Skip to main content
Disciplines
Automotive Business IT + Informatics Construction + Real Estate Electrical Engineering + Electronics Energy + Sustainability Insurance + Risk Finance + Banking Management + Leadership Marketing + Sales Mechanical Engineering + Materials
Events
DE
EN
Books
Journals
Topic Page
Marketing
Start single access now
Access for companies
EXTENDED SEARCH
Log in
Top
Published in:
Introduction: Principles and Tools of Mathematical Modeling Read chapter Read first chapter

2013 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

12. Models of Global Dynamics: From Club of Rome to Integrated Assessment

Authors : Natali Hritonenko, Yuri Yatsenko

Published in: Mathematical Modeling in Economics, Ecology and the Environment

Publisher: Springer US

Log in

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Human activities can cause negative global changes in the environment, such as global warming, excessive pollution of the environment, extinction of some species, degradation of entire geographic areas, and others. Section 12.1 discusses the modeling of global changes as a scientific problem of great complexity and importance. Section 12.2 describes the first global models—models of world dynamics developed by J. W. Forrester, D. H. Meadows, and M. D. Mesarovic in the 1970s. They represented first systematic attempts to analyze the global dynamics and produced outcomes that attracted significant public attention. These models evolved in the 1990s into a more quantitative approach known as integrated assessment models, which are explored in Sect. 12.3.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

inform now

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

inform now

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

inform now
previous chapter Modeling of Environmental Protection
Footnotes
1
The book symbol https://static-content.springer.com/image/chp%3A10.1007%2F978-1-4614-9311-2_12/MediaObjects/102168_2_En_12_Figa_HTML.gif means that the reference is a textbook recommended for further student reading.
 
Literature
1.
https://static-content.springer.com/image/chp%3A10.1007%2F978-1-4614-9311-2_12/MediaObjects/102168_2_En_12_Figa_HTML.gif Brown, L.: Eco-economy. W.W. Norton, New York (2001)
2.
Day, R.H.: The divergent dynamics of economic growth: studies in adaptive economizing, technological change, and economic development. Cambridge University Press, New York (2004)
3.
Forrester, J.W.: World dynamics. Cambridge University, Cambridge, MA (1971)
4.
Hritonenko, N., Yatsenko, Y.: Energy substitutability and modernization of energy-consuming technologies. Energy Economics 34, 1548–1556 (2012)CrossRef
5.
https://static-content.springer.com/image/chp%3A10.1007%2F978-1-4614-9311-2_12/MediaObjects/102168_2_En_12_Figa_HTML.gif Janssen, M.: Modeling global change: the art of integrated assessment modeling. Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, UK (1998)
6.
Manne, A., Mendelsohn, R., Richels, R.: MERGE: a model for evaluating regional and global effects of GHG reduction policies. Energy Policy 23, 17–34 (1995)CrossRef
7.
Meadows, D., Randers, J., Meadows, D.: The limits to growth: the 30-year update. Chelsea Green, White River Junction, VT (2004)
8.
Nordhaus, W.D.: Economic aspects of global warming in a post-Copenhagen environment. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 107, 11721–11726 (2010)CrossRef
9.
Steffen, W., Sanderson, A., Tyson, P., Jager, J., Matson, P., Moore III, B., Oldfield, F., Richardson, K., Schellnhuber, H., Turner II, B., Wasson, R.: Global change and the Earth system: a planet under pressure. Springer, Berlin (2004)
10.
Turton, H.: ECLIPSE: an integrated energy-economy model for climate policy and scenario analysis. Energy 33, 1754–1769 (2008)CrossRef
Metadata
Title
Models of Global Dynamics: From Club of Rome to Integrated Assessment
Authors
Natali Hritonenko
Yuri Yatsenko
Copyright Year
2013
Publisher
Springer US
Book
Mathematical Modeling in Economics, Ecology and the Environment

Print ISBN: 978-1-4614-9310-5

Electronic ISBN: 978-1-4614-9311-2

Copyright Year: 2013

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-9311-2_12

Premium Partners

    Image Credits