Skip to main content
Top

2020 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

Research on the Screening of Multiple Contingency and Its Failure Probability Assessment Technology in Natural Disasters

Authors : Kang Chang, Yan Huang, Changyou Feng, Qifeng Xu, Chen Yu, Haohao Wang, Taishan Xu

Published in: Proceedings of PURPLE MOUNTAIN FORUM 2019-International Forum on Smart Grid Protection and Control

Publisher: Springer Nature Singapore

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

It has become a common consensus that the blackout defense framework has been extended to the early warning of natural disasters. The generation of multiple contingencies and their probability assessment in natural disasters are the basis of risk assessment and preventive control of power system. Firstly, the generation method of multiple contingencies which takes into account the disaster simultaneity and spatial correlation is discussed. And the failure probability assessment method based on the coupling relationship between the transmission lines is proposed. Secondly, according to the characteristics of narrow transmission channels which is concerned by dispatcher, a failure probability correction method for narrow transmission channels is proposed by classifying related towers of transmission channels. Then, based on the designed severity prediction coefficient index, a method of screening multiple contingencies is proposed. Finally, an example of a provincial power grid is given to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method .

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literature
1.
go back to reference Wang H, Luo J, Xu T et al (2010) Questionnaire survey and analysis of natural disaster defense techniques of power grids in China. Autom Electr Power Syst 34(23):5–10, 118 Wang H, Luo J, Xu T et al (2010) Questionnaire survey and analysis of natural disaster defense techniques of power grids in China. Autom Electr Power Syst 34(23):5–10, 118
2.
go back to reference Liang Z, Dong Y, Zhang Z (2014) Statistical analysis on forced outages of HVDC transmission systems in State Grid Corporation of China from 2006 to 2012. Autom Electr Power Syst 38(6):1–5 Liang Z, Dong Y, Zhang Z (2014) Statistical analysis on forced outages of HVDC transmission systems in State Grid Corporation of China from 2006 to 2012. Autom Electr Power Syst 38(6):1–5
3.
go back to reference Liang Z (2014) Statistical analysis of transmission line fault tripping in State Grid Corporation of China in 2011–2013. East China Electr Power 42(11):2265–2270 Liang Z (2014) Statistical analysis of transmission line fault tripping in State Grid Corporation of China in 2011–2013. East China Electr Power 42(11):2265–2270
4.
go back to reference Xue Y, Wu Y, Xie Y et al (2013) Extension of blackout defense scheme to natural disasters early-warning. Autom Electr Power Syst 37(16):18–26 Xue Y, Wu Y, Xie Y et al (2013) Extension of blackout defense scheme to natural disasters early-warning. Autom Electr Power Syst 37(16):18–26
5.
go back to reference Xie Y, Xue Y, Wang H et al (2013) Space-time early-warning of power grid fault probability by lightning. Autom Electric Power Syst 37(17):44–51 Xie Y, Xue Y, Wang H et al (2013) Space-time early-warning of power grid fault probability by lightning. Autom Electric Power Syst 37(17):44–51
6.
go back to reference Wu Y, Xue Y, Xie Y et al (2016) Space-time impact of typhoon and rainstorm on power grid fault probability. Autom Electr Power Syst 40(2):20–29, 83 Wu Y, Xue Y, Xie Y et al (2016) Space-time impact of typhoon and rainstorm on power grid fault probability. Autom Electr Power Syst 40(2):20–29, 83
7.
go back to reference Chang K, Xue F, Wu Y et al (2014) Impact of rainstorm on power grid and its online blackout defense technology. Shanxi Electr Power 42(12):6–10, 25 Chang K, Xue F, Wu Y et al (2014) Impact of rainstorm on power grid and its online blackout defense technology. Shanxi Electr Power 42(12):6–10, 25
8.
go back to reference Xie Y, Xue Y, Wen F et al (2013) Space-time evaluation for impact of Ice disaster on transmission line fault probability. Autom Electr Power Syst 37(18):32–41, 98 Xie Y, Xue Y, Wen F et al (2013) Space-time evaluation for impact of Ice disaster on transmission line fault probability. Autom Electr Power Syst 37(18):32–41, 98
9.
go back to reference Wu Y, Xue Y, Lu J et al (2016) Space-time impact of forest fire on power grid fault probability. Autom Electr Power Syst 40(3):14–20 Wu Y, Xue Y, Lu J et al (2016) Space-time impact of forest fire on power grid fault probability. Autom Electr Power Syst 40(3):14–20
10.
go back to reference Lu J, Wu C, Yang L et al (2014) Research and application of forest fire monitor and early-warning system for transmission line. Power Syst Prot Control 42(16):89–95 Lu J, Wu C, Yang L et al (2014) Research and application of forest fire monitor and early-warning system for transmission line. Power Syst Prot Control 42(16):89–95
11.
go back to reference Wang Z, Lin J, Hu S et al (2015) Calculation method for Gale outage probability of transmission lines. Electr Power 48(12):148–153, 178 Wang Z, Lin J, Hu S et al (2015) Calculation method for Gale outage probability of transmission lines. Electr Power 48(12):148–153, 178
