Specifying successive, derived questions and the logical order of our methods
For the question ‘How much of the Hungarian fauna could currently be identified by Hungarian experts, and what factors determine these numbers?’, (a) we counted the number of known species of the Hungarian fauna based on published evidence and to a lesser extent, based on expert opinion; (b) we counted the number of Hungarian experts capable of identifying each taxonomic group to show a current picture of national identification capability. To explore the background of the bias in the number of experts between groups, we aimed to understand which animal groups are interesting for the general public. The rationale behind this is to study whether laypeople could provide a source from which biodiversity experts may arise. For this, (c) we collected all posts (i.e., photos of animals to be identified) for 10 months that appeared on a nation-wide animal identification social media platform (“Állathatározó” = Animal identification group in Facebook). Furthermore, (d) we interviewed experts of “moderately popular” and “unpopular” groups about the reason why they chose the group they have been studying in order to enlighten the background behind study group selection in one’s early career. Since several interviewed people mentioned that identification books were crucial for them when they started dealing with a taxon, (e) we estimated the proportion of Hungarian fauna that has ever been monographed (i.e., whether identification books being available or not). This latter dataset also indicates the portion of the Hungarian fauna that can potentially be identified using literature even if active experts of the given groups are not available.
For the question ‘What are the trends of biodiversity research in Hungary, and what are the reasons behind?’, (f) we compiled all available publications by Hungarian authors from Hungarian journals containing locality data of invertebrates between 1970 and 2020 in order to explore trends of the intensity of biodiversity research. Because we found a severe decrease in number of publications and in number of active experts since ca. 2010, (g) we conducted a survey among the experts with decreased publication activity to understand their reasons, and finally, (h) using abstracts of a nation-wide competition for university students (OTDK: National Scientific Conference of Students’ Associations, and OFKD: National Higher Educational Environmental Science Student Conference), we analysed whether the number of university students being engaged with a taxonomic group decreased between 1970 and 2020 or not.
Estimation of the number of known species of the Hungarian fauna
We assembled numbers of species for each taxonomic group based mostly on published evidence. When no such comprehensive study was available, we relied on expert opinion, as indicated in Supplementary File 2. For many groups the number of species was largely based on the Fauna Hungariae series, but in other groups with recent research activity, new, updated faunas and checklists were available.
Active biodiversity experts
While compiling our dataset on the number of biodiversity experts capable of identifying a taxonomic group, we soon realized that the level of knowledge is variable even within a single taxonomic group. For example, there are “real” experts, who work on a given group for years, follow the international taxonomic and faunistic literature, would certainly realize a species new to the Hungarian fauna, their identifications are trusted by colleagues, they publish/collect relatively regularly, and have seen the vast majority of the species of the country; and “marginal” experts, who are able to identify a fraction of species with the help of other, more experienced experts and the literature. In our compilation we only counted the former group.
In amphibious freshwater insect groups it is a common issue that one biodiversity expert is working on larvae and another one on the adults, who will necessarily have different sets of knowledge. In those cases, we did not distinguish between them and handled both kinds of experts as biodiversity experts capable of identifying species of this taxon.
Interest of laypeople in animal identification
It is important to consider the awareness of the general public of the animals they encounter, i.e., what kind of animals they find worth identifying, because interest of laypeople may influence the scientific orientation of future biodiversity experts. For this reason, we collected data from a Hungarian language Facebook page called “Állathatározó” (= Animal identification) during a 10-month period (16 July 2020–17 May 2021). Identification (up to species or genus level whenever possible), classification, name of the person who posted (in order to identify active and less active people for various analyses) and the date of posting were recorded. We note that the number of that Facebook group’s members was 6,017 on the first day and reached 17,008 a year later. This exceptional increase probably was due to the COVID pandemic when people had much free time to post their animal photographs for identification.
How experts of “unpopular” or “moderately popular” groups started their careers?
We interviewed 42 Hungarian biodiversity experts with expertise on groups that are not among the most popular animal groups. These include true bugs, spiders, Diptera, Hymenoptera, smaller insect orders, various kinds of worms, and even “difficult to identify” beetles. We grouped the experts into two categories based on whether they decided to work on their group on their own account, or whether somebody else (usually an influential senior colleague) suggested or urged them to study a “difficult” group.
Estimation of the proportion of Hungarian fauna that has ever been monographed
We compiled a database of all nation-wide monographs (that contain sufficient information for identifying species of a given group). No such literature list was available beforehand. Therefore all authors, who cover a considerable part of Hungarian biodiversity experts, checked and added monographs to the list after careful consideration of the above criteria. As a second step, the number of species that were covered by each work was added, or in popular groups (e.g., butterflies) where several identification books covered similar number of taxa, we marked that all species reported from Hungary are covered by monographs.
A factor to consider was that the quality of identification books varies considerably. Moreover, for some groups, monographs were written 60 years ago, hence likely being out of date. Furthermore, in case of some groups (e.g., aphids, spiders) species are typically identified based on continuously updated foreign websites. Nevertheless, the sum of all species ever appeared in a monograph is a good estimate on how much of the Hungarian fauna is identifiable based on identification books.
