2009 | OriginalPaper | Chapter
Intelligence Constraints on Terrorist Network Plots
Author : Gordon Woo
Published in: Mathematical Methods in Counterterrorism
Publisher: Springer Vienna
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Since 9/11, the western intelligence and law enforcement services have managed to interdict the great majority of planned attacks against their home countries. Network analysis shows that there are important intelligence constraints on the number and complexity of terrorist plots. If two many terrorists are involved in plots at a given time, a tipping point is reached whereby it becomes progressively easier for the dots to be joined and for the conspirators to be arrested, and for the aggregate evidence to secure convictions. Implications of this analysis are presented for the campaign to win hearts and minds.