12.
go back to reference Niu C, Cheng Y (2009) Application of statistical method in evaluating pollution flashover risk of insulators. High Voltage Apparatus 45(1):104–106 Niu C, Cheng Y (2009) Application of statistical method in evaluating pollution flashover risk of insulators. High Voltage Apparatus 45(1):104–106
13.
go back to reference Li J, Liao Z, Zhang L et al (2017) Operation and maintenance techniques for 750 kV transmission lines under severe wind and sand-dust weather in Xinjiang. Power Syst Prot Control 45(2):123–130 Li J, Liao Z, Zhang L et al (2017) Operation and maintenance techniques for 750 kV transmission lines under severe wind and sand-dust weather in Xinjiang. Power Syst Prot Control 45(2):123–130
14.
go back to reference Liu l, Wui W (2014) Security risk assessment ideas and theoretical framework for power system considering geomagnetic storm. Proc CSEE 34(10):1583–1591 Liu l, Wui W (2014) Security risk assessment ideas and theoretical framework for power system considering geomagnetic storm. Proc CSEE 34(10):1583–1591
15.
go back to reference Zhao P, He X, Zeng H (2014) Risk analysis on potential earthquake damage to Liaoning electric grid and anti-seismic mechanisms. Northeast Electr Power Technol 8:45–49 Zhao P, He X, Zeng H (2014) Risk analysis on potential earthquake damage to Liaoning electric grid and anti-seismic mechanisms. Northeast Electr Power Technol 8:45–49
16.
go back to reference Xue Y, Wu Y, Xie Y et al (2016) Power system stability analysis for intercurrent natural disasters. Autom Electr Power Syst 40(4):10–18 Xue Y, Wu Y, Xie Y et al (2016) Power system stability analysis for intercurrent natural disasters. Autom Electr Power Syst 40(4):10–18
17.
go back to reference Liu H, Sun Y, Cheng L et al (2008) Fast sorting technique considering multi-state component models. Autom Electr Power Syst 32(1):16–21 Liu H, Sun Y, Cheng L et al (2008) Fast sorting technique considering multi-state component models. Autom Electr Power Syst 32(1):16–21
18.
go back to reference Wu FF, Tsai YK, Yu YX (1987) Probabilistic steady state and dynamic security assessment. IEEE Trans Power Syst 3(1):1–9CrossRef Wu FF, Tsai YK, Yu YX (1987) Probabilistic steady state and dynamic security assessment. IEEE Trans Power Syst 3(1):1–9CrossRef
19.
go back to reference Fang L, Xiong X, Fang S et al (2014) Power system risk control decision based on cause and effect correlation analysis of fault and meteorology. Power Syst Prot Control 42(17):113–119 Fang L, Xiong X, Fang S et al (2014) Power system risk control decision based on cause and effect correlation analysis of fault and meteorology. Power Syst Prot Control 42(17):113–119
20.
go back to reference Wang S, Zhang N, Guo Q (2005) Integrated performance index method of contingency screening in online dynamic security assessment. Power Syst Technol 29(1):60–64 Wang S, Zhang N, Guo Q (2005) Integrated performance index method of contingency screening in online dynamic security assessment. Power Syst Technol 29(1):60–64
21.
go back to reference Shao Z, Lin Z, Lin H et al (2008) Online determination of predictive contingency in security forewarning analysis. Autom Electr Power Syst 32(7):15–18 Shao Z, Lin Z, Lin H et al (2008) Online determination of predictive contingency in security forewarning analysis. Autom Electr Power Syst 32(7):15–18
22.
go back to reference Xu T, Xue Y, Li B et al (2009) On-line adaptive contingency screening for early-warning of transient stability. Autom Electr Power Syst 33(22):1–4 Xu T, Xue Y, Li B et al (2009) On-line adaptive contingency screening for early-warning of transient stability. Autom Electr Power Syst 33(22):1–4
23.
go back to reference Xu T, Bao Y, Yang Y et al (2015) Online fast transient angle stability assessment of N-2 contingency set. Power Syst Prot Control 43(7):122–126 Xu T, Bao Y, Yang Y et al (2015) Online fast transient angle stability assessment of N-2 contingency set. Power Syst Prot Control 43(7):122–126
24.
go back to reference Yao K, Yu J, Xu T et al (2014) A method to generate dynamic accident set for power grid clustered faults caused by tropical cyclone. Power Syst Technol 38(6):1593–1599 Yao K, Yu J, Xu T et al (2014) A method to generate dynamic accident set for power grid clustered faults caused by tropical cyclone. Power Syst Technol 38(6):1593–1599
25.
go back to reference Q/GDW 11450-2015 Guide for risk assessment of important transmission channel. SGCC, July, 2016 Q/GDW 11450-2015 Guide for risk assessment of important transmission channel. SGCC, July, 2016
26.
go back to reference Q/CSG 210020-2014 Investigation procedures of power accidents of China southern power grid. China southern power grid co., LTD., June 2014 Q/CSG 210020-2014 Investigation procedures of power accidents of China southern power grid. China southern power grid co., LTD., June 2014
Metadata
Title
Research on the Screening of Multiple Contingency and Its Failure Probability Assessment Technology in Natural Disasters
Authors
Kang Chang
Yan Huang
Changyou Feng
Qifeng Xu
Chen Yu
Haohao Wang
Taishan Xu
Copyright Year
2020
Publisher
Springer Nature Singapore
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-9779-0_2