Skip to main content
Top
Published in: Neural Computing and Applications 3/2018

19-07-2016 | Original Article

Particle classification optimization-based BP network for telecommunication customer churn prediction

Authors: Ruiyun Yu, Xuanmiao An, Bo Jin, Jia Shi, Oguti Ann Move, Yonghe Liu

Published in: Neural Computing and Applications | Issue 3/2018

Log in

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Customer churn prediction is critical for telecommunication companies to retain users and provide customized services. In this paper, a particle classification optimization-based BP network for telecommunication customer churn prediction (PBCCP) algorithm is proposed, which iteratively executes the particle classification optimization (PCO) and the particle fitness calculation (PFC). PCO classifies the particles into three categories according to their fitness values, and updates the velocity of different category particles using distinct equations. PFC calculates the fitness value of a particle in each forward training process of a BP neural network. PBCCP optimizes the initial weights and thresholds of the BP neural network, and brings remarkable improvement on customer churn prediction accuracy.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literature
1.
go back to reference Baesens B, Verstraeten G, Van den Poel D et al (2004) Bayesian network classifiers for identifying the slope of the customer lifecycle of long-life customers. Eur J Oper Res 156(2):508–523CrossRefMATH Baesens B, Verstraeten G, Van den Poel D et al (2004) Bayesian network classifiers for identifying the slope of the customer lifecycle of long-life customers. Eur J Oper Res 156(2):508–523CrossRefMATH
2.
go back to reference Kisioglu P, Topcu YI (2011) Applying Bayesian belief network approach to customer churn analysis, a case study on the telecom industry of Turkey. Expert Syst Appl 38(6):7151–7157CrossRef Kisioglu P, Topcu YI (2011) Applying Bayesian belief network approach to customer churn analysis, a case study on the telecom industry of Turkey. Expert Syst Appl 38(6):7151–7157CrossRef
4.
go back to reference Bin L, Peiji S, Juan L (2007) Customer churn prediction based on the decision tree in personal handyphone system service. In: International conference on service systems and service management, 2007, IEEE, pp 1–5 Bin L, Peiji S, Juan L (2007) Customer churn prediction based on the decision tree in personal handyphone system service. In: International conference on service systems and service management, 2007, IEEE, pp 1–5
5.
go back to reference Xie Y, Li X, Ngai EWT et al (2009) Customer churn prediction using improved balanced random forests. Expert Syst Appl 36(3):5445–5449CrossRef Xie Y, Li X, Ngai EWT et al (2009) Customer churn prediction using improved balanced random forests. Expert Syst Appl 36(3):5445–5449CrossRef
6.
go back to reference Lessmann S, Vo S (2009) A reference model for customer-centric data mining with support vector machines. Eur J Oper Res 199(2):520–530MathSciNetCrossRefMATH Lessmann S, Vo S (2009) A reference model for customer-centric data mining with support vector machines. Eur J Oper Res 199(2):520–530MathSciNetCrossRefMATH
7.
go back to reference Xia G, Jin W (2008) Model of customer churn prediction on support vector machine. Syst Eng-Theory Pract 28(1):71–77CrossRef Xia G, Jin W (2008) Model of customer churn prediction on support vector machine. Syst Eng-Theory Pract 28(1):71–77CrossRef
8.
go back to reference Zhao Y, Li B, Li X et al (2005) Customer churn prediction using improved one-class support vector machine[M], advanced data mining and applications. Springer, Berlin Zhao Y, Li B, Li X et al (2005) Customer churn prediction using improved one-class support vector machine[M], advanced data mining and applications. Springer, Berlin
9.
go back to reference Hung SY, Yen DC, Wang HY (2006) Applying data mining to telecom churn management. Expert Syst Appl 31(3):515–524CrossRef Hung SY, Yen DC, Wang HY (2006) Applying data mining to telecom churn management. Expert Syst Appl 31(3):515–524CrossRef
