Skip to main content
Top
Published in:

07-07-2023 | Original Paper

Spatial distribution and characteristics of vulnerable occupations to artificial intelligence: cases from South Korea

Authors: Seongjun Yang, Donghyun Kim

Published in: The Annals of Regional Science | Issue 4/2024

Log in

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

With the advent of the Fourth Industrial Revolution, Artificial Intelligence (AI) has become increasingly prevalent and is expected to replace a range of human tasks. In this context, this study seeks to identify occupations that are vulnerable to AI, and focuses on their occupational and spatial characteristics. Korean patent data within Google Patents and tasks of occupations based on ISCO-08 were collected and analyzed via dependency parsing to reveal the corresponding tasks and occupations with AI's technical characteristics. Our analysis highlights the vulnerability of tasks that have remained unchanged for a long time, while managerial professions and other occupations involving new and complex tasks based on know-how are less susceptible to the influence of AI. The study also shows significant regional disparities in labor distribution according to AI vulnerability in Korea, forming a strong spatial cluster. While previous waves of automation primarily affected manual labor involving unskilled work and low levels of education, AI is expected to replace various forms of middle and high skilled and educated human work. As such, this study recommends that local governments prepare for the polarization of the labor market by AI based on the understanding of their employment structure.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Appendix
Available only for authorised users
Footnotes
1
The six excluded unit-groups are as follows. 1439 – Services managers not elsewhere classified, 3139 – Process control technicians not elsewhere classified, 3435 – Other artistic and cultural associate professionals, 5249 – Sales workers not elsewhere classified, 7319 – Handicraft workers not elsewhere classified, and 8189 – Stationary plant and machine operators not elsewhere classified.
 
2
The five excluded unit-groups are as follows. 1113 – Traditional chiefs and heads of village, 6310 – Subsistence crop farmers, 6320 – Subsistence livestock farmers, 6330 – Subsistence mixed crop and livestock farmers, and 6340 – Subsistence fishers, hunters, trappers, and gatherers.
 
