marchant, H., Prowse, T.D., Vilhjálmsson, H., Walsh, J.E.: Polar regions (Arctic and Antarctic). In: Parry, M.L., Canziani, O.F., Palutikof, J.P., van der Linden, P.J., Hanson, C.E. (eds.) Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, pp. 653–685. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2007) Anisimov, O.A., Vaughan, D.G., Callaghan, T.V., Furgal, C., Marchant, H., Prowse, T.D., Vilhjálmsson, H., Walsh, J.E.: Polar regions (Arctic and Antarctic). In: Parry, M.L., Canziani, O.F., Palutikof, J.P., van der Linden, P.J., Hanson, C.E. (eds.) Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, pp. 653–685. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2007)
4.
go back to reference Atkinson, A., Siegel, V., Pakhomov, E.A., Rothery, P.: Long-term decline in krill stock and increase in salps within the Southern Ocean. Nature 432, 100–103 (2004) Atkinson, A., Siegel, V., Pakhomov, E.A., Rothery, P.: Long-term decline in krill stock and increase in salps within the Southern Ocean. Nature 432, 100–103 (2004)
5.
go back to reference Atkinson, A., Shreeve, R.S., Hirst, A.G., Rothery, P., Tarling, G.A., Pond, D.W., Korb, R., Murphy, E.J., Watkins, J.L.: Natural growth rates of Antarctic krill (Euphausia superba): II. Predictive models based on food, temperature, body length, sex, and maturity stage. Limnol. Oceanogr. 51, 973–987 (2006) Atkinson, A., Shreeve, R.S., Hirst, A.G., Rothery, P., Tarling, G.A., Pond, D.W., Korb, R., Murphy, E.J., Watkins, J.L.: Natural growth rates of Antarctic krill (Euphausia superba): II. Predictive models based on food, temperature, body length, sex, and maturity stage. Limnol. Oceanogr. 51, 973–987 (2006)
6.
go back to reference Atkinson, A., Siegel, V., Pakhomov, E.A., Jessopp, M.J., Loeb, V.: A re-appraisal of the total biomass and annual production of Antarctic krill. Deep Sea Res. I Oceanogr. Res. Pap. 56, 727–740 (2009) Atkinson, A., Siegel, V., Pakhomov, E.A., Jessopp, M.J., Loeb, V.: A re-appraisal of the total biomass and annual production of Antarctic krill. Deep Sea Res. I Oceanogr. Res. Pap. 56, 727–740 (2009)
7.
go back to reference Ballerini, T., Hofmann, E.E., Ainley, D.G., Daly, K., Marrari, M., Ribic, C.A., Smith, W.O., Steele, J.H.: Productivity and linkages of the food web of the southern region of the Western Antarctic Peninsula continental shelf. Prog. Oceanogr. 122, 10–29 (2014) Ballerini, T., Hofmann, E.E., Ainley, D.G., Daly, K., Marrari, M., Ribic, C.A., Smith, W.O., Steele, J.H.: Productivity and linkages of the food web of the southern region of the Western Antarctic Peninsula continental shelf. Prog. Oceanogr. 122, 10–29 (2014)
8.
go back to reference Barbraud, C., Heimerskirch, H.: Emperor penguins and climate change. Nature 411, 183–186 (2001) Barbraud, C., Heimerskirch, H.: Emperor penguins and climate change. Nature 411, 183–186 (2001)
9.
go back to reference Barnes, D.K.A., Peck, L.S.: Vulnerability of Antarctic shelf biodiversity to predicted regional warming. Clim. Res. 37, 149–163 (2008) Barnes, D.K.A., Peck, L.S.: Vulnerability of Antarctic shelf biodiversity to predicted regional warming. Clim. Res. 37, 149–163 (2008)
10.
go back to reference Beddington, J.R., May, R.M.: Maximum sustainable yields in systems subject to harvesting at more than one trophic level. Math. Biosci. 51, 261–281 (1980)MathSciNetMATH Beddington, J.R., May, R.M.: Maximum sustainable yields in systems subject to harvesting at more than one trophic level. Math. Biosci. 51, 261–281 (1980)MathSciNetMATH
11.
go back to reference Beddington, J.R., May, R.M.: The harvesting of interacting species in a natural ecosystem. Sci. Am. 247, 42–50 (1982) Beddington, J.R., May, R.M.: The harvesting of interacting species in a natural ecosystem. Sci. Am. 247, 42–50 (1982)
12.
go back to reference Block, B.A., Jonsen, I.D., Jorgensen, S.J., Winship, A.J., Shaffer, S.A., Bograd, S.J., Hazen, E.L., Foley, D.G., Breed, G.A., Harrison, A.L., Ganong, J.E., Swithenbank, A., Castleton, M., Dewar, H., Mate, B.R., Shillinger, G.L., Schaefer, K.M., Benson, S.R., Weise, M.J., Henry, R.W., Costa, D.P.: Tracking apex marine predator movements in a dynamic ocean. Nature 475(7354), 86–90 (2011). doi:10.1038/nature10082 Block, B.A., Jonsen, I.D., Jorgensen, S.J., Winship, A.J., Shaffer, S.A., Bograd, S.J., Hazen, E.L., Foley, D.G., Breed, G.A., Harrison, A.L., Ganong, J.E., Swithenbank, A., Castleton, M., Dewar, H., Mate, B.R., Shillinger, G.L., Schaefer, K.M., Benson, S.R., Weise, M.J., Henry, R.W., Costa, D.P.: Tracking apex marine predator movements in a dynamic ocean. Nature 475(7354), 86–90 (2011). doi:10.1038/nature10082
13.
go back to reference Bokhorst, S., Huiskes, A., Convey, P., Sinclair, B.J., Lebouvier, M., Van de Vijver, B., Wall, D.H.: Microclimate impacts of passive warming methods in Antarctica: implications for climate change studies. Polar Biol. 34, 1421–1435 (2011) Bokhorst, S., Huiskes, A., Convey, P., Sinclair, B.J., Lebouvier, M., Van de Vijver, B., Wall, D.H.: Microclimate impacts of passive warming methods in Antarctica: implications for climate change studies. Polar Biol. 34, 1421–1435 (2011)
14.
go back to reference Boltovskoy, D.: South Atlantic Zooplankton. Backhuys Publishers, Leiden (1999) Boltovskoy, D.: South Atlantic Zooplankton. Backhuys Publishers, Leiden (1999)
15.
go back to reference Bracegirdle, T.J., Stephenson, D.B.: Higher precision estimates of regional polar warming by ensemble regression of climate model projections. Clim. Dyn. 39, 2805–2821 (2012) Bracegirdle, T.J., Stephenson, D.B.: Higher precision estimates of regional polar warming by ensemble regression of climate model projections. Clim. Dyn. 39, 2805–2821 (2012)
16.
go back to reference Brandt, A., Gooday, A.J., Brandao, S.N., Brix, S., Brokeland, W., Cedhagen, T., Choudhury, M., Cornelius, N., Danis, B., De Mesel, I., Diaz, R.J., Gillan, D.C., Ebbe, B., Howe, J.A., Janussen, D., Kaiser, S., Linse, K., Malyutina, M., Pawlowski, J., Raupach, M., Vanreusel, A.: First insights into the biodiversity and biogeography of the Southern Ocean deep sea. Nature 447(7142), 307–311 (2007) Brandt, A., Gooday, A.J., Brandao, S.N., Brix, S., Brokeland, W., Cedhagen, T., Choudhury, M., Cornelius, N., Danis, B., De Mesel, I., Diaz, R.J., Gillan, D.C., Ebbe, B., Howe, J.A., Janussen, D., Kaiser, S., Linse, K., Malyutina, M., Pawlowski, J., Raupach, M., Vanreusel, A.: First insights into the biodiversity and biogeography of the Southern Ocean deep sea. Nature 447(7142), 307–311 (2007)
17.
