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2021 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

Navigating the Property Data Landscape

Author : Robert Ciemniak

Published in: Understanding China’s Real Estate Markets

Publisher: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

China property data, especially in the housing markets, are surprisingly rich, are broadly available from both government and independent private sources, and yet are unstructured and highly nuanced to interpret correctly. The office, retail, industrial, and niche sectors have less transparent data, mainly served by the established brokerage firms and industry associations. The increasing competition between developers in a more mature market, availability of alternative data, and China’s big push for artificial intelligence all drive a growing interest in and supply of the data. This chapter provides a practical introduction to China’s property data landscape from an institutional (investor, fund manager, developer, and lender) perspective, focusing on the housing markets, in the context of decisions related to investments.

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Footnotes
1
Measuring the reported sales by developers of “commercialized residential” housing: RMB 7.3, 9.9, 11.0, 12.6, and 13.9 trillion for 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, and 2019, respectively (National Bureau of Statistics of China 2020).
 
2
CASS publishes regular annual “blue books” on the real estate market, including the competitiveness rankings of cities (CASS 2018).
 
3
Statistical analysis of the determinants of the house price growth in China has been a subject of various academic papers including Zhang et al. (2012) and Ming (2017).
 
4
Data sourced from National Bureau of Statistics (2018) and compiled and processed by Real Estate Foresight (2018).
 
5
More background information in English: http://​chinaindexholdin​gs.​com/​en/​data. Since May 30, 2019, the author has been an independent director of China Index Holdings (CIH). However, any opinions or comments expressed in this chapter are in a personal capacity, and not on behalf of CIH.
 
7
Including the IMF Working Paper Understanding Residential Markets in China (2015), available at http://​english.​gov.​cn/​news/​top_​news/​2018/​02/​05/​content_​281476037070464.​htm
 
9
Some disclosure of the details of the data and how it is collected is available at https://​baike.​baidu.​com/​item/​%E7%99%BE%E5%BA%A6%E7%83%AD%E5%8A%9B%E5%9B%BE/​3098963 (in Chinese).
 
11
Asian investors boost use of unorthodox data sources in battle to beat benchmarks. Reuters online article available at https://​www.​reuters.​com/​article/​us-investment-asia-data-analysis/​asia-investors-boost-use-of-unorthodox-data-sources-in-battle-to-beat-benchmarks-idUSKBN17R32L
 
12
For example, see the data release on new residential sales by the US Census Bureau: https://​www.​census.​gov/​construction/​nrs/​pdf/​newressales.​pdf
 
13
According to Xinhua news agency quoting data from National Bureau of Statistics: http://​www.​xinhuanet.​com/​english/​2020-01/​19/​c_​138718450.​htm
 
15
The full name of this index series for the US house prices is S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, for details see https://​us.​spindices.​com/​index-family/​real-estate/​sp-corelogic-case-shiller
 
16
The announcement was widely covered by the media and industry magazines, including https://​www.​technologyreview​.​com/​the-download/​609791/​china-has-a-new-three-year-plan-to-rule-ai/​
 
Literature
go back to reference Ming, Q. (2017). The determinants of Chinese property prices. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 9(1), 194–201. Ming, Q. (2017). The determinants of Chinese property prices. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 9(1), 194–201.
go back to reference Wu, J., & Deng, Y. (2015). Intercity information diffusion and price discovery in housing markets: Evidence from Google searches. The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 50(3), 289–306.CrossRef Wu, J., & Deng, Y. (2015). Intercity information diffusion and price discovery in housing markets: Evidence from Google searches. The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 50(3), 289–306.CrossRef
go back to reference Zhang, Y., Xiuping, H., & Liang, Z. (2012). Exploring determinants of housing prices: A case study of Chinese experience in 1999–2010. Economic Modelling, 29(6), 2349–2361.CrossRef Zhang, Y., Xiuping, H., & Liang, Z. (2012). Exploring determinants of housing prices: A case study of Chinese experience in 1999–2010. Economic Modelling, 29(6), 2349–2361.CrossRef
Metadata
Title
Navigating the Property Data Landscape
Author
Robert Ciemniak
Copyright Year
2021
Publisher
Springer International Publishing
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-71748-3_3