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2019 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

16. Relationship between Exports and the BRICS Countries’ Gross Domestic Product: A Bayesian Vector Autoregression Approach for the Period 1978–2016

Authors : José Antonio Núñez Mora, Leovardo Mata Mata

Published in: Business Governance and Society

Publisher: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

This chapter analyzes the relationship between the exports and the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS). The purpose is to measure the cumulative average effect that the exports of these countries have had on their economic growth. At this point, the relationship between China and Brazil stands out, since the Asian giant’s exports to Brazil have contributed, to a greater extent than Brazil’s exports to China, to economic growth. Two estimation procedures are used for comparative purposes: a traditional VAR model and a Bayesian VAR model. This Bayesian approach offers superior goodness of fit.

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Metadata
Title
Relationship between Exports and the BRICS Countries’ Gross Domestic Product: A Bayesian Vector Autoregression Approach for the Period 1978–2016
Authors
José Antonio Núñez Mora
Leovardo Mata Mata
Copyright Year
2019
Publisher
Springer International Publishing
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-94613-9_16