go back to reference Candy, S.G.: Modelling catch and effort data using generalised linear models, the tweedie distribution, random vessel effects and random stratum-by-year effects. CCAMLR Sci. 11, 59–80 (2004)MathSciNet Candy, S.G.: Modelling catch and effort data using generalised linear models, the tweedie distribution, random vessel effects and random stratum-by-year effects. CCAMLR Sci. 11, 59–80 (2004)MathSciNet
18.
go back to reference Candy, S.G., Constable, A.J.: An integrated stock assessment for the Patagonian toothfish (Dissostichus eleginoides) for the Heard and McDonald islands using CASAL. CCAMLR Sci. 15, 1–34 (2008) Candy, S.G., Constable, A.J.: An integrated stock assessment for the Patagonian toothfish (Dissostichus eleginoides) for the Heard and McDonald islands using CASAL. CCAMLR Sci. 15, 1–34 (2008)
19.
go back to reference Candy, S.G., Constable, A.J., Lamb, T., Williams, R.: A von Bertalanffy growth model for toothfish at heard island fitted to length-at-age data and compared to observed growth from mark-recapture studies. CCAMLR Sci. 14, 43–66 (2007) Candy, S.G., Constable, A.J., Lamb, T., Williams, R.: A von Bertalanffy growth model for toothfish at heard island fitted to length-at-age data and compared to observed growth from mark-recapture studies. CCAMLR Sci. 14, 43–66 (2007)
20.
go back to reference Ceia, F.R., Phillips, R.A., Ramos, J.A., Cherel, Y., Vieira, R.P., Richard, P., Xavier, J.C.: Short- and long-term consistency in the foraging niche of wandering albatrosses. Mar. Biol. 159, 1581–1591 (2012) Ceia, F.R., Phillips, R.A., Ramos, J.A., Cherel, Y., Vieira, R.P., Richard, P., Xavier, J.C.: Short- and long-term consistency in the foraging niche of wandering albatrosses. Mar. Biol. 159, 1581–1591 (2012)
21.
go back to reference Cherel, Y., Hobson, K.: Stable isotopes, beaks and predators: a new tool to study the trophic ecology of cephalopods, including giant and colossal squids. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 272, 1601–1607 (2005) Cherel, Y., Hobson, K.: Stable isotopes, beaks and predators: a new tool to study the trophic ecology of cephalopods, including giant and colossal squids. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 272, 1601–1607 (2005)
22.
go back to reference Clark, J.M., Agnew, D.J.: Estimating the impact of depredation by killer whales and sperm whales on longline fishing for toothfish (Dissostichus eleginoides) around South Georgia. CCAMLR Sci. 17, 163–178 (2010) Clark, J.M., Agnew, D.J.: Estimating the impact of depredation by killer whales and sperm whales on longline fishing for toothfish (Dissostichus eleginoides) around South Georgia. CCAMLR Sci. 17, 163–178 (2010)
23.
go back to reference Constable, A.J., De la mare, W.K., Agnew, D.J., Everson, I., Miller, D.: Managing fisheries to conserve the Antarctic marine ecosystem: practical implementation of the Convention on the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources (CCAMLR). ICES J. Mar. Sci. 57, 778–791 (2000) Constable, A.J., De la mare, W.K., Agnew, D.J., Everson, I., Miller, D.: Managing fisheries to conserve the Antarctic marine ecosystem: practical implementation of the Convention on the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources (CCAMLR). ICES J. Mar. Sci. 57, 778–791 (2000)
24.
go back to reference Convey, P.: Antarctic ecosystems. In: Levin, S.A. (ed.) Encyclopedia of Biodiversity, pp. 179–188. Academic, Waltham (2013) Convey, P.: Antarctic ecosystems. In: Levin, S.A. (ed.) Encyclopedia of Biodiversity, pp. 179–188. Academic, Waltham (2013)
25.
go back to reference Convey, P., Aitken, S., di Prisco, G., Gill, M.J., Coulson, S.J., Barry, T., Jónsdóttir, I.S., Dang, P.T., Hik, D., Kulkarni, T., Lewis, G.: The impacts of climate change on circumpolar biodiversity. Biodiversity 13, 134–143 (2012) Convey, P., Aitken, S., di Prisco, G., Gill, M.J., Coulson, S.J., Barry, T., Jónsdóttir, I.S., Dang, P.T., Hik, D., Kulkarni, T., Lewis, G.: The impacts of climate change on circumpolar biodiversity. Biodiversity 13, 134–143 (2012)
26.
go back to reference Cornejo-Donoso, J., Antezana, T.: Preliminary trophic model of the Antarctic Peninsula Ecosystem (Sub-area CCAMLR 48.1). Ecol. Model. 218, 1–17 (2008) Cornejo-Donoso, J., Antezana, T.: Preliminary trophic model of the Antarctic Peninsula Ecosystem (Sub-area CCAMLR 48.1). Ecol. Model. 218, 1–17 (2008)
27.
go back to reference Croxall, J.P., Silk, J.R.D., Phillips, R.A., Afanasyev, V., Briggs, D.R.: Global circumnavigations: tracking year-round ranges of nonbreeding albatrosses. Science 307, 249–250 (2005) Croxall, J.P., Silk, J.R.D., Phillips, R.A., Afanasyev, V., Briggs, D.R.: Global circumnavigations: tracking year-round ranges of nonbreeding albatrosses. Science 307, 249–250 (2005)
28.
go back to reference Deagle, B.E., Gales, N.J., Evans, K., Jarman, S.N., Robinson, S., Trebilco, R., Hindell, M.A.: Studying seabird diet through genetic analysis of faeces: a case study on macaroni penguins (Eudyptes chrysolophus). PLoS One 2, e831 (2007) Deagle, B.E., Gales, N.J., Evans, K., Jarman, S.N., Robinson, S., Trebilco, R., Hindell, M.A.: Studying seabird diet through genetic analysis of faeces: a case study on macaroni penguins (Eudyptes chrysolophus). PLoS One 2, e831 (2007)
29.
go back to reference Egevang, C., Stenhouse, I.J., Phillips, R.A., Petersen, A., Fox, J.W., Silk, J.R.D.: Tracking of Arctic terns Sterna paradisaea reveals longest animal migration. In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2010) Egevang, C., Stenhouse, I.J., Phillips, R.A., Petersen, A., Fox, J.W., Silk, J.R.D.: Tracking of Arctic terns Sterna paradisaea reveals longest animal migration. In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2010)
30.
go back to reference FAO: The state of world fisheries and aquaculture. In: Part 1. World Review of Fisheries and Aquaculture. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Rome (2012) FAO: The state of world fisheries and aquaculture. In: Part 1. World Review of Fisheries and Aquaculture. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Rome (2012)
31.
go back to reference Fretwell, P.T., LaRue, M.A., Morin, P., Kooyman, G.L., Wienecke, B., Ratcliffe, N., Fox, A.J., Fleming, A.H., Porter, C., Trathan, P.N.: An emperor penguin population estimate: the first global, synoptic survey of a species from space. PLoS One 7, e33751 (2012) Fretwell, P.T., LaRue, M.A., Morin, P., Kooyman, G.L., Wienecke, B., Ratcliffe, N., Fox, A.J., Fleming, A.H., Porter, C., Trathan, P.N.: An emperor penguin population estimate: the first global, synoptic survey of a species from space. PLoS One 7, e33751 (2012)
32.
