Skip to main content
Top
Published in: Water Resources Management 1/2015

01-01-2015

River Water Prediction Modeling Using Neural Networks, Fuzzy and Wavelet Coupled Model

Authors: Kulwinder Singh Parmar, Rashmi Bhardwaj

Published in: Water Resources Management | Issue 1/2015

Log in

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

In this paper, new prediction model introduced by coupling of neural networks model, fuzzy model and wavelet model for the water resources management. Artificial neural network (ANN), fuzzy, wavelet and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) are found to be a sturdy tool to model many non-linear hydrological processes. Wavelet transformation will improve the ability of a prediction model by capturing valuable information on different resolution levels. The target of this research is to compare our model with other famous data-driven models for monthly forecasting of water quality parameter chemical oxygen demand (COD) level monitored at Nizamuddin station, New Delhi, India of river Yamuna based on the past history. The data has been decomposed into wavelet domain constitutive sub series using Daubechies wavelet at level 8 (Db8). Statistical behavior of wavelet domain constitutive series has been studied. The foretelling performance of the wavelet coupled model has been compared with classical neuro fuzzy, artificial neural network and regression models. The result shows that the wavelet coupled model produces considerably higher leads to comparison to neuro fuzzy, neural network, regression models.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literature
go back to reference Adamowski J, Chan HG (2011) A wavelet neural network conjunction model for groundwater level forecasting. J Hydrol 407:28–40CrossRef Adamowski J, Chan HG (2011) A wavelet neural network conjunction model for groundwater level forecasting. J Hydrol 407:28–40CrossRef
go back to reference Aksoy H, Toprak ZF, Aytek A, Ünal NE (2004) Stochastic generation of hourly mean wind speed data. Renew Energy 29:2111–2131CrossRef Aksoy H, Toprak ZF, Aytek A, Ünal NE (2004) Stochastic generation of hourly mean wind speed data. Renew Energy 29:2111–2131CrossRef
go back to reference Bhardwaj R, Parmar KS (2013a) Water quality index and fractal dimension analysis of water parameters. Int J Environ Sci Technol 10:151–164CrossRef Bhardwaj R, Parmar KS (2013a) Water quality index and fractal dimension analysis of water parameters. Int J Environ Sci Technol 10:151–164CrossRef
go back to reference Bhardwaj R, Parmar KS (2013b) Wavelet and statistical analysis of river water quality parameters. Appl Math Comput 219:10172–10182CrossRef Bhardwaj R, Parmar KS (2013b) Wavelet and statistical analysis of river water quality parameters. Appl Math Comput 219:10172–10182CrossRef
go back to reference Bhardwaj R, Parmar KS, Chuhg P, Minhas P, Sahota HS (2011) Seasonal variation of physico- chemical parameters and water quality indexing of Harike Lake. Indian J Environ Protozool 31:482–486 Bhardwaj R, Parmar KS, Chuhg P, Minhas P, Sahota HS (2011) Seasonal variation of physico- chemical parameters and water quality indexing of Harike Lake. Indian J Environ Protozool 31:482–486
go back to reference Can Z, Aslan Z, Oguz O, Siddiqi AH (2005) Wavelet transform of metrological parameter and gravity waves. Ann Geophys 23:659–663CrossRef Can Z, Aslan Z, Oguz O, Siddiqi AH (2005) Wavelet transform of metrological parameter and gravity waves. Ann Geophys 23:659–663CrossRef
go back to reference Chang FJ, Chang YT (2006) Adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system for prediction of water level in reservoir. Adv Water Res 29:1–10CrossRef Chang FJ, Chang YT (2006) Adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system for prediction of water level in reservoir. Adv Water Res 29:1–10CrossRef
go back to reference Chaturvedi DK, Singh MM, Kalra PK (2004) Improved generalized neuron model for short term load forecasting. Int J Soft Comput Fusion Found Methodol Appl 8:10–18 Chaturvedi DK, Singh MM, Kalra PK (2004) Improved generalized neuron model for short term load forecasting. Int J Soft Comput Fusion Found Methodol Appl 8:10–18
go back to reference Chen HW, Chang NB (2010) Using fuzzy operators to address the complexity in decision making of water resources redistribution in two neighboring river basins. Adv Water Resour 33:652–666CrossRef Chen HW, Chang NB (2010) Using fuzzy operators to address the complexity in decision making of water resources redistribution in two neighboring river basins. Adv Water Resour 33:652–666CrossRef
