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9. Improving On-Time Performance: Predicting Train Delays with Machine Learning Techniques

  • 2024
  • OriginalPaper
  • Chapter
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Abstract

The chapter delves into the challenge of train delays within the Indian railway system, the fourth-largest globally. It introduces machine learning techniques, specifically N-Order Markov models and Random Forest classifiers, to predict train delays accurately. The study uses a dataset spanning 2016-2018 from Mugalsarai station, comprising 135 trains. The methodology involves data collection, preparation, and model training using Random Forest, achieving a remarkable 97.85% accuracy. The implications of this research are significant for improving railway operational efficiency and passenger satisfaction. The chapter also discusses limitations and future directions, including the potential of deep neural networks and the importance of model interpretability.

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Title
Improving On-Time Performance: Predicting Train Delays with Machine Learning Techniques
Authors
Rakesh Chandmal Sharma
Ismail Hossain
Amit Kumar
Copyright Year
2024
Publisher
Springer Nature Singapore
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-97-0437-8_9
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