go back to reference Garcia, S.M.: The precautionary approach to fisheries and its implications for fishery research, technology and management: an updated review.. In: FAO. Precautionary Approach to Fisheries. Part 2: Scientific Papers, vol. 350 Part 2. p. 210. FAO Fisheries Technical Paper, Rome (1996) Garcia, S.M.: The precautionary approach to fisheries and its implications for fishery research, technology and management: an updated review.. In: FAO. Precautionary Approach to Fisheries. Part 2: Scientific Papers, vol. 350 Part 2. p. 210. FAO Fisheries Technical Paper, Rome (1996)
33.
go back to reference Grant, S.M., Hill, S.L., Fretwell, P.: Spatial distribution of management measures, Antarctic krill catch and Southern Ocean bioregions: implications for conservation planning. CCAMLR Sci. 20, 1–20 (2013) Grant, S.M., Hill, S.L., Fretwell, P.: Spatial distribution of management measures, Antarctic krill catch and Southern Ocean bioregions: implications for conservation planning. CCAMLR Sci. 20, 1–20 (2013)
34.
go back to reference Grant, S.M., Hill, S.L., Trathan, P.N., Murphy, E.J.: Ecosystem services of the Southern Ocean: trade-offs in decision-making. Antarct. Sci. 25, 603–617 (2013) Grant, S.M., Hill, S.L., Trathan, P.N., Murphy, E.J.: Ecosystem services of the Southern Ocean: trade-offs in decision-making. Antarct. Sci. 25, 603–617 (2013)
35.
go back to reference Griffiths, H.J.: Antarctic Marine Biodiversity: What Do We Know About the Distribution of Life in the Southern Ocean? PLoS One 5(8), e11683 (2010) Griffiths, H.J.: Antarctic Marine Biodiversity: What Do We Know About the Distribution of Life in the Southern Ocean? PLoS One 5(8), e11683 (2010)
36.
go back to reference Hazen, E.L., Jorgensen, S., Rykaczewski, R.R., Bograd, S.J., Foley, D.G., Jonsen, I.D., Shaffer, S.A., Dunne, J.P., Costa, D.P., Crowder, L.B., Block, B.A.: Predicted habitat shifts of Pacific top predators in a changing climate. Nat. Clim. Chang. 3(3), 234–238 (2013) Hazen, E.L., Jorgensen, S., Rykaczewski, R.R., Bograd, S.J., Foley, D.G., Jonsen, I.D., Shaffer, S.A., Dunne, J.P., Costa, D.P., Crowder, L.B., Block, B.A.: Predicted habitat shifts of Pacific top predators in a changing climate. Nat. Clim. Chang. 3(3), 234–238 (2013)
37.
go back to reference Hecht, T.: A guide to the otoliths of Southern Ocean fishes. S. Afr. J. Antarct. Res. 17, 2–87 (1987) Hecht, T.: A guide to the otoliths of Southern Ocean fishes. S. Afr. J. Antarct. Res. 17, 2–87 (1987)
38.
go back to reference Hill, S.L.: From strategic ambiguity to technical reference points in the Antarctic krill fishery: the worst journey in the world? Environ. Conserv. 40, 394–405 (2013) Hill, S.L.: From strategic ambiguity to technical reference points in the Antarctic krill fishery: the worst journey in the world? Environ. Conserv. 40, 394–405 (2013)
39.
go back to reference Hill, S.L.: Prospects for a sustainable increase in the availability of long chain omega 3s: lessons from the Antarctic krill fishery. In: De Meester, F., Watson, R.R., Zibadi, S. (eds.) Omega 6/3 Fatty Acids Functions, Sustainability Strategies and Perspectives, pp. 267–296. Humana Press, New York (2013) Hill, S.L.: Prospects for a sustainable increase in the availability of long chain omega 3s: lessons from the Antarctic krill fishery. In: De Meester, F., Watson, R.R., Zibadi, S. (eds.) Omega 6/3 Fatty Acids Functions, Sustainability Strategies and Perspectives, pp. 267–296. Humana Press, New York (2013)
40.
go back to reference Hill, S.L., Cannon, M.: A potential feedback approach to ecosystem based management: model predictive control of the Antarctic krill fishery. CCAMLR Sci. 20, 119–138 (2013) Hill, S.L., Cannon, M.: A potential feedback approach to ecosystem based management: model predictive control of the Antarctic krill fishery. CCAMLR Sci. 20, 119–138 (2013)
41.
go back to reference Hill, S.L., Matthews, J.: The sensitivity of multiple output statistics to input parameters in a krill-predator- fishery ecosystem dynamics model. CCAMLR Sci. 20, 97–118 (2013) Hill, S.L., Matthews, J.: The sensitivity of multiple output statistics to input parameters in a krill-predator- fishery ecosystem dynamics model. CCAMLR Sci. 20, 97–118 (2013)
42.
go back to reference Hill, S.L., Murphy, E.J., Reid, K., Trathan, P.N., Constable, A.: Modelling Southern Ocean ecosystems: krill, the food-web, and the impacts of fishing. Biol. Rev. 81, 581–608 (2006) Hill, S.L., Murphy, E.J., Reid, K., Trathan, P.N., Constable, A.: Modelling Southern Ocean ecosystems: krill, the food-web, and the impacts of fishing. Biol. Rev. 81, 581–608 (2006)
43.
go back to reference Hill, S.L., Reid, K., Thorpe, S.E., Hinke, J., Watters, G.M.: A compilation of parameters for ecosystem dynamics models of the Scotia Sea- Antarctic Peninsula region. CCAMLR Sci. 14, 1–25 (2007) Hill, S.L., Reid, K., Thorpe, S.E., Hinke, J., Watters, G.M.: A compilation of parameters for ecosystem dynamics models of the Scotia Sea- Antarctic Peninsula region. CCAMLR Sci. 14, 1–25 (2007)
44.
go back to reference Hill, S.L., Watters, G.M., Punt, A.E., McAllister, M.K., Le Quere, C., Turner, J.: Model uncertainty in the ecosystem approach to fisheries. Fish Fish. 8, 315–333 (2007) Hill, S.L., Watters, G.M., Punt, A.E., McAllister, M.K., Le Quere, C., Turner, J.: Model uncertainty in the ecosystem approach to fisheries. Fish Fish. 8, 315–333 (2007)
45.
go back to reference Hill, S.L., Trathan, P.N., Agnew, D.J.: The risk to fishery performance associated with spatially resolved management of Antarctic krill (Euphausia superba) harvesting. ICES J. Mar. Sci. 66, 2148–2154 (2009) Hill, S.L., Trathan, P.N., Agnew, D.J.: The risk to fishery performance associated with spatially resolved management of Antarctic krill (Euphausia superba) harvesting. ICES J. Mar. Sci. 66, 2148–2154 (2009)
46.
go back to reference Hill, S.L., Keeble, K., Atkinson, A., Murphy, E.J.: A food web model to explore uncertainties in the South Georgia shelf pelagic ecosystem. Deep Sea Res. II 59–60, 237–252 (2012) Hill, S.L., Keeble, K., Atkinson, A., Murphy, E.J.: A food web model to explore uncertainties in the South Georgia shelf pelagic ecosystem. Deep Sea Res. II 59–60, 237–252 (2012)
47.
go back to reference Hill, S.L., Phillips, T., Atkinson, A.: Potential climate change effects on the habitat of Antarctic krill in the Weddell Quadrant of the Southern Ocean. PLoS One 8, e72246 (2013) Hill, S.L., Phillips, T., Atkinson, A.: Potential climate change effects on the habitat of Antarctic krill in the Weddell Quadrant of the Southern Ocean. PLoS One 8, e72246 (2013)
48.
