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Published in: Society 6/2020

01-12-2020 | Symposium – The State of American Politics

Latino Political Attitudes: Myths and Misconceptions

Authors: Albert Morales, Claudia L. Rodriguez, Thomas F. Schaller

Published in: Society | Issue 6/2020

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Abstract

The Latino population explosion is changing the electoral calculus in American politics. But Latino voters are often misunderstood, their heterogeneity underappreciated, the importance of their religious identities overstated, and their political clout ignored because of geographic concentration. In this article, we address these widely held misconceptions.
Footnotes
1
All mentions of current populations or population shares were taken from or calculated by authors from the U.S. Census Bureau’s data 2019 population estimates, https://​www.​census.​gov/​data/​tables/​time-series/​demo/​popest/​2010s-state-detail.​html
 
2
“Census 2010: Hispanics Account for More Than Half of Nation’s Growth in Past Decade,” Pew Hispanic Center report, March 24, 2011, https://​www.​pewresearch.​org/​wp-content/​uploads/​sites/​5/​reports/​140.​pdf, Table 2
 
3
Ibid, Census Bureau 2019 population estimates.
 
4
Three consecutive statewide polls in Texas showed Biden with small, within-the-margin leads: https://​projects.​fivethirtyeight.​com/​2020-election-forecast/​texas/​
 
5
“Texas-sized Opportunities, Part 3a,” by Albert Morales, Latino Decisions blog, September 6, 2019, https://​latinodecisions.​com/​blog/​texas-sized-opportunities-part-3a/​
 
6
“A Closer Look at America’s Rapidly Growing Religious ‘Nones’,” by Michael Lipka, Pew Research Center, May 13, 2015, https://​www.​pewresearch.​org/​fact-tank/​2015/​05/​13/​a-closer-look-at-americas-rapidly-growing-religious-nones/​
 
7
“The Shifting Religious Identity of Latinos in the United States,” Pew Research Center for Religion & Public Life, May 7, 2014, https://​www.​pewforum.​org/​2014/​05/​07/​the-shifting-religious-identity-of-latinos-in-the-united-states/​
 
8
“Latino Immigrants Are Evangelizing America,” by Bekah McNeel, Christianity Today, July 24, 2019, https://​www.​christianitytoda​y.​com/​news/​2019/​july/​hispanic-church-planting-survey-immigration-evangelism.​html
 
9
“Can the Republicans Connect with Latinos on Abortion?” by Victoria M. DeFrancesco Soto, NBCLatino.com, August 24, 2012, https://​nbclatino.​com/​2012/​08/​24/​opinion-can-the-republicans-connect-with-latinos-on-abortion/​
 
10
Univision Noticias national poll of Latinos, conducted by Latino Decisions, June 2019, https://​latinodecisions.​com/​wp-content/​uploads/​2019/​08/​Miami_​Dem_​Debate_​AV_​HUB.​pdf
 
11
“Somos/UnidosUS National Survey of Latinos,” conducted by Latino Decisions, August 7–15, 2020, https://​latinodecisions.​com/​wp-content/​uploads/​2020/​08/​National-and-State-Results-Somos-Unidos-Aug-Svy.​pdf
 
12
“Survey On Latino Attitudes On The War In Iraq,” Pew Research center, February 7, 2005, https://​www.​pewresearch.​org/​hispanic/​2005/​02/​07/​survey-on-latino-attitudes-on-the-war-in-iraq/​
 
14
Culturally biased exit polls can be skewed in a number of ways, but especially because they tend to undersample first-generation and/or exclusively Spanish-speaking Latinos and oversample college-educated and/or more affluent Latinos.
 
15
“Latinos and the 2016 Election,” by Matt Barreto, Thomas Schaller and Gary Segura, Chapter 8 in Trumped: The 2016 Election That Broke All the Rules, Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley, eds., (2017: Rowman & Littlefield), quote from p. 134.
 
16
“Latinos Have Become More Pessimistic About Their Place in America,” Pew Center Hispanic Trends report by Mark Hugo Lopez, Ana Gonzalez-Barrera and Jens Manuel Krogstad, October 25, 2018, https://​www.​pewresearch.​org/​hispanic/​2018/​10/​25/​latinos-have-become-more-pessimistic-about-their-place-in-america/​
 
17
“An Awakened Giant: The Hispanic Electorate is Likely to Double by 2030,” Pew Hispanic Center Report, November 14, 2012, https://​www.​pewresearch.​org/​hispanic/​2012/​11/​14/​an-awakened-giant-the-hispanic-electorate-is-likely-to-double-by-2030/​
 
18
“Cases Raising Claims Under the Language Minority Provisions of the Voting Rights Act,” United States Department of Justice, September 9, 2020, https://​www.​justice.​gov/​crt/​cases-raising-claims-under-language-minority-provisions-voting-rights-act
 
19
“5 Ways to Increase Voter Turnout in Latinx American Communities,” Center for American Progress, June 21, 2018, https://​www.​americanprogress​.​org/​issues/​race/​news/​2018/​06/​21/​452549/​5-ways-increase-voter-turnout-latinx-american-communities/​
 
20
“Voter Turnout Rates Among All White Voting Age and Major Racial Ethnic Groups Were Higher than in 2014,” U.S. Census Bureau Population Report, April 23, 2019, https://​www.​census.​gov/​library/​stories/​2019/​04/​behind-2018-united-states-midterm-election-turnout.​html
 
21
“Latino vote surged in 2018, new data shows,” by Benjy Sarlin and Stephen Nuño-Pérez, NBCnews.com, April 25, 2019, https://​www.​nbcnews.​com/​politics/​politics-news/​latino-vote-surged-2018-new-data-shows-n998481
 
22
“Young Latinos: A Generation of Change,” Telemundo and BuzzFeed News, June 2020, https://​online.​flipbuilder.​com/​telemundo/​nrty/​
 
Metadata
Title
Latino Political Attitudes: Myths and Misconceptions
Authors
Albert Morales
Claudia L. Rodriguez
Thomas F. Schaller
Publication date
01-12-2020
Publisher
Springer US
Published in
Society / Issue 6/2020
Print ISSN: 0147-2011
Electronic ISSN: 1936-4725
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s12115-020-00546-8