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2021 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

Sales Forecasting Difficulties’ Analysis on Colombian Direct Sales Companies

Authors : Carlos A. Castro-Zuluaga, Mariana Arboleda

Published in: Proceedings of the International Congress of Industrial Engineering (ICIE2019)

Publisher: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

Direct Selling Industry reports billions on sales in Colombia and all around the globe. It is unique among retail channels because instead of relying on traditional marketplaces, direct selling companies maintain salesforces of millions of independent consultants who make direct contact with each of their clients. Direct selling companies, like most others, need to make good projections of their demand at the stock keeping unit level to properly manage their inventory. However, the literature has ignored them, so as of today there are no solutions focused on the singularity of the business. This means companies are forecasting through empirical methods. Our ongoing research seeks to recognize the main obstacles that the sector faces and to find strategies that have been proposed for other industries and could be adapted to improve prediction accuracy.

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Literature
go back to reference Fundamentals, L.: CTL.SC1x - supply chain & logistics fundamentals forecasting for special cases. MIT Center for Transportation and Logistics (2016) Fundamentals, L.: CTL.SC1x - supply chain & logistics fundamentals forecasting for special cases. MIT Center for Transportation and Logistics (2016)
go back to reference Green, K.C., Armstrong, J.S.: Simple versus complex forecasting: the evidence, March 2015 Green, K.C., Armstrong, J.S.: Simple versus complex forecasting: the evidence, March 2015
go back to reference Ridgway, N.M., Peterson, R.A.: Consumers who buy from direct sales companies information seeking on competitors and perception of competition by food store managers view project TYPE IV error in marketing research: the investigation of ANOVA interactions view project. J. Retail. 65(2), 273–286 (1989). https://www.researchgate.net/publication/236965116. Accessed 10 July 2019 Ridgway, N.M., Peterson, R.A.: Consumers who buy from direct sales companies information seeking on competitors and perception of competition by food store managers view project TYPE IV error in marketing research: the investigation of ANOVA interactions view project. J. Retail. 65(2), 273–286 (1989). https://​www.​researchgate.​net/​publication/​236965116. Accessed 10 July 2019
go back to reference Sandoval, J.C.: Estimación de Ventas, en una Industria Cosmética de Venta Directa mediante Minería de Datos. Universidad Técnica Federico Santa María, pp. 1–20 (2017) Sandoval, J.C.: Estimación de Ventas, en una Industria Cosmética de Venta Directa mediante Minería de Datos. Universidad Técnica Federico Santa María, pp. 1–20 (2017)
Metadata
Title
Sales Forecasting Difficulties’ Analysis on Colombian Direct Sales Companies
Authors
Carlos A. Castro-Zuluaga
Mariana Arboleda
Copyright Year
2021
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-49370-7_12

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