go back to reference Hillary, R.M., Kirkwood, G.P., Agnew, D.J.: An assessment of toothfish in Subarea 48.3 using CASAL. CCAMLR Sci. 13, 65–95 (2006) Hillary, R.M., Kirkwood, G.P., Agnew, D.J.: An assessment of toothfish in Subarea 48.3 using CASAL. CCAMLR Sci. 13, 65–95 (2006)
49.
go back to reference IPCC: Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. IPCC, Geneva (2007) IPCC: Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. IPCC, Geneva (2007)
50.
go back to reference Jenouvrier, S., Holland, M., Stroeve, J., Barbraud, C., Weimerskirch, H., Serreze, M., Caswell, H.: Effects of climate change on an emperor penguin population: analysis of coupled demographic and climate models. Glob. Chang. Biol. 18(9), 2756–2770 (2012) Jenouvrier, S., Holland, M., Stroeve, J., Barbraud, C., Weimerskirch, H., Serreze, M., Caswell, H.: Effects of climate change on an emperor penguin population: analysis of coupled demographic and climate models. Glob. Chang. Biol. 18(9), 2756–2770 (2012)
51.
go back to reference Jouventin, P., Weimerskirch, H.: Satellite tracking of wandering albatrosses. Nature 343, 746–748 (1990) Jouventin, P., Weimerskirch, H.: Satellite tracking of wandering albatrosses. Nature 343, 746–748 (1990)
52.
go back to reference Kaiser, B., Zicus, S., Allen, B.: Polar Science and Global Climate: An International Resource for Education & Outreach. Pearson, Essex (2010) Kaiser, B., Zicus, S., Allen, B.: Polar Science and Global Climate: An International Resource for Education & Outreach. Pearson, Essex (2010)
53.
go back to reference Karnovsky, N.J., Hobson, K.A., Iverson, S.J.: From lavage to lipids: estimating diets of seabirds. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 451, 263–284 (2012) Karnovsky, N.J., Hobson, K.A., Iverson, S.J.: From lavage to lipids: estimating diets of seabirds. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 451, 263–284 (2012)
54.
go back to reference Kawaguchi, S., Ishida, A., King, R., Raymond, B., Waller, N., Constable, A., Nicol, S., Wakita, M., Ishimatsu, A.: Risk maps for Antarctic krill under projected Southern Ocean acidification. Nat. Clim. Chang. 3(9), 843–847 (2013) Kawaguchi, S., Ishida, A., King, R., Raymond, B., Waller, N., Constable, A., Nicol, S., Wakita, M., Ishimatsu, A.: Risk maps for Antarctic krill under projected Southern Ocean acidification. Nat. Clim. Chang. 3(9), 843–847 (2013)
55.
go back to reference Kinzey, D., Watters, G., Reiss, C.S.: Effects of recruitment variability and natural mortality on generalised yield model projections and the CCAMLR decision rules for Antarctic krill. CCAMLR Sci. 20, 81–96 (2013) Kinzey, D., Watters, G., Reiss, C.S.: Effects of recruitment variability and natural mortality on generalised yield model projections and the CCAMLR decision rules for Antarctic krill. CCAMLR Sci. 20, 81–96 (2013)
56.
go back to reference Krupnik, I., Allison, I., Bell, R., Cutler, P., Hik, D., López-Martinez, J., Rachold, V., Sarukhanian, E., Summerhayes, C.: Understanding Earth’s Polar Challenges: International Polar Year 2007–2008, vol. 1. University of the Arctic. CCI Press, Rovaniemi (2011) Krupnik, I., Allison, I., Bell, R., Cutler, P., Hik, D., López-Martinez, J., Rachold, V., Sarukhanian, E., Summerhayes, C.: Understanding Earth’s Polar Challenges: International Polar Year 2007–2008, vol. 1. University of the Arctic. CCI Press, Rovaniemi (2011)
57.
go back to reference Laws, R.M.: Seals and Whales of the Southern Ocean. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. B 279, 81–96 (1977) Laws, R.M.: Seals and Whales of the Southern Ocean. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. B 279, 81–96 (1977)
58.
go back to reference Lincoln, F.C.: Calculating waterfowl abundance on the basis of banding returns, vol. 118. Cir. U.S. Department of Agriculture (1930) Lincoln, F.C.: Calculating waterfowl abundance on the basis of banding returns, vol. 118. Cir. U.S. Department of Agriculture (1930)
59.
go back to reference Link, J.S., Ihde, T.F., Harvey, C.J., Gaichas, S.K., Field, J.C., Brodziak, J.K.T., Townsend, H.M., Peterman, R.M.: Dealing with uncertainty in ecosystem models: The paradox of use for living resources. Prog. Oceanogr. 102, 102–114 (2012) Link, J.S., Ihde, T.F., Harvey, C.J., Gaichas, S.K., Field, J.C., Brodziak, J.K.T., Townsend, H.M., Peterman, R.M.: Dealing with uncertainty in ecosystem models: The paradox of use for living resources. Prog. Oceanogr. 102, 102–114 (2012)
60.
go back to reference Link, W.A., Barker, R.J.: Bayesian Inference with Ecological Applications. Academic, London (2010) Link, W.A., Barker, R.J.: Bayesian Inference with Ecological Applications. Academic, London (2010)
61.
go back to reference Magnusson, A., Punt, A., Hilborn, R.: Measuring uncertainty in fisheries stock assessment: the delta method, bootstrap, and MCMC. Fish Fish. 14(3), 325–342 (2012) Magnusson, A., Punt, A., Hilborn, R.: Measuring uncertainty in fisheries stock assessment: the delta method, bootstrap, and MCMC. Fish Fish. 14(3), 325–342 (2012)
62.
go back to reference Martinez, I.: Emperor penguin. In: Handbook of the Birds of the World, vol. 1. Lynx Edicions, Barcelona (1992) Martinez, I.: Emperor penguin. In: Handbook of the Birds of the World, vol. 1. Lynx Edicions, Barcelona (1992)
63.
go back to reference McLeod, K.L., Leslie, H.M.: Why ecosystem-based management? In: McLeod, K., Leslie, H. (eds.) Ecosystem-Based Management for the Oceans, pp. 3–12. Island Press, Washington (2009) McLeod, K.L., Leslie, H.M.: Why ecosystem-based management? In: McLeod, K., Leslie, H. (eds.) Ecosystem-Based Management for the Oceans, pp. 3–12. Island Press, Washington (2009)
64.
go back to reference Meredith, M.P., King, J.C.: Rapid climate change in the ocean west of the Antarctic Peninsula during the second half of the 20th century. Geophys. Res. Lett. 32, L19604 (2005) Meredith, M.P., King, J.C.: Rapid climate change in the ocean west of the Antarctic Peninsula during the second half of the 20th century. Geophys. Res. Lett. 32, L19604 (2005)
65.
go back to reference Montes-Hugo, M., Doney, S.C., Ducklow, H.W., Fraser, W., Martinson, D., Stammerjohn, S.E., Schofield, O.: Recent changes in phytoplankton communities associated with rapid regional climate change along the Western Antarctic Peninsula. Science 323, 1470–1473 (2009) Montes-Hugo, M., Doney, S.C., Ducklow, H.W., Fraser, W., Martinson, D., Stammerjohn, S.E., Schofield, O.: Recent changes in phytoplankton communities associated with rapid regional climate change along the Western Antarctic Peninsula. Science 323, 1470–1473 (2009)
66.