Faunistic papers and monographs
To explore the literature and its temporal trends an extensive and comprehensive online search and data mining were undertaken for faunistic papers according to the following criteria. Those papers were taken into consideration that (1) contain faunistic records (see below) of invertebrates from the territory of Hungary; (2) published in a Hungarian journal (published in Hungary either in Hungarian or any other language) between 1970 and 2020; or (3) available on the World Wide Web, i.e., via search platforms, journal databases or individual homepages (see Supplementary File 6). Compilations and catalogues fit the criteria 2 and 3, as results of long-term faunistic works, and were added to the list too. In addition, monographs containing the results of studies on the fauna of certain territories (e.g., national parks) were also included, although these are not or only partly available electronically.
Vertebrate faunistic papers were not collected, because identification of vertebrates typically requires a different set of knowledge in the laboratory and the field, not easily comparable with those of experts of invertebrates. Also, vertebrate faunistic data collection largely moved to online platforms in the last decades (which would mask the trends), unlike data collection of invertebrates.
By default, faunistic records contain exact sampling sites and dates but, in this study, the following records were also taken into consideration: new occurrence data for larger but well-defined areas (e.g., a certain mountain, lake), or new occurrence data without exact date but with well-defined time interval.
We treated papers dealing with aquatic and terrestrial invertebrates separately, because they require different methods and approaches, and different teams of specialists work on them (for aquatic and terrestrial groups see Supplementary File 6).
After the compilation of the list of papers, we extracted all the names of authors and calculated the total number of articles published by each author in the 50 years period from 1970 to 2020. Those who were the authors of at least three papers were considered biodiversity experts and represented approx. 30% of the authors. For each expert who published more than 3 articles, we defined the active period, i.e., the period between the first and the last paper, regardless of the number and length of gaps (i.e., the years when they did not publish). Among the experts publishing at least 5 papers between 1970 and 2020 (altogether 130 persons), we also counted the number of amateurs and professionals for their taxonomic and faunistic research has been part of their job at least at a given period of their life.
Survey among biodiversity experts with decreased publication activity
We made a table of all authors and the number of papers they published between 2006–2010, 2011–2015, and 2016–2020. Then, we selected authors who published fewer papers between 2016–2020 compared to 2006–2010 or 2011–2015, and those who published fewer papers between 2011 and 2015 than between 2006 and 2010. We united these three groups, and omitted those people from the list, who did not publish any papers before 2010, because they most probably started their career after the start of decline of faunistic papers. We also removed the deceased. As a result, we got a list of 161 people. We tried to find their contacts, and finally could successfully send our questionnaire to 123 people by contacting them via e-mail or social media.
In the questionnaire, the experts first had to choose between three statements: (1) “My work results in no, or less faunistic data than it has previously”; (2) “My work results in similar amount of faunistic data than it has previously, but I publish my data less extensively than before”; (3) “I do not feel that I have published less faunistic papers than before.” The latter option was given to experts because even if we knew that the questionnaire was sent only to those people who published smaller number of papers than previously, the dataset reflected only the number, not the length and content of the faunistic papers. In other words, it is possible that somebody has published fewer papers but an equal or larger amount of faunistic records.
Experts choosing the first statement received seven questions, the ones choosing the second statements received eight, while the ones choosing the third statement, received nine questions. These questions about the reasons were formulated after initial discussion among the authors of this paper. Experts had to choose between numbers 0 (meaning that they did not want or could not answer) and 1–5 in which 1 meant that they did not agree with the statement, while 5 meant that they fully agreed. All three groups had the opportunity to answer a final question about possible additional factors regarding the decline of faunistic research. The list of questions and answers are compiled in Supplementary File 8.
For the data analysis, we merged the experts choosing the second and third statements. The results of the questionnaire surveys are illustrated in the form of bidirectional bar charts (Fig.
5).
In Hungary, the OTDK (Országos Tudományos Diákköri Konferencia = National Scientific Conference of Students’ Associations) has been organizing conferences for university students starting in 1970, and then from 1975 every other year. While between 1975 and 1999 all Natural Sciences (chemistry, physics, biology, mathematics, geology) were together, from 2001 to 2019 biology was handled separately. The abstracts of all presentations can be downloaded from the OTDK website (
https://otdk.hu/konyvtar/rezumek). From 1988, another Student Conference was held in alternating years from the ones of OTDK. Its name was OKDK (Országos Környezettudományi Diákkonferencia = National Student Conference of Environmental Science) for the first four conferences (1988–1994), and OFKD (Országos Felsőoktatási Környezettudományi Diákkonferencia = National Higher Educational Environmental Science Student Conference) from 1996. We counted all abstracts that require identification skills of an invertebrate group (e.g., covering faunistic and ecological topics). As the target group of the two conference-series was the same, namely students in biology and environmental studies, data after 1994 of the OFKD were pooled for every 2 years (e.g., OFKD 1998 + OTDK 1999) so that they could be compared with the previous ones. In the first two OKDK conferences no abstract book was issued, while the third conference contained selected abstracts, i.e., not all works of the given year. Therefore, only abstracts starting from the 4th OKDK were considered. No OTDK abstract book was published in 1997.
We believe that counting the faunistics-related abstracts of each conference would provide us with the information whether the number of young biologists interested in taxonomy and species identification was decreasing or not.
MS O365 Excel and JASP 0.16.3 (JASP Team
2022) software packages were used for data editing, descriptive data analysis, and charting.