2006 | OriginalPaper | Chapter
SEISMIC HAZARD IN THE PANNONIAN REGION
Authors : László Tóth, Erzsébet Győri, Péter Mónus, Tibor Zsíros
Published in: The Adria Microplate: GPS Geodesy, Tectonics and Hazards
Publisher: Springer Netherlands
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Seismic hazard for single sites and hazard maps for the whole Pannonian region (44.0-50.0N; 13.0-28.0E) have been calculated. The hazard assessment was carried out using a probabilistic approach by incorporating a wide range of parameter values and viable interpretations that were consistent with the data. Alternative interpretations were described by branches of a logic tree. Each branch was weighted according to the ability of that interpretation to explain the available data. The resulting seismic hazard map describes expected shaking with a 475-year return period in terms of peak ground acceleration. Furthermore, some important contributors to seismic risk are highlighted, and a liquefaction hazard map is presented for the territory of Hungary.