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TEMPEST—A New Computationally Efficient Dynamic Stability Prediction Tool Read chapter Read first chapter

2019 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

50. Onboard Analysis of Ship Stability Based on Time-Varying Autoregressive Modeling Procedure

Authors : Daisuke Terada, Akihiko Matsuda

Published in: Contemporary Ideas on Ship Stability

Publisher: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

In this study, it is clarified that a dynamical system of rolling motion can be approximated by a time-varying autoregressive model, which is a kind of statistical model. As the result, when it is possible to measure the time series of rolling motion, a ship’s stability can be judged based on time series analysis by using a time-varying autoregressive modeling procedure. As for the verification of this method, the results of the model experiment for parametric roll resonance were used. It was confirmed that an evaluation of ship safety is possible based on the proposed procedure.

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Literature
Bartlett, M. S. (1946), “On the Theoretical Specification of Sampling Properties of Autocorrelated Time Series,” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B8, pp. 27–41.
Hashimoto, H., Matsuda, A. and Umeda, N. (2005), “Model Experiment on Parametric Roll of a Post-Panamax Container Ship in Short-Crested Irregular Seas (in Japanese),” Conference Proceedings of the Japan Society of Naval Architects and Ocean Engineering, Vol. 1, pp. 71–74.
Kitagawa, G. and Gersch, W. (1996) Smoothness Priors Analysis of Time Series, Springer-Verlag, New York.CrossRef
Kitagawa, G. (2010) Introduction to Time Series Modeling, Chapman & Hall.
Ozaki, T. (1986), “Local Gaussian Modelling of Stochastic Dynamical Systems in the Analysis of Nonlinear Random Vibrations,” in Essays in Time Series and Allied Processes, Festshrift in honour of Prof. E.J. Hannan, Probability Trust.CrossRef
Terada, D., Hashimoto, H. and Matsuda, A. (2016), “Estimation of Parameters in the Linear Stochastic Dynamical System Driven by Colored Noise Sequence,” Proceedings of the ISCIE International Symposium on Stochastic Systems Theory and its Applications, Volume 2016, pp. 125–131.
Umeda, N. and Taguchi, H. (2003), “Parametric Roll Resonance (in Japanese),” Symposium Proceedings of JTTC, pp. 217–235.
Umeda, N. (2007), “Strategy towards Development of Performance-Based Intact Stability Criteria at IMO(in Japanese),” Conference Proceedings of the Japan Society of Naval Architects and Ocean Engineering, Vol. 5E, pp. 19–22.
Yamanouchi, Y. (1956), “On the Analysis of ship’s Oscillations as a Time Series (in Japanese),” Journal of Marine Science and Technology, pp. 47–64.
Metadata
Title
Onboard Analysis of Ship Stability Based on Time-Varying Autoregressive Modeling Procedure
Authors
Daisuke Terada
Akihiko Matsuda
Copyright Year
2019
Book
Contemporary Ideas on Ship Stability

Print ISBN: 978-3-030-00514-6

Electronic ISBN: 978-3-030-00516-0

Copyright Year: 2019

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-00516-0_50