10.
go back to reference Song G, Yang D, Wu L, et al (2006) A mixed process neural network and its application to churn prediction in mobile communications. In: Sixth IEEE international conference on data mining workshops, 2006, ICDM Workshops 2006, IEEE, pp 798–802 Song G, Yang D, Wu L, et al (2006) A mixed process neural network and its application to churn prediction in mobile communications. In: Sixth IEEE international conference on data mining workshops, 2006, ICDM Workshops 2006, IEEE, pp 798–802
11.
go back to reference Pendharkar PC (2009) Genetic algorithm based neural network approaches for predicting churn in cellular wireless network services. Expert Syst Appl 36(3):6714–6720CrossRef Pendharkar PC (2009) Genetic algorithm based neural network approaches for predicting churn in cellular wireless network services. Expert Syst Appl 36(3):6714–6720CrossRef
12.
go back to reference Xu E, Liangshan S, Xuedong G et al (2006) An algorithm for predicting customer churn via BP neural network based on rough set. In: IEEE Asia-Pacific conference on services computing 2006, APSCC’06. IEEE, pp 47–50 Xu E, Liangshan S, Xuedong G et al (2006) An algorithm for predicting customer churn via BP neural network based on rough set. In: IEEE Asia-Pacific conference on services computing 2006, APSCC’06. IEEE, pp 47–50
13.
go back to reference Tsai CF, Lu YH (2009) Customer churn prediction by hybrid neural networks. Expert Syst Appl 36(10):12547–12553CrossRef Tsai CF, Lu YH (2009) Customer churn prediction by hybrid neural networks. Expert Syst Appl 36(10):12547–12553CrossRef
14.
go back to reference Hecht-Nielsen R (1989) Theory of the backpropagation neural network. In: International joint conference on neural networks 1989, IJCNN, IEEE, pp 593–605 Hecht-Nielsen R (1989) Theory of the backpropagation neural network. In: International joint conference on neural networks 1989, IJCNN, IEEE, pp 593–605
15.
go back to reference Da Y, Xiurun G (2005) An improved PSO-based ANN with simulated annealing technique. Neurocomputing 63:527–533CrossRef Da Y, Xiurun G (2005) An improved PSO-based ANN with simulated annealing technique. Neurocomputing 63:527–533CrossRef
16.
go back to reference Yarlagadda PKDV, Chiang ECW (1999) A neural network system for the prediction of process parameters in pressure die casting. J Mater Process Technol 89:583–590CrossRef Yarlagadda PKDV, Chiang ECW (1999) A neural network system for the prediction of process parameters in pressure die casting. J Mater Process Technol 89:583–590CrossRef
17.
go back to reference Wu JF, ZHU XY, LIU JL (1999) Groundwater management model based on simulated annealing penalty function genetic algorithm. Sci China Ser E 29:474–480 Wu JF, ZHU XY, LIU JL (1999) Groundwater management model based on simulated annealing penalty function genetic algorithm. Sci China Ser E 29:474–480
18.
go back to reference Yong-jian LIU (2004) The establishment and application of dynamic prediction model of groundwater level based on intelligent algorithm. Hydrogeol Eng Geol 3:012 Yong-jian LIU (2004) The establishment and application of dynamic prediction model of groundwater level based on intelligent algorithm. Hydrogeol Eng Geol 3:012
19.
go back to reference Ester M, Kriegel HP, Sander J et al (1996) A density-based algorithm for discovering clusters in large spatial databases with noise. Kdd 96(34):226–231 Ester M, Kriegel HP, Sander J et al (1996) A density-based algorithm for discovering clusters in large spatial databases with noise. Kdd 96(34):226–231
20.
go back to reference Zhang JR, Zhang J, Lok TM et al (2007) A hybrid particle swarm optimization back-propagation algorithm for feedforward neural network training. Appl Math Comput 185(2):1026–1037MATH Zhang JR, Zhang J, Lok TM et al (2007) A hybrid particle swarm optimization back-propagation algorithm for feedforward neural network training. Appl Math Comput 185(2):1026–1037MATH
21.
