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2019 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

30. Outlook: Energy Transition and Regulatory Framework 2.0: Insights from the European Union

Authors : Claire Gauthier, Jens Lowitzsch

Published in: Energy Transition

Publisher: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

Focused on RES generation, the previous chapters of this book provided an overview of the requirements, opportunities and challenges of shaping a consumer-inclusive energy transition from a theorical and empirical perspective. This chapter explains why further pursuing the energy transition requires entering a new phase with profound regulatory changes, even for front-runners. Against the background of recent European Union (EU) policy initiatives in this area and our country cases, this chapter presents policy leads in the EU and beyond for a consumer-centric energy transition and market design mindful of system requirements. This involves contradictory goals and entails a series of trade-offs: (1) policy efficiency and simplicity: integrating new (and most of the time small and inexperienced) actors in a complex setting requires an efficient but simple framework to reduce transaction costs, for example, concerning balancing forecast responsibilities and allocation schemes like tenders; (2) predictability and flexibility: support schemes should be predictable both for investors and public finances but should be flexible for adapting to evolving market conditions; (3) sharing of benefits and costs: exemptions for some consumers lead to a higher end-price supported by the remaining consumers, which threatens their acceptance of vRES. These trade-offs touch upon particular interests of different actors that may be conflicting like those for example of consumers as (co-)owners on the one side and grid operators and other final end consumers on the other side. One way to reconcile these interests and align them with EU regulatory policy is the support and deployment of innovative organisational and contractual arrangements that would allow to pool and scale RE investments (co-)owned by consumers while opening them to combinations of municipal or commercial investments.

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Footnotes
1
While the energy transition is not limited to the electricity sector but includes the heating and cooling as well as the transport sectors, this chapter focuses on the former as it has the largest potential for decarbonisation and is the one where the most action has been undertaken so far (Welsch et al. 2017).
 
2
In spite of a dip in the amount of investment in RES (IEA 2017c; IRENA 2018a), capacity has increased and will continue to do so. Global RE capacity should increase by 43 per cent between 2017 and 2022, twice the growth of coal and natural gas combined. Wind and solar are expected to account for 80 per cent of this growth. By 2022, Denmark will be the world leader with 70 per cent of its electricity-generation capacities coming from renewables while other European countries, such as Germany, should attain 25 per cent. Most BRIC countries will probably double their share of vRES generation to reach 10 per cent (IEA 2017a).
 
3
The International Energy Agency (IEA 2017d) observes that the cost of clean energy technologies, that is, vRES but also battery storage, has dramatically decreased in the last years: 25 per cent for wind energy, 40 per cent for battery storage, and 70 per cent for solar power since 2010. The competing International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA 2018d) even mentions a reduction of 81 per cent for solar energy for the same period and states that cost reductions are constantly underestimated (IRENA 2018c, d). All in all, this shows that renewables are becoming the “least-cost source of generation” (IEA 2017d; IRENA 2018d).
 
4
In 2014, the European council agreed to a target of 27 per cent share of RES in energy consumption by 2030. However, a report ordered by the Commission (IRENA 2018c) estimates that a share of 34 per cent could be attained with a saving potential compared to the reference scenario. Thus considering political (Paris Agreement) and technological developments (unexpectedly quick cost reductions), 27 per cent is considered a conservative and inadequate hypothesis. More on the 2030 EU RES target in Sect. 30.3.
 
5
Carbon lock-in describes the technological and institutional path-dependency of energy systems based on fossil fuel (Unruh 2000). Divestment here refers to the disposition or sale of an asset by a company as a way for a company to restructure the portfolio of its assets, in this case all investments in fossil energy sources; this amounted to 50 billion in 2014, 2.6 trillion in 2015, and 5 trillion (probably underestimated) in 2016 (Arabella advisors 2015, 2016)
 
6
For example, the European Investment Bank (EIB) analyses market failures in the energy efficiency sector: the lending activity is often unattractive for conventional financial institutions due to the multiplication of small loans leading to high transaction costs. The same can be said for investment in RES. Bundling loans through platforms or specific instruments have a role to play to correct this (https://​ec.​europa.​eu/​commission/​priorities/​jobs-growth-and-investment/​investment-plan-europe-juncker-plan/​investment-plan-results/​efsi-energy-sector_​en). The Consumer Stock Ownership Plan (CSOP) presented in Chapters 1 and 8 would be an alternative to pool resources.
 
7
RE consumption increased from 9 per cent in 2005 to 16.7 per cent in 2015 and is on track to meet the 20 per cent target for 2020 (Eurostat 2017; IRENA 2018c).
 