go back to reference Murphy, E.J., Hofmann, E.E.: End-to-end in Southern Ocean ecosystems. Curr. Opin. Environ. Sustain. 4, 264–271 (2013) Murphy, E.J., Hofmann, E.E.: End-to-end in Southern Ocean ecosystems. Curr. Opin. Environ. Sustain. 4, 264–271 (2013)
67.
go back to reference Murphy, E.J., Morris, D.J., Watkins, J.L., Priddle, J.: Scales of interaction between antarctic krill and the environment. In: Sahrhage, D. (ed.) Antarctic Ocean and Resources Variability, pp. 120–130. Springer, Berlin (1988) Murphy, E.J., Morris, D.J., Watkins, J.L., Priddle, J.: Scales of interaction between antarctic krill and the environment. In: Sahrhage, D. (ed.) Antarctic Ocean and Resources Variability, pp. 120–130. Springer, Berlin (1988)
68.
go back to reference Murphy, E.J., Cavanagh, R.D., Hofmann, E.E., Hill, S.L., Constable, A.J., Costa, D.P., Pinkerton, M.H., Johnston, N.M., Trathan, P.N., Klinck, J.M., Wolf-Gladrow, D.A., Daly, K.L., Maury, O., Doney, S.C.: Developing integrated models of Southern Ocean food webs: including ecological complexity, accounting for uncertainty and the importance of scale. Prog. Oceanogr. 102, 74–92 (2012) Murphy, E.J., Cavanagh, R.D., Hofmann, E.E., Hill, S.L., Constable, A.J., Costa, D.P., Pinkerton, M.H., Johnston, N.M., Trathan, P.N., Klinck, J.M., Wolf-Gladrow, D.A., Daly, K.L., Maury, O., Doney, S.C.: Developing integrated models of Southern Ocean food webs: including ecological complexity, accounting for uncertainty and the importance of scale. Prog. Oceanogr. 102, 74–92 (2012)
69.
go back to reference Murphy, E.J., Hofmann, E.E., Watkins, J.L., Johnston, N.M., Piñones, A., Ballerini, T., Hill, S.L., Trathan, P.N., Tarling, G.A., Cavanagh, R.A., Young, E.F., Thorpe, S.E., Fretwell, P.: Comparison of the structure and function of Southern Ocean regional ecosystems: The Antarctic Peninsula and South Georgia. J. Mar. Syst. 109–110, 22–42 (2013) Murphy, E.J., Hofmann, E.E., Watkins, J.L., Johnston, N.M., Piñones, A., Ballerini, T., Hill, S.L., Trathan, P.N., Tarling, G.A., Cavanagh, R.A., Young, E.F., Thorpe, S.E., Fretwell, P.: Comparison of the structure and function of Southern Ocean regional ecosystems: The Antarctic Peninsula and South Georgia. J. Mar. Syst. 109–110, 22–42 (2013)
70.
go back to reference Nevitt, G.A., Losekoot, M., Weimerskirch, H.: Evidence for olfactory search in wandering albatross, Diomedea exulans. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 105, 4576–4581 (2008) Nevitt, G.A., Losekoot, M., Weimerskirch, H.: Evidence for olfactory search in wandering albatross, Diomedea exulans. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 105, 4576–4581 (2008)
71.
go back to reference Nicol, S., Foster, J., Kawaguchi, S.: The fishery for Antarctic krill-recent developments. Fish Fish. 13, 30–40 (2012) Nicol, S., Foster, J., Kawaguchi, S.: The fishery for Antarctic krill-recent developments. Fish Fish. 13, 30–40 (2012)
72.
go back to reference Orr, J.C., Fabry, V.J., Aumont, O., Bopp, L., Doney, S.C., Feely, R.A., Gnanadesikan, A., Gruber, N., Ishida, A., Joos, F., Key, R.M., Lindsay, K., Maier-Reimer, E., Matear, R., Monfray, P., Mouchet, A., Najjar, R.G., Plattner, G.-K., Rodgers, K.B., Sabine, C.L., Sarmiento, J.L., Schlitzer, R., Slater, R.D., Totterdell, I.J., Weirig, M.-F., Yamanaka, Y., Yool, A.: Anthropogenic ocean acidification over the twenty-first century and its impact on calcifying organisms. Nature 437(7059), 681–686 (2005) Orr, J.C., Fabry, V.J., Aumont, O., Bopp, L., Doney, S.C., Feely, R.A., Gnanadesikan, A., Gruber, N., Ishida, A., Joos, F., Key, R.M., Lindsay, K., Maier-Reimer, E., Matear, R., Monfray, P., Mouchet, A., Najjar, R.G., Plattner, G.-K., Rodgers, K.B., Sabine, C.L., Sarmiento, J.L., Schlitzer, R., Slater, R.D., Totterdell, I.J., Weirig, M.-F., Yamanaka, Y., Yool, A.: Anthropogenic ocean acidification over the twenty-first century and its impact on calcifying organisms. Nature 437(7059), 681–686 (2005)
73.
go back to reference Parmelee, D.F., Parmelee, J.M., Fuller, M.R.: Ornithological investigations and Palmer Station: the first long-distance tracking of seabirds by satellites. Antarct. J. USA 20, 162–163 (1985) Parmelee, D.F., Parmelee, J.M., Fuller, M.R.: Ornithological investigations and Palmer Station: the first long-distance tracking of seabirds by satellites. Antarct. J. USA 20, 162–163 (1985)
74.
go back to reference Parnell, A.C., Inger, R., Bearhop, S., Jackson, A.L.: Source partitioning using stable isotopes: coping with too much variation. PLoS One 5, e9672 (2010) Parnell, A.C., Inger, R., Bearhop, S., Jackson, A.L.: Source partitioning using stable isotopes: coping with too much variation. PLoS One 5, e9672 (2010)
75.
go back to reference Peck, L.S.: Prospects for surviving climate change in Antarctic aquatic species. Front. Zool. 2, 2–9 (2005) Peck, L.S.: Prospects for surviving climate change in Antarctic aquatic species. Front. Zool. 2, 2–9 (2005)
76.
go back to reference Peck, L.S., Barnes, D.K.A., Cook, A.J., Fleming, A.H., Clarke, A.: Negative feedback in the cold: ice retreat produces new carbon sinks in Antarctica. Glob. Chang. Biol. 16(9), 2614–2623 (2010). doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02071.x Peck, L.S., Barnes, D.K.A., Cook, A.J., Fleming, A.H., Clarke, A.: Negative feedback in the cold: ice retreat produces new carbon sinks in Antarctica. Glob. Chang. Biol. 16(9), 2614–2623 (2010). doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02071.x
77.
go back to reference Phillips, R.A., Xavier, J.C., Croxall, J.P.: Effects of satellite transmitters on albatrosses and petrels. The Auk 120(4), 1082–1090 (2003) Phillips, R.A., Xavier, J.C., Croxall, J.P.: Effects of satellite transmitters on albatrosses and petrels. The Auk 120(4), 1082–1090 (2003)
78.
go back to reference Phillips, R.A., Silk, J.R.D., Croxall, J.P., Afanasyev, V., Briggs, D.R.: Accuracy of geolocation estimates for flying seabirds. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 266, 265–272 (2004) Phillips, R.A., Silk, J.R.D., Croxall, J.P., Afanasyev, V., Briggs, D.R.: Accuracy of geolocation estimates for flying seabirds. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 266, 265–272 (2004)
79.