Literature
go back to reference Aarstad J, Kvitastein OA, Jakobsen S-E (2016) Related and unrelated variety as regional drivers of enterprise productivity and innovation: A multilevel study. Res Policy 45:844–856CrossRef Aarstad J, Kvitastein OA, Jakobsen S-E (2016) Related and unrelated variety as regional drivers of enterprise productivity and innovation: A multilevel study. Res Policy 45:844–856CrossRef
go back to reference Acemoglu D, Restrepo P (2020) Robots and jobs: Evidence from us labor markets. J Polit Econ 128(6):2188–2244CrossRef Acemoglu D, Restrepo P (2020) Robots and jobs: Evidence from us labor markets. J Polit Econ 128(6):2188–2244CrossRef
go back to reference Alder S, Lagakos D, Ohanian LE (2014) The decline of the U.S. rust belt: A macroeconomic analysis. SSRN August Alder S, Lagakos D, Ohanian LE (2014) The decline of the U.S. rust belt: A macroeconomic analysis. SSRN August
go back to reference Alekseeva L, Azar J, Giné M et al (2021) The demand for AI skills in the labor market. Labour Econ 71:1–60CrossRef Alekseeva L, Azar J, Giné M et al (2021) The demand for AI skills in the labor market. Labour Econ 71:1–60CrossRef
go back to reference Ang JB (2010) Research, technological change and financial liberalization in South Korea. J Macroecon 32(1):457–468CrossRef Ang JB (2010) Research, technological change and financial liberalization in South Korea. J Macroecon 32(1):457–468CrossRef
go back to reference Anselin L (1995) Local Indicators of Spatial Association—LISA. Geogr Anal 27(2):93–115CrossRef Anselin L (1995) Local Indicators of Spatial Association—LISA. Geogr Anal 27(2):93–115CrossRef
go back to reference Anselin L, Syabri I, Kho Y (2006) GeoDa: An introduction to spatial data analysis. Geogr Anal 38(1):5–22CrossRef Anselin L, Syabri I, Kho Y (2006) GeoDa: An introduction to spatial data analysis. Geogr Anal 38(1):5–22CrossRef
go back to reference Arntz M, Gregory T, Zierahn U (2017) Revisiting the risk of automation. Econ Lett 159:157–160CrossRef Arntz M, Gregory T, Zierahn U (2017) Revisiting the risk of automation. Econ Lett 159:157–160CrossRef
go back to reference Ashton TS (1948) The industrial revolution (1760–1830). Oxford University Press, London and New York Ashton TS (1948) The industrial revolution (1760–1830). Oxford University Press, London and New York
go back to reference Atalay E, Phongthiengtham P, Sotelo S et al (2018) New technologies and the labor market. J Monet Econ 97:48–67CrossRef Atalay E, Phongthiengtham P, Sotelo S et al (2018) New technologies and the labor market. J Monet Econ 97:48–67CrossRef
go back to reference Autor DH, Levy F, Murnane RJ (2003) The skill content of recent technological change: An empirical exploration. Q J Econ 118(4):1279–1333CrossRef Autor DH, Levy F, Murnane RJ (2003) The skill content of recent technological change: An empirical exploration. Q J Econ 118(4):1279–1333CrossRef
go back to reference Boschma R, Minondo A, Navarro M (2012) Related variety and regional growth in Spain. Pap Reg Sci 91:241–479CrossRef Boschma R, Minondo A, Navarro M (2012) Related variety and regional growth in Spain. Pap Reg Sci 91:241–479CrossRef
go back to reference Braganza A, Chen W, Canhoto A et al (2020) Productive employment and decent work: The impact of AI adoption on psychological contracts, job engagement and employee trust. J Bus Res 131:485–494CrossRef Braganza A, Chen W, Canhoto A et al (2020) Productive employment and decent work: The impact of AI adoption on psychological contracts, job engagement and employee trust. J Bus Res 131:485–494CrossRef
go back to reference Brynjolfsson E, Mitchell T (2017) What can machine learning do? Workforce Implications Science 358(6370):1530–1534 Brynjolfsson E, Mitchell T (2017) What can machine learning do? Workforce Implications Science 358(6370):1530–1534
go back to reference Calvino F, Criscuolo C, Marcolin L, Squicciarini M (2017) A taxonomy of digital intensive sectors. organization for economic Co-operation and development Calvino F, Criscuolo C, Marcolin L, Squicciarini M (2017) A taxonomy of digital intensive sectors. organization for economic Co-operation and development
go back to reference Caruso L (2018) Digital innovation and the fourth industrial revolution: Epochal social changes? AI Soc 33(3):379–392CrossRef Caruso L (2018) Digital innovation and the fourth industrial revolution: Epochal social changes? AI Soc 33(3):379–392CrossRef
go back to reference Cho S, Kang H, Park JE, Kim D, Tak HY (2019) Developing new industrial spaces for hosting young adults workers. Sejong: Korea Research Institute for Human Settlements Cho S, Kang H, Park JE, Kim D, Tak HY (2019) Developing new industrial spaces for hosting young adults workers. Sejong: Korea Research Institute for Human Settlements
go back to reference Cho M, Hassink R (2009) Limits to locking-out through restructuring: the textile industry in Daegu, South Korea. Reg Stu 43:1183–1198CrossRef Cho M, Hassink R (2009) Limits to locking-out through restructuring: the textile industry in Daegu, South Korea. Reg Stu 43:1183–1198CrossRef
go back to reference Chung EC, Lee BS, Cho C (2021) Determinants of agglomeration in Korean manufacturing industries. Singap Econ Rev 66(5):1293–1319CrossRef Chung EC, Lee BS, Cho C (2021) Determinants of agglomeration in Korean manufacturing industries. Singap Econ Rev 66(5):1293–1319CrossRef
go back to reference Dengler K, Matthes B (2018) The impacts of digital transformation on the labour market: Substitution potentials of occupations in Germany. Technol Forecas Soc Change 137(October):304–316CrossRef Dengler K, Matthes B (2018) The impacts of digital transformation on the labour market: Substitution potentials of occupations in Germany. Technol Forecas Soc Change 137(October):304–316CrossRef
go back to reference Deschryvere M, Kim Y (2016) The role of ecosystems for start-ups: a comprehensive study between Korea and Filand. STI Policy Rev 7:35–59 Deschryvere M, Kim Y (2016) The role of ecosystems for start-ups: a comprehensive study between Korea and Filand. STI Policy Rev 7:35–59