go back to reference CPCB, Water Quality Status of Yamuna River (1999–2005) (2006) Central pollution control board, ministry of environment & forests, assessment and development of river basin series: ADSORBS/41/2006-07 CPCB, Water Quality Status of Yamuna River (1999–2005) (2006) Central pollution control board, ministry of environment & forests, assessment and development of river basin series: ADSORBS/41/2006-07
go back to reference Diodato N, Guerriero L, Fiorillo F, Esposito L, Revellino P, Grelle G, Guadagno FM (2014) Predicting monthly spring discharges using a simple statistical model. Water Resour Manag 28:969–978CrossRef Diodato N, Guerriero L, Fiorillo F, Esposito L, Revellino P, Grelle G, Guadagno FM (2014) Predicting monthly spring discharges using a simple statistical model. Water Resour Manag 28:969–978CrossRef
go back to reference Dökmen F, Aslan Z (2013) Evaluation of the parameters of water quality with wavelet techniques. Water Resour Manag 27:4977–4988CrossRef Dökmen F, Aslan Z (2013) Evaluation of the parameters of water quality with wavelet techniques. Water Resour Manag 27:4977–4988CrossRef
go back to reference Doyle ME, Barros VR (2011) Attribution of the river flow growth in the Plata basin. Int J Climatol 31:2234–2248CrossRef Doyle ME, Barros VR (2011) Attribution of the river flow growth in the Plata basin. Int J Climatol 31:2234–2248CrossRef
go back to reference Grapes A (1995) An introduction to wavelets. IEEE Comutational Sci Eng Signal Image Process 2:50–61 Grapes A (1995) An introduction to wavelets. IEEE Comutational Sci Eng Signal Image Process 2:50–61
go back to reference Hsu K, Gupta HV, Sorooshian S (1995) Artificial neural network modeling of the rainfall runoff process. Water Resour Res 31:2517–2530CrossRef Hsu K, Gupta HV, Sorooshian S (1995) Artificial neural network modeling of the rainfall runoff process. Water Resour Res 31:2517–2530CrossRef
go back to reference Hung NQ, Babel HS, Weesakul S, Tripathi NK (2009) An artificial neural network model for rainfall forecasting in Bangkok Thailand. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 13:1413–1425CrossRef Hung NQ, Babel HS, Weesakul S, Tripathi NK (2009) An artificial neural network model for rainfall forecasting in Bangkok Thailand. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 13:1413–1425CrossRef
go back to reference Jang JSR (1993) ANFIS: adaptive network based fuzzy inference system. IEEE Trans Syst Manag Cybernet 23:665–685CrossRef Jang JSR (1993) ANFIS: adaptive network based fuzzy inference system. IEEE Trans Syst Manag Cybernet 23:665–685CrossRef
go back to reference Jeong C, Shin JY, Kim T, Heo JH (2012) Monthly precipitation forecasting with a neuro-fuzzy model. Water Resour Manag 26:4467–4483CrossRef Jeong C, Shin JY, Kim T, Heo JH (2012) Monthly precipitation forecasting with a neuro-fuzzy model. Water Resour Manag 26:4467–4483CrossRef
go back to reference Kahya E, Kalayci S (2004) Trend analysis of streamflow in Turkey. J Hydrol 289:128–144CrossRef Kahya E, Kalayci S (2004) Trend analysis of streamflow in Turkey. J Hydrol 289:128–144CrossRef
go back to reference Karmakar S, Mujumdar PP (2006) Grey fuzzy optimization model for water quality management of a river system. Adv Water Resour 29:1088–1105CrossRef Karmakar S, Mujumdar PP (2006) Grey fuzzy optimization model for water quality management of a river system. Adv Water Resour 29:1088–1105CrossRef
go back to reference Labat D (2008) Wavelet analysis of the annual discharge records of the world’s largest rivers. Adv Water Resour 31:109–117CrossRef Labat D (2008) Wavelet analysis of the annual discharge records of the world’s largest rivers. Adv Water Resour 31:109–117CrossRef
go back to reference Nayak PC, Sudheer KP, Ranjan DM, Ramasastri KS (2004) A neuro fuzzy computing technique for modeling hydrological time series. J Hydrol 291:52–66CrossRef Nayak PC, Sudheer KP, Ranjan DM, Ramasastri KS (2004) A neuro fuzzy computing technique for modeling hydrological time series. J Hydrol 291:52–66CrossRef
go back to reference Parmar KS, Chugh P, Minhas P, Sahota HS (2009) Alarming pollution levels in rivers of Punjab. Indian J Env Protozool 29:953–959 Parmar KS, Chugh P, Minhas P, Sahota HS (2009) Alarming pollution levels in rivers of Punjab. Indian J Env Protozool 29:953–959
go back to reference Partal T, Kisi O (2007) Wavelet and neuro fuzzy conjunction model for precipitation forecasting. J Hydrol 342:199–212CrossRef Partal T, Kisi O (2007) Wavelet and neuro fuzzy conjunction model for precipitation forecasting. J Hydrol 342:199–212CrossRef
go back to reference Rangarajan G, Ding M (2000) Integrated approach to the assessment of long range correlation in time series data. Phys Rev E 61:4991–5001CrossRef Rangarajan G, Ding M (2000) Integrated approach to the assessment of long range correlation in time series data. Phys Rev E 61:4991–5001CrossRef