go back to reference Phillips, R.A., Croxall, J.P., Silk, J.R.D., Briggs, D.R.: Foraging ecology of albatrosses and petrels from South Georgia: two decades of insights from tracking technologies. Aquat. Conserv. Mar. Freshwat. Ecosyst. 17, S6-S21 (2008) Phillips, R.A., Croxall, J.P., Silk, J.R.D., Briggs, D.R.: Foraging ecology of albatrosses and petrels from South Georgia: two decades of insights from tracking technologies. Aquat. Conserv. Mar. Freshwat. Ecosyst. 17, S6-S21 (2008)
80.
go back to reference Pinkerton, M.H., Bradford-Grieve, J.M., Hanchet, S.M.: A balanced model of the food web of the Ross Sea, Antarctica. CCAMLR Sci. 17, 1–31 (2010) Pinkerton, M.H., Bradford-Grieve, J.M., Hanchet, S.M.: A balanced model of the food web of the Ross Sea, Antarctica. CCAMLR Sci. 17, 1–31 (2010)
81.
go back to reference Plagányi, É.E., Butterworth, D.S.: The Scotia Sea krill fishery and its possible impacts on dependent predators: modeling localized depletion of prey. Ecol. Appl. 22, 748–761 (2012) Plagányi, É.E., Butterworth, D.S.: The Scotia Sea krill fishery and its possible impacts on dependent predators: modeling localized depletion of prey. Ecol. Appl. 22, 748–761 (2012)
82.
go back to reference Polovina, J.J.: Model of a coral reef ecosystem I. The ECOPATH model and its application to French Frigate Shoals. Coral Reefs 3, 1–11 (1984) Polovina, J.J.: Model of a coral reef ecosystem I. The ECOPATH model and its application to French Frigate Shoals. Coral Reefs 3, 1–11 (1984)
83.
go back to reference Prince, P.A., Wood, A.G., Barton, T.R., Croxall, J.P.: Satellite-tracking wandering albatrosses Diomedea exulans in the South Atlantic. Antarct. Sci. 4, 31–36 (1992) Prince, P.A., Wood, A.G., Barton, T.R., Croxall, J.P.: Satellite-tracking wandering albatrosses Diomedea exulans in the South Atlantic. Antarct. Sci. 4, 31–36 (1992)
84.
go back to reference Punt, A.E., Smith, A.D.M.: The gospel of maximum sustainable yield in fisheries management: birth, crucifixion and reincarnation. In: Reynolds, J.D., Mace, G.M., Redford, K.H., Robinson, J.G. (eds.) Conservation of exploited species, pp. 41–66. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2001) Punt, A.E., Smith, A.D.M.: The gospel of maximum sustainable yield in fisheries management: birth, crucifixion and reincarnation. In: Reynolds, J.D., Mace, G.M., Redford, K.H., Robinson, J.G. (eds.) Conservation of exploited species, pp. 41–66. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2001)
85.
go back to reference Rademeyer, R.A., Plagányi, É.E., Butterworth, D.S.: Tips and tricks in designing management procedures. ICES J. Mar. Sci. 64, 618–625 (2007) Rademeyer, R.A., Plagányi, É.E., Butterworth, D.S.: Tips and tricks in designing management procedures. ICES J. Mar. Sci. 64, 618–625 (2007)
86.
go back to reference Ramos, R.,Gonzalez-Solis, J.: Trace me if you can: the use of intrinsic biogeochemical markers in marine top predators. Front. Ecol. Environ. 10(5), 258–266 (2012) Ramos, R.,Gonzalez-Solis, J.: Trace me if you can: the use of intrinsic biogeochemical markers in marine top predators. Front. Ecol. Environ. 10(5), 258–266 (2012)
87.
go back to reference Ratcliffe, N., Trathan, P.N.: A review of the diet and foraging movements of penguins breeding within the CCAMLR area. CCAMLR Sci. 18, 75–114 (2011) Ratcliffe, N., Trathan, P.N.: A review of the diet and foraging movements of penguins breeding within the CCAMLR area. CCAMLR Sci. 18, 75–114 (2011)
88.
go back to reference Reid, K.: A Guide to the Use of Otoliths in the Study of Predators at South Georgia. British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge (1996) Reid, K.: A Guide to the Use of Otoliths in the Study of Predators at South Georgia. British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge (1996)
89.
go back to reference Rignot, E.,Bamber, J.L., Van Den Broeke, M.R., Davis, C., Li, Y.H., Van De Berg, W.J., Van Meijgaard, E.: Recent Antarctic ice mass loss from radar interferometry and regional climate modelling. Nat. Geosci. 1, 106–110 (2008) Rignot, E.,Bamber, J.L., Van Den Broeke, M.R., Davis, C., Li, Y.H., Van De Berg, W.J., Van Meijgaard, E.: Recent Antarctic ice mass loss from radar interferometry and regional climate modelling. Nat. Geosci. 1, 106–110 (2008)
90.
go back to reference Rodhouse, P.G., Xavier, J.C., Griffiths, H.: Southern Ocean squid. In: De Broyer, C., Koubbi, P., Griffiths, H., Danis, B., David, B., Grant, S., Gutt, J., Held, C., Hosie, G., Huettmann, F., Post, A., Raymond, B., Ropert-Coudert, Y., van de Putte, A. (eds.) The CAML/SCAR-MarBIN Biogeographic Atlas of the Southern Ocean, pp. 284–289. Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research, Cambridge (2014) Rodhouse, P.G., Xavier, J.C., Griffiths, H.: Southern Ocean squid. In: De Broyer, C., Koubbi, P., Griffiths, H., Danis, B., David, B., Grant, S., Gutt, J., Held, C., Hosie, G., Huettmann, F., Post, A., Raymond, B., Ropert-Coudert, Y., van de Putte, A. (eds.) The CAML/SCAR-MarBIN Biogeographic Atlas of the Southern Ocean, pp. 284–289. Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research, Cambridge (2014)
91.
go back to reference Sarmiento, J.L., Gruber, N., Brzezinski, M.A., Dunne, J.P.: High-latitude controls of thermocline nutrients and low latitude biological productivity. Nature 427(6969), 56–60 (2004) Sarmiento, J.L., Gruber, N., Brzezinski, M.A., Dunne, J.P.: High-latitude controls of thermocline nutrients and low latitude biological productivity. Nature 427(6969), 56–60 (2004)
92.
go back to reference Smetacek, V., Nicol, S.: Polar ocean ecosystems in a changing world. Nature 437, 362–368 (2005) Smetacek, V., Nicol, S.: Polar ocean ecosystems in a changing world. Nature 437, 362–368 (2005)
93.
go back to reference Smith, A.D., Brown, C.J., Bulman, C.M., Fulton, E.A., Johnson, P., Kaplan, I.C., Lozano-Montes, H., Mackinson, S., Marzloff, M., Shannon, L.J., Shin, Y.J., Tam, J.: Impacts of fishing low-trophic level species on marine ecosystems. Science 333, 1147–1150 (2011) Smith, A.D., Brown, C.J., Bulman, C.M., Fulton, E.A., Johnson, P., Kaplan, I.C., Lozano-Montes, H., Mackinson, S., Marzloff, M., Shannon, L.J., Shin, Y.J., Tam, J.: Impacts of fishing low-trophic level species on marine ecosystems. Science 333, 1147–1150 (2011)
94.
go back to reference Stock, C.A., Alexander, M.A., Bond, N.A., Brander, K.M., Cheung, W.W.: On the use of IPCC-class models to assess the impact of climate on living marine resources. Prog. Oceanogr. 88, 1–27 (2011) Stock, C.A., Alexander, M.A., Bond, N.A., Brander, K.M., Cheung, W.W.: On the use of IPCC-class models to assess the impact of climate on living marine resources. Prog. Oceanogr. 88, 1–27 (2011)
95.