go back to reference Dolega L, Lord AL (2020) Exploring the geography of retail success and decline: a case study of the Liverpool City Region. Cities 96:102456CrossRef Dolega L, Lord AL (2020) Exploring the geography of retail success and decline: a case study of the Liverpool City Region. Cities 96:102456CrossRef
go back to reference Ezcurra R, Iraizoz B, Pascual P (2009) Total factor productivity, efficiency, and technological change in the European regions: a nonparametric approach. Environ Plan A 41(5):1152–1170CrossRef Ezcurra R, Iraizoz B, Pascual P (2009) Total factor productivity, efficiency, and technological change in the European regions: a nonparametric approach. Environ Plan A 41(5):1152–1170CrossRef
go back to reference Feser EJ (2003) What regions do rather than make: a proposed set of knowledge-based occupation clusters. Urban Stu 40:1937–1958CrossRef Feser EJ (2003) What regions do rather than make: a proposed set of knowledge-based occupation clusters. Urban Stu 40:1937–1958CrossRef
go back to reference Frey CB, Osborne MA (2017) The future of employment: how susceptible are jobs to computerisation? Technol Forecast Soc Change 114:254–280CrossRef Frey CB, Osborne MA (2017) The future of employment: how susceptible are jobs to computerisation? Technol Forecast Soc Change 114:254–280CrossRef
go back to reference Getis A, Aldstadt J (2010) Constructing the spatial weights matrix using a local statistic. Adv Spat Sci 61(2):147–163 Getis A, Aldstadt J (2010) Constructing the spatial weights matrix using a local statistic. Adv Spat Sci 61(2):147–163
go back to reference Glaeser E (2012) Triumph of the city: How our greatest invention makes us richer, smarter, greener, healthier, and happier. Penguin Books Glaeser E (2012) Triumph of the city: How our greatest invention makes us richer, smarter, greener, healthier, and happier. Penguin Books
go back to reference Graetz G, Guy M (2018) Robots at work. Rev Econ Stat 32(2):117–132 Graetz G, Guy M (2018) Robots at work. Rev Econ Stat 32(2):117–132
go back to reference Gruetzemacher R, Paradice D, Lee KB (2020) Forecasting extreme labor displacement: a survey of AI practitioners. Technol Forecast Soc Change 161:120323CrossRef Gruetzemacher R, Paradice D, Lee KB (2020) Forecasting extreme labor displacement: a survey of AI practitioners. Technol Forecast Soc Change 161:120323CrossRef
go back to reference Habibollah Najaf Abadi H, Pecht M (2020) Artificial intelligence trends based on the patents granted by the United States patent and trademark office. IEEE Access 8:81633–81643CrossRef Habibollah Najaf Abadi H, Pecht M (2020) Artificial intelligence trends based on the patents granted by the United States patent and trademark office. IEEE Access 8:81633–81643CrossRef
go back to reference Hassink R (2010) Locked in decline? On the role of regional lock-ins in old industrial areas. Handb Evol Econ Geogr 2010:450–470 Hassink R (2010) Locked in decline? On the role of regional lock-ins in old industrial areas. Handb Evol Econ Geogr 2010:450–470
go back to reference Hassink R, Hu X, Shin D-H, Yamamura S, Gong H (2018) The restructuring of old industrial areas in East Asia. Area Dev Policy 3:185–202CrossRef Hassink R, Hu X, Shin D-H, Yamamura S, Gong H (2018) The restructuring of old industrial areas in East Asia. Area Dev Policy 3:185–202CrossRef
go back to reference Honnibal M, Montani I, Van Landeghem S, et al. (2020) spaCy: Industrial-strength Natural Language Processing in Python Honnibal M, Montani I, Van Landeghem S, et al. (2020) spaCy: Industrial-strength Natural Language Processing in Python
go back to reference John Paschjewitz DP (2020) Can AI make your job more interesting. Issues Sci Technol 37(1):74–78 John Paschjewitz DP (2020) Can AI make your job more interesting. Issues Sci Technol 37(1):74–78
go back to reference Joo YM, Seo B (2018) Dual policy to fight urban shrinkage: Daegu, South Korea. Cities 73:128–137CrossRef Joo YM, Seo B (2018) Dual policy to fight urban shrinkage: Daegu, South Korea. Cities 73:128–137CrossRef
go back to reference Kasahara S (2004) Flying geese paradigm. UNCTAD Discuss Pap 169:1–27 Kasahara S (2004) Flying geese paradigm. UNCTAD Discuss Pap 169:1–27
go back to reference Kim YS (1997) Technology and development: Impact of technology on the Korean economy. Korea J Popul Dev 26(2):101–120 Kim YS (1997) Technology and development: Impact of technology on the Korean economy. Korea J Popul Dev 26(2):101–120
go back to reference Kim J, Jun S, Jang D, Park S (2018) Sustainable technology analysis of artificial intelligence using Bayesian and social network models. Sustainability 10:115CrossRef Kim J, Jun S, Jang D, Park S (2018) Sustainable technology analysis of artificial intelligence using Bayesian and social network models. Sustainability 10:115CrossRef
go back to reference Kim E, Hong A, Hwang J (2019) Polarized labor demand owing to routine-biased technological change: the case of Korea from 1993 to 2015. Telemat Informat 39:1–10CrossRef Kim E, Hong A, Hwang J (2019) Polarized labor demand owing to routine-biased technological change: the case of Korea from 1993 to 2015. Telemat Informat 39:1–10CrossRef
go back to reference Korean Intellectual Property Office (2023) Matching table between Korea standard industry classification and international patent class. Daejeon: Korean Intellectual Property Office Korean Intellectual Property Office (2023) Matching table between Korea standard industry classification and international patent class. Daejeon: Korean Intellectual Property Office
go back to reference Krueger AB (1993) How computers have changed the wage structure: Evidence from microdata, 1984–1989. Q J Econ 108(1):33–60CrossRef Krueger AB (1993) How computers have changed the wage structure: Evidence from microdata, 1984–1989. Q J Econ 108(1):33–60CrossRef
go back to reference Laurison D, Friedman S (2016) The class pay gap in higher professional and managerial occupations. Am Sociol Rev 81(4):668–695CrossRef Laurison D, Friedman S (2016) The class pay gap in higher professional and managerial occupations. