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Machine learning-based global landslide susceptibility analysis: spatiotemporal variability and dominant environmental associations

  • 01-01-2026
  • Original Paper
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Abstract

This study presents a groundbreaking analysis of global landslide susceptibility using machine learning techniques. The research integrates seventeen diverse environmental and anthropogenic factors, including terrain, geology, climate, ecology, tectonics, and human activity, to create a seasonally explicit, high-resolution global susceptibility ensemble. The study employs seven state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms—SVC, RFC, KNC, CNN, GBDT, GNB, and LR—to train and validate the models. The results reveal significant spatiotemporal variability in landslide susceptibility, with distinct seasonal patterns and regional heterogeneity. The analysis highlights the dominant environmental associations and provides a nuanced picture of where and why landslide risk peaks around the globe. The study also evaluates model performance, quantifying inter-model variability and identifying key factors that contribute to prediction uncertainty. The findings advance global landslide susceptibility methodology through three key innovations: a seasonally explicit framework incorporating time-variant hydro-ecological inputs, systematic multi-algorithm uncertainty quantification, and continental-scale factor attribution revealing region-specific dominant controls. The resulting susceptibility and uncertainty layers offer an open, reproducible baseline for disaster-risk reduction, climate-impact attribution, and infrastructure planning in mountainous and densely populated settings alike.

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Title
Machine learning-based global landslide susceptibility analysis: spatiotemporal variability and dominant environmental associations
Authors
Pinglang Kou
Haoran Yu
Qiang Xu
Minggao Tang
Zhengwu Yuan
Xu Dong
Huajin Li
Chuanhao Pu
Zhao Jin
Publication date
01-01-2026
Publisher
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Published in
Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment / Issue 1/2026
Print ISSN: 1435-9529
Electronic ISSN: 1435-9537
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10064-025-04682-5
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