go back to reference Sumner, M.D., Wotherspoon, S.J., Hindell, M.A.: Bayesian estimation of animal movement from archival and satellite tags. PLoS One 4, e7324 (2009) Sumner, M.D., Wotherspoon, S.J., Hindell, M.A.: Bayesian estimation of animal movement from archival and satellite tags. PLoS One 4, e7324 (2009)
96.
go back to reference Tavares, S., Xavier, J.C., Phillips, R.P., Pereira, M.E., Pardal, M.A.: Influence of age, sex and breeding status on mercury accumulation patterns in wandering albatrosses Diomedea exulans. Environ. Pollut. 181, 315–320 (2013) Tavares, S., Xavier, J.C., Phillips, R.P., Pereira, M.E., Pardal, M.A.: Influence of age, sex and breeding status on mercury accumulation patterns in wandering albatrosses Diomedea exulans. Environ. Pollut. 181, 315–320 (2013)
97.
go back to reference Turner, J., Bindschadler, R., Convey, P., di Prisco, G., Fahrbach, E., Gutt, J., Hodgson, D., Mayewski, P., Summerhayes, C.: Antarctic Climate Change and the Environment. Scientific Committee for Antarctic Research, Cambridge (2009) Turner, J., Bindschadler, R., Convey, P., di Prisco, G., Fahrbach, E., Gutt, J., Hodgson, D., Mayewski, P., Summerhayes, C.: Antarctic Climate Change and the Environment. Scientific Committee for Antarctic Research, Cambridge (2009)
98.
go back to reference Turner, J., Barrand, N.E., Bracegirdle, T.J., Convey, P., Hodgson, D.A., Jarvis, M., Jenkins, A., Marshall, G., Meredith, M.P., Roscoe, H., Shanklin, J., French, J., Goosse, H., Guglielmin, M., Gutt, J., Jacobs, S., Kennicutt, M.C.I., Masson-Delmotte, V., Mayewski, P., Navarro, F., Robinson, S., Scambos, T., Sparrow, M., Summerhayes, C., Speer, K., Klepikov, A.: Antarctic climate change and the environment: an update. Polar Record First View, pp. 1–23 (2013) Turner, J., Barrand, N.E., Bracegirdle, T.J., Convey, P., Hodgson, D.A., Jarvis, M., Jenkins, A., Marshall, G., Meredith, M.P., Roscoe, H., Shanklin, J., French, J., Goosse, H., Guglielmin, M., Gutt, J., Jacobs, S., Kennicutt, M.C.I., Masson-Delmotte, V., Mayewski, P., Navarro, F., Robinson, S., Scambos, T., Sparrow, M., Summerhayes, C., Speer, K., Klepikov, A.: Antarctic climate change and the environment: an update. Polar Record First View, pp. 1–23 (2013)
99.
go back to reference Turner, J., Maksym, T., Phillips, T., Marshall, G.J., Meredith, M.P.: The impact of changes in sea ice advance on the large winter warming on the western Antarctic Peninsula. Int. J. Climatol. 33(4), 852–861 (2013) Turner, J., Maksym, T., Phillips, T., Marshall, G.J., Meredith, M.P.: The impact of changes in sea ice advance on the large winter warming on the western Antarctic Peninsula. Int. J. Climatol. 33(4), 852–861 (2013)
100.
go back to reference Turner, J., Thomas, J.B., Phillips, T., Marshall, G.J., Hosking, J.S.: An initial assessment of antarctic sea ice extent in the cmip5 models. J. Clim. 26, 1473–1484 (2013) Turner, J., Thomas, J.B., Phillips, T., Marshall, G.J., Hosking, J.S.: An initial assessment of antarctic sea ice extent in the cmip5 models. J. Clim. 26, 1473–1484 (2013)
101.
go back to reference Ulanowicz, R.E., Puccia, C.J.: Mixed trophic impacts in ecosystems. Coenoses 5, 7–16 (1990) Ulanowicz, R.E., Puccia, C.J.: Mixed trophic impacts in ecosystems. Coenoses 5, 7–16 (1990)
102.
go back to reference Walton, D.: Antarctica: Global Science from a Frozen Continent. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2013) Walton, D.: Antarctica: Global Science from a Frozen Continent. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2013)
103.
go back to reference Walton, D., Xavier, J.C., May, I., Huffman, L.: Polar Educators International - a new initiative for schools. Antarct. Sci. 25, 473 (2013) Walton, D., Xavier, J.C., May, I., Huffman, L.: Polar Educators International - a new initiative for schools. Antarct. Sci. 25, 473 (2013)
104.
go back to reference Waluda, C.M., Hill, S.L., Peat, H.J., Trathan, P.N.: Diet variability and reproductive performance of macaroni penguins (Eudyptes chrysolophus) at Bird Island, South Georgia. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 466, 261–274 (2012) Waluda, C.M., Hill, S.L., Peat, H.J., Trathan, P.N.: Diet variability and reproductive performance of macaroni penguins (Eudyptes chrysolophus) at Bird Island, South Georgia. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 466, 261–274 (2012)
105.
go back to reference Watters, G.M., Hill, S.L., Hinke, J., Matthews, J., Reid, K.: Decision making for ecosystem based management: evaluating options for a krill fishery with an ecosystem dynamics model. Ecol. Appl. 23, 710–725 (2013) Watters, G.M., Hill, S.L., Hinke, J., Matthews, J., Reid, K.: Decision making for ecosystem based management: evaluating options for a krill fishery with an ecosystem dynamics model. Ecol. Appl. 23, 710–725 (2013)
106.
go back to reference Webber, D.N., Parker, S.J.: Estimating unaccounted fishing mortality in the Ross sea region and Amundsen sea (CCAMLR subareas 88.1 and 88.2) bottom longline fisheries targeting Antarctic toothfish. CCAMLR Sci. 19, 17–30 (2012) Webber, D.N., Parker, S.J.: Estimating unaccounted fishing mortality in the Ross sea region and Amundsen sea (CCAMLR subareas 88.1 and 88.2) bottom longline fisheries targeting Antarctic toothfish. CCAMLR Sci. 19, 17–30 (2012)
107.
go back to reference Weimerskirch, H., Bonadonna, F., Bailleul, F., Mabille, G., Dell’Omo, G., Lipp, H.-P.: GPS tracking of foraging albatrosses. Science 295, 1259–1259 (2002) Weimerskirch, H., Bonadonna, F., Bailleul, F., Mabille, G., Dell’Omo, G., Lipp, H.-P.: GPS tracking of foraging albatrosses. Science 295, 1259–1259 (2002)
108.
go back to reference Wilson, R.P., Grémillet, D., Syder, J., Kierspel, M.A.M., Garthe, S., Weimerskirch, H., Schafer-Neth, C., Scolaro, J.A., Bost, C.-A., Plotz, J., Nel, D.C.: Remote-sensing systems and seabirds: their use, abuse and potential for measuring marine environmental variables. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 228, 241–261 (2002) Wilson, R.P., Grémillet, D., Syder, J., Kierspel, M.A.M., Garthe, S., Weimerskirch, H., Schafer-Neth, C., Scolaro, J.A., Bost, C.-A., Plotz, J., Nel, D.C.: Remote-sensing systems and seabirds: their use, abuse and potential for measuring marine environmental variables. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 228, 241–261 (2002)
109.
go back to reference Xavier, J.C.: Predator-Prey Interactions Between Albatrosses and Cephalopods at South Georgia. University of Cambridge, Cambridge (2003) Xavier, J.C.: Predator-Prey Interactions Between Albatrosses and Cephalopods at South Georgia. University of Cambridge, Cambridge (2003)
110.
