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Climate Change and Cities in the Mekong Delta, Vietnam Read chapter Read first chapter

2021 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

Motorcycles in a Long-Term Perspective: Case of Ho Chi Minh City

Author : Thanh Tu Nguyen

Published in: AUC 2019

Publisher: Springer Singapore

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Abstract

Currently, motorcycles are the dominant mode of transport not only in Ho Chi Minh City (HCMC) but also in the major cities in Vietnam. How did motorcycle pass from the ego of the bicycle in the 1990s, and can we avoid an automobile boom that is experienced by the industrialized countries? Demography is a powerful explanatory factor for long-term changes in mobility. Indeed, the distance traveled per person per day (both overall and in the dominant mode) follows a bell curve during the life cycle, which peaks when people are at the age of forty. The demographic transition (slowdown in population growth and aging) should lead to a slowdown in overall mobility. The aim of this paper is to understand the impact of demographic factors on long-term travel demand. By using a demographic-based model, the author estimated the motorcycle trend in HCMC, in particular, estimated the share of the motorcycle in the total mode of transport; the total travel distance, and the trip rate by motorcycle.

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previous chapter Policies and Measures to Create Efficient and Low-Carbon Transport in Urban Area: Case Study in Hochiminh City
next chapter GIS and Fuzzy Logic Approach for Providing Land Value Information: A Case Study in Hanoi City
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Metadata
Title
Motorcycles in a Long-Term Perspective: Case of Ho Chi Minh City
Author
Thanh Tu Nguyen
Copyright Year
2021
Publisher
Springer Singapore
Book
AUC 2019

Print ISBN: 978-981-15-5607-4

Electronic ISBN: 978-981-15-5608-1

Copyright Year: 2021

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-5608-1_18