go back to reference Dehuri S, Cho SB (2010) A comprehensive survey on functional link neural networks and an adaptive PSOCBP learning for CFLNN. Neural Comput Appl 19(2):187–205CrossRef Dehuri S, Cho SB (2010) A comprehensive survey on functional link neural networks and an adaptive PSOCBP learning for CFLNN. Neural Comput Appl 19(2):187–205CrossRef
22.
go back to reference Bashir ZA, El-Hawary ME (2009) Applying wavelets to short-term load forecasting using PSO-based neural networks. IEEE Trans Power Syst 24(1):20–27CrossRef Bashir ZA, El-Hawary ME (2009) Applying wavelets to short-term load forecasting using PSO-based neural networks. IEEE Trans Power Syst 24(1):20–27CrossRef
23.
go back to reference Kriegel HP, Kräger P, Sander J et al (2011) Density-based clustering. Wiley Interdiscip Rev Data Min Knowl Discov 1(3):231–240CrossRef Kriegel HP, Kräger P, Sander J et al (2011) Density-based clustering. Wiley Interdiscip Rev Data Min Knowl Discov 1(3):231–240CrossRef
24.
go back to reference Kennedy J (2010) Particle swarm optimization[M], encyclopedia of machine learning. Springer, New York Kennedy J (2010) Particle swarm optimization[M], encyclopedia of machine learning. Springer, New York
25.
go back to reference Kennedy J (1997) The particle swarm: social adaptation of knowledge. In: IEEE International Conference on Evolutionary Computation, 1997, IEEE, pp 303–308 Kennedy J (1997) The particle swarm: social adaptation of knowledge. In: IEEE International Conference on Evolutionary Computation, 1997, IEEE, pp 303–308
26.
go back to reference Liu S, Liu J, Zhang L (2008) Classification of fabric defect based on PSO-BP neural network[C]. In: Second international conference on genetic and evolutionary computing, 2008, WGEC’08, IEEE, pp 137–140 Liu S, Liu J, Zhang L (2008) Classification of fabric defect based on PSO-BP neural network[C]. In: Second international conference on genetic and evolutionary computing, 2008, WGEC’08, IEEE, pp 137–140
27.
go back to reference Tallaneare TS (1990) Fast adaptive backpropagation with good scaling properties. Neural Netw 3(5):561–573CrossRef Tallaneare TS (1990) Fast adaptive backpropagation with good scaling properties. Neural Netw 3(5):561–573CrossRef
28.
go back to reference Stäger F, Agarwal M (1997) Three methods to speed up the training of feedforward and feedback perceptrons. Neural Netw 10(8):1435–1443CrossRef Stäger F, Agarwal M (1997) Three methods to speed up the training of feedforward and feedback perceptrons. Neural Netw 10(8):1435–1443CrossRef
29.
go back to reference MacQueen J (1967) Some methods for classification and analysis of multivariate observations. Proc Fifth Berkeley Symp Math Stat Probab 1(14):281–297MathSciNetMATH MacQueen J (1967) Some methods for classification and analysis of multivariate observations. Proc Fifth Berkeley Symp Math Stat Probab 1(14):281–297MathSciNetMATH
30.
31.
go back to reference Kennedy J (1999) Small worlds and mega-minds, effects of neighborhood topology on particle swarm performance. In: Proceedings of the 1999 congress on evolutionary computation, 1999, CEC 99. IEEE, p 3 Kennedy J (1999) Small worlds and mega-minds, effects of neighborhood topology on particle swarm performance. In: Proceedings of the 1999 congress on evolutionary computation, 1999, CEC 99. IEEE, p 3
32.
go back to reference Van den Bergh F, Engelbrecht AP (2004) A cooperative approach to particle swarm optimization. IEEE Trans Evol Comput 8(3):225–239CrossRef Van den Bergh F, Engelbrecht AP (2004) A cooperative approach to particle swarm optimization. IEEE Trans Evol Comput 8(3):225–239CrossRef
Metadata
Title
Particle classification optimization-based BP network for telecommunication customer churn prediction
Authors
Ruiyun Yu
Xuanmiao An
Bo Jin
Jia Shi
Oguti Ann Move
Yonghe Liu
Publication date
19-07-2016
Publisher
Springer London
Published in
Neural Computing and Applications / Issue 3/2018
Print ISSN: 0941-0643
Electronic ISSN: 1433-3058
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-016-2477-3

Other articles of this Issue 3/2018

Neural Computing and Applications 3/2018 Go to the issue

Premium Partner