go back to reference Xavier, J.C., Cherel, Y.: Cephalopod Beak Guide for the Southern Ocean. British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge (2009) Xavier, J.C., Cherel, Y.: Cephalopod Beak Guide for the Southern Ocean. British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge (2009)
111.
go back to reference Xavier, J.C., Rodhouse, P.G., Trathan, P.N., Wood, A.G.: A Geographical Information System (GIS) atlas of cephalopod distribution in the Southern Ocean. Antarct. Sci. 11(1), 61–62 (1999) Xavier, J.C., Rodhouse, P.G., Trathan, P.N., Wood, A.G.: A Geographical Information System (GIS) atlas of cephalopod distribution in the Southern Ocean. Antarct. Sci. 11(1), 61–62 (1999)
112.
go back to reference Xavier, J.C., Croxall, J.P., Reid, K.: Inter-annual variation in the diet of two albatross species breeding at South Georgia: implications for breeding performance. Ibis 145, 593–610 (2003) Xavier, J.C., Croxall, J.P., Reid, K.: Inter-annual variation in the diet of two albatross species breeding at South Georgia: implications for breeding performance. Ibis 145, 593–610 (2003)
113.
go back to reference Xavier, J.C., Croxall, J.P., Cresswell, K.A.: Boluses: an effective method to assess the proportions of cephalopods in the diet of albatrosses. Auk 122, 1182–1190 (2005) Xavier, J.C., Croxall, J.P., Cresswell, K.A.: Boluses: an effective method to assess the proportions of cephalopods in the diet of albatrosses. Auk 122, 1182–1190 (2005)
114.
go back to reference Xavier, J.C., Geraint, G.A., Croxall, J.P.: Determining large scale distribution of pelagic cephalopods, fish and crustaceans in the South Atlantic from wandering albatross (Diomedea exulans) foraging data. Ecography 29, 260–272 (2006) Xavier, J.C., Geraint, G.A., Croxall, J.P.: Determining large scale distribution of pelagic cephalopods, fish and crustaceans in the South Atlantic from wandering albatross (Diomedea exulans) foraging data. Ecography 29, 260–272 (2006)
115.
go back to reference Xavier, J.C., Clarke, M.R., Magalhães, M.C., Stowasser, G., Blanco, C., Cherel, Y.: Current status of using beaks to identify cephalopods: III international workshop and training course on cephalopod beaks, Faial Island, Azores, April 2007. Arquipélago Life Mar. Sci. 24, 41–48 (2007) Xavier, J.C., Clarke, M.R., Magalhães, M.C., Stowasser, G., Blanco, C., Cherel, Y.: Current status of using beaks to identify cephalopods: III international workshop and training course on cephalopod beaks, Faial Island, Azores, April 2007. Arquipélago Life Mar. Sci. 24, 41–48 (2007)
116.
go back to reference Xavier, J.C., Phillips, R.A., Cherel, Y.: Cephalopods in marine predator diet assessments: why identifying upper and lower beaks is important. ICES J. Mar. Sci. 68, 1857–1864 (2011) Xavier, J.C., Phillips, R.A., Cherel, Y.: Cephalopods in marine predator diet assessments: why identifying upper and lower beaks is important. ICES J. Mar. Sci. 68, 1857–1864 (2011)
117.
go back to reference Xavier, J.C., Barbosa, A., Agusti, S., Alonso-Sáez, L., Alvito, P., Ameneiro, J., Avila, C., Baeta, A., Canário, A., Carmona, R., Catry, P., Ceia, F., Clark, M.S., Cristobo, F.J., Cruz, B., Duarte, C.M., Figuerola, B., Gili, J.-M., Gonçalves, A.R., Gordillo, F.J.L., Granadeiro, J.P., Guerreiro, M., Isla, E., Jiménez, C., López-González, P.J., Lourenço, S., Marques, J.C., Moreira, E., Mota, A.M., Nogueira, M., Núñez-Pons, L., Orejas, C., Paiva, V.H., Palanques, A., Pearson, G.A., Pedrós-Alió, C., Peña Cantero, A.L., Power, D.M., Ramos, J.A., Rossi, S., Seco, J., Sañe, E., Serrão, E.A., Taboada, S., Tavares, S., Teixidó, N., Vaqué, D., Valente, T., Vázquez, E., Vieira, R., B., V.: Polar marine biology science in Portugal and Spain: Recent advances and future perspectives. J. Sea Res. 83, 9–29 (2013) Xavier, J.C., Barbosa, A., Agusti, S., Alonso-Sáez, L., Alvito, P., Ameneiro, J., Avila, C., Baeta, A., Canário, A., Carmona, R., Catry, P., Ceia, F., Clark, M.S., Cristobo, F.J., Cruz, B., Duarte, C.M., Figuerola, B., Gili, J.-M., Gonçalves, A.R., Gordillo, F.J.L., Granadeiro, J.P., Guerreiro, M., Isla, E., Jiménez, C., López-González, P.J., Lourenço, S., Marques, J.C., Moreira, E., Mota, A.M., Nogueira, M., Núñez-Pons, L., Orejas, C., Paiva, V.H., Palanques, A., Pearson, G.A., Pedrós-Alió, C., Peña Cantero, A.L., Power, D.M., Ramos, J.A., Rossi, S., Seco, J., Sañe, E., Serrão, E.A., Taboada, S., Tavares, S., Teixidó, N., Vaqué, D., Valente, T., Vázquez, E., Vieira, R., B., V.: Polar marine biology science in Portugal and Spain: Recent advances and future perspectives. J. Sea Res. 83, 9–29 (2013)
118.
go back to reference Xavier, J.C., Cherel, Y., Roberts, J., Piatkowski, U.: How do cephalopods become available to seabirds: can fish gut contents from tuna fishing vessels be a major food source of deep-dwelling cephalopods? ICES J. Mar. Sci. 70, 46–49 (2013) Xavier, J.C., Cherel, Y., Roberts, J., Piatkowski, U.: How do cephalopods become available to seabirds: can fish gut contents from tuna fishing vessels be a major food source of deep-dwelling cephalopods? ICES J. Mar. Sci. 70, 46–49 (2013)
119.
go back to reference Xavier, J.C., Allcock, L., Cherel, Y., Lipinski, M.R., Gomes-Pereira, J.N., Pierce, G., Rodhouse, P.G.K., Rosa, R., Shea, L., Strugnell, J., Vidal, E., Villanueva, R., Ziegler, A.: Future challenges in cephalopod research. J. Mar. Biol. Assoc. UK (2015) Xavier, J.C., Allcock, L., Cherel, Y., Lipinski, M.R., Gomes-Pereira, J.N., Pierce, G., Rodhouse, P.G.K., Rosa, R., Shea, L., Strugnell, J., Vidal, E., Villanueva, R., Ziegler, A.: Future challenges in cephalopod research. J. Mar. Biol. Assoc. UK (2015)
120.
go back to reference Ziegler, P.E.: Influence of data quality and quantity from a multiyear tagging program on an integrated fish stock assessment. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 70, 1031–1045 (2013) Ziegler, P.E.: Influence of data quality and quantity from a multiyear tagging program on an integrated fish stock assessment. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 70, 1031–1045 (2013)
Metadata
Title
From Ice to Penguins: The Role of Mathematics in Antarctic Research
Authors
José C. Xavier
S. L. Hill
M. Belchier
T. J. Bracegirdle
E. J. Murphy
J. Lopes Dias
Copyright Year
2015
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-16121-1_20

Premium Partner