8
The legal basis for the EU energy policy is to be found at the article 194 of the Treating on the Functioning of the EU (TFEU). It is a shared competency, that is, the Member States can legislate on the matter unless the EU, which has precedence, does. It combines a supranational approach but still grants important prerogatives to the Member States. In particular the second paragraph states that Member States are free to choose their energy mix and the form of support schemes without prejudice to state aid and competition policy. The third introduces a derogation to the ordinary legislative procedure where taxation is concerned. Thus, while the EU sets a frame and a convergence path, the Member States still have a lot of room of manoeuver and possible veto power to safeguard their sovereignty. For the topic of this book the main pieces of relevant secondary law are the renewable energy directive (2009/28/EC) and the internal electricity market directive (2009/72/EC).
 
9
In at least 12 out of 28 Member States, the market share of the largest electricity producer is over 50 per cent. In this book, only the Czech Republic and France are examples of this ownership structure.
 
10
See in particular Case C-573/12 Åland Vindkraft.
 
11
Ancillary services are services required to maintain grid stability and security of supply. It includes frequency control, spinning, and operating reserves (Welsch et al. 2017).
 
12
Strong political oppositions on the necessity of supporting conventional actors to ensure security of supply exists considering that (1) fossil fuel are already subsided more than RES (see Sect. 30.1), (2) overcapacity already exists in some markets, and (3) introducing capacity mechanisms could further distort the internal market as non-market-based RES support schemes did.
 
13
FIT are regulated tariffs disconnected from market price. FIP combine market price with either a fixed premium (independent of market price) or a sliding premium (variable to match market price with a predetermined tariff level).
 
14
Denmark and Germany have the highest share of taxation in total electricity cost and overall the highest total electricity cost for households (http://​ec.​europa.​eu/​eurostat/​statistics-explained/​index.​php/​Electricity_​price_​statistics#Electricity_​prices_​for_​household_​consumers).
 
15
The law provides with guidance on the role of citizens in the energy transition, insisting on the social economy and energy poverty aspects as well as the role of municipalities in particular on the many islands, includes new technologies (storage) and innovative approaches as virtual power sharing investments. For more information, go to https://​www.​rescoop.​eu/​blog/​energy-communities-in-greece-new-legislation.
 
16
Over 1000 pages: eight proposals of legislation covering energy policy governance, RE, EE, energy performance of buildings, electricity internal market, cooperation of energy regulators, innovation, and so on. For more information on the content and state of play, go to https://​ec.​europa.​eu/​energy/​en/​topics/​energy-strategy-and-energy-union/​clean-energy-all-europeans.
 
Literature
go back to reference Buchan, D. (2015). Chapter 14: Energy policy in policy-making in the European Union. In Policy-making in the European Union (7th ed., pp. 344–366). Oxford University Press. Buchan, D. (2015). Chapter 14: Energy policy in policy-making in the European Union. In Policy-making in the European Union (7th ed., pp. 344–366). Oxford University Press.
go back to reference Ecofys, Fraunhofer ISI, Held, A., Ragwitz, M., Gephart, M., De Visser, E., & Klessmann, C. (2014). Design features of support schemes for renewable electricity (No. DESNL13116) (pp. 1–95). Ecofys, Fraunhofer ISI, Held, A., Ragwitz, M., Gephart, M., De Visser, E., & Klessmann, C. (2014). Design features of support schemes for renewable electricity (No. DESNL13116) (pp. 1–95).
go back to reference Friedrich Ebert Stiftung, Ecke, J., & Herrmann, N. (2016). Prospects for consumers in a European Energy Union, 3–24. Friedrich Ebert Stiftung, Ecke, J., & Herrmann, N. (2016). Prospects for consumers in a European Energy Union, 3–24.
go back to reference Roth, L., Lowitzsch, J., Yildiz, Ö., & Hashani, A. (2018). Does (Co-) ownership in renewables matter for an electricity consumer’s demand flexibility? Empirical evidence from Germany. Energy Research & Social Science, 46, 169–182. Roth, L., Lowitzsch, J., Yildiz, Ö., & Hashani, A. (2018). Does (Co-) ownership in renewables matter for an electricity consumer’s demand flexibility? Empirical evidence from Germany. Energy Research & Social Science, 46, 169–182.
go back to reference Unruh, G. C. (2000). Understanding carbon lock-in. Energy policy, 28(12), 817–830.CrossRef Unruh, G. C. (2000). Understanding carbon lock-in. Energy policy, 28(12), 817–830.CrossRef
go back to reference Welsch, M., Pye, S., Keles, D., Faure-Schuyer, A., Shivakumar, A., Deane, P., et al. (2017). Europe’s energy transition: Insights for policy making. Elsevier Academic Press. London; San Diego, CA; Cambridge, MA; Oxford, UK Welsch, M., Pye, S., Keles, D., Faure-Schuyer, A., Shivakumar, A., Deane, P., et al. (2017). Europe’s energy transition: Insights for policy making. Elsevier Academic Press. London; San Diego, CA; Cambridge, MA; Oxford, UK
Metadata
Title
Outlook: Energy Transition and Regulatory Framework 2.0: Insights from the European Union
Authors
Claire Gauthier
Jens Lowitzsch
Copyright Year
2019
Publisher
Springer International Publishing
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-93518-8_30