go back to reference Sachindra DA, Huang F, Barton A, Perera BJC (2012) Least square support vector and multi-linear regression for statistically downscaling general circulation model outputs to catchment streamflows. Int J Climatol. doi:10.1002/joc.3493 Sachindra DA, Huang F, Barton A, Perera BJC (2012) Least square support vector and multi-linear regression for statistically downscaling general circulation model outputs to catchment streamflows. Int J Climatol. doi:10.​1002/​joc.​3493
go back to reference Sahay RR, Srivastava A (2014) Predicting monsoon floods in rivers embedding wavelet transform, genetic algorithm and neural network. Water Resour Manag 28:301–317CrossRef Sahay RR, Srivastava A (2014) Predicting monsoon floods in rivers embedding wavelet transform, genetic algorithm and neural network. Water Resour Manag 28:301–317CrossRef
go back to reference Seyed AA, Ahmed E, Jaafar O (2013) Improving rainfall forecasting efficiency using modified adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (MANFIS). Water Resour Manag 27:3507–3523CrossRef Seyed AA, Ahmed E, Jaafar O (2013) Improving rainfall forecasting efficiency using modified adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (MANFIS). Water Resour Manag 27:3507–3523CrossRef
go back to reference Shukla JB, Misra AK, Chandra P (2008) Mathematical modeling and analysis of the depletion of dissolved oxygen in eutrophied water bodies affected by organic pollutant. Nonlinear Anal: Real World Appl 9:1851–s1865CrossRef Shukla JB, Misra AK, Chandra P (2008) Mathematical modeling and analysis of the depletion of dissolved oxygen in eutrophied water bodies affected by organic pollutant. Nonlinear Anal: Real World Appl 9:1851–s1865CrossRef
go back to reference Toprak ZF, Sen Z, Savci ME (2004) Comment on longitudinal dispersion coefficients in natural channels. Water Res 38:3139–3143CrossRef Toprak ZF, Sen Z, Savci ME (2004) Comment on longitudinal dispersion coefficients in natural channels. Water Res 38:3139–3143CrossRef
go back to reference Toprak ZF, Eris E, Agiralioglu N, Cigizoglu HK, Yilmaz L, Aksoy H, Coskun G, Andic G, Alganci U (2009) Modeling monthly mean flow in a poorly gauged basin by fuzzy logic. Clean-Soil Air Water 37:555–564CrossRef Toprak ZF, Eris E, Agiralioglu N, Cigizoglu HK, Yilmaz L, Aksoy H, Coskun G, Andic G, Alganci U (2009) Modeling monthly mean flow in a poorly gauged basin by fuzzy logic. Clean-Soil Air Water 37:555–564CrossRef
go back to reference Underwood FM (2012) Describing seasonal variability in the distribution of daily effective temperatures for 1985–2009 compared to 1904–1984 for De Bilt. Holland Meteorol Appl. doi:10.1002/met.1297 Underwood FM (2012) Describing seasonal variability in the distribution of daily effective temperatures for 1985–2009 compared to 1904–1984 for De Bilt. Holland Meteorol Appl. doi:10.​1002/​met.​1297
go back to reference Wiee WWS (1990) Time series analysis. Addision Wesley publishing company, New York, p 478 Wiee WWS (1990) Time series analysis. Addision Wesley publishing company, New York, p 478
go back to reference Yeniguna K, Ecer R (2012) Overlay mapping trend analysis technique and its application in Euphrates Basin. Turk Meteorol Appl. doi:10.1002/met.1304 Yeniguna K, Ecer R (2012) Overlay mapping trend analysis technique and its application in Euphrates Basin. Turk Meteorol Appl. doi:10.​1002/​met.​1304
go back to reference Yeon IS, Jun KW, Lee HJ (2009) The improvement of total organic carbon forecasting using neural networks discharge model. Environ Technol 30:45–51CrossRef Yeon IS, Jun KW, Lee HJ (2009) The improvement of total organic carbon forecasting using neural networks discharge model. Environ Technol 30:45–51CrossRef
go back to reference Zhang Q, Xu CY, Chen X, Zhang Z (2011) Statistical behaviours of precipitation regimes in China and their links with atmospheric circulation 1960–2005. Int J Climatol 31:1665–1678 Zhang Q, Xu CY, Chen X, Zhang Z (2011) Statistical behaviours of precipitation regimes in China and their links with atmospheric circulation 1960–2005. Int J Climatol 31:1665–1678
Metadata
Title
River Water Prediction Modeling Using Neural Networks, Fuzzy and Wavelet Coupled Model
Authors
Kulwinder Singh Parmar
Rashmi Bhardwaj
Publication date
01-01-2015
Publisher
Springer Netherlands
Published in
Water Resources Management / Issue 1/2015
Print ISSN: 0920-4741
Electronic ISSN: 1573-1650
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-014-0824-7

Other articles of this Issue 1/2015

Water Resources Management 1/2015 Go to the issue