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Landscape and Ecological Engineering

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11-01-2023 | Original Paper

Predicting habitat suitability of Litsea glutinosa: a declining tree species, under the current and future climate change scenarios in India

Authors: Rajit Gupta, Laxmi Kant Sharma, Muthu Rajkumar, Naseer Mohammad, Mohammed Latif Khan

Published in: Landscape and Ecological Engineering | Issue 2/2023

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Abstract

Litsea glutinosa (Lour.) C.B.Rob., an evergreen tree with significant ecological and medicinal value, has seen its distribution gradually decline due to unsustainable harvesting, overexploitation, and climate change. Habitat suitability modelling can be an effective tool for the conservation and management of L. glutinosa. This study aims to predict L. glutinosa habitat suitability in India under current and future climate change scenarios. Our study identified the important predictors that affect L. glutinosa distribution. In addition, the L. glutinosa habitat suitability area and its percent difference in the current and future were assessed, and potential conservation sites were identified. This study is based on the widely used maximum entropy (MaxEnt) species distribution model (SDM). We used current and future modelled data of the sixth version of the Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate (MIROC6) from Coupled Model Intercomparison Projects (CMIP6) Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5) emission scenarios for the period (2030s, 2050s and 2070s). Results demonstrated that the MaxEnt performance is good with an area under the receiver operator characteristic (AUC/ROC) curve of 0.852. L. glutinosa distribution is most influenced by the mean diurnal range (Bio2), contributing 55.1%. Notably, under high emissions and warmer climates of the SSP5-8.5 scenario, the suitable habitat of L. glutinosa would tend to increase. Under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, the maximum area of excellent habitat is 0.298 M km². The study identified the sub-Himalayan region, the central-eastern region, the northeastern ranges, and the western ghats as candidate areas for species conservation.

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Title: Predicting habitat suitability of Litsea glutinosa: a declining tree species, under the current and future climate change scenarios in India
Authors: Rajit Gupta
Laxmi Kant Sharma
Muthu Rajkumar
Naseer Mohammad
Mohammed Latif Khan
Publication date: 11-01-2023
Publisher: Springer Japan
Published in: Landscape and Ecological Engineering / Issue 2/2023
Print ISSN: 1860-1871
Electronic ISSN: 1860-188X
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11355-023-00537-x

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Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

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Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Mapping local knowledge through spatial text mining

Connecting public health with urban planning: allocating walkable cooling shelters considering older people

Dominant barriers and the solutions to the social application of environmental DNA

Investigation of hydrodynamics along an embankment generated by a nearby riparian vegetation patch

The 30-year impact of post-windthrow management on the forest regeneration process in northern Japan

Forest road use by mammals revealed by camera traps: a case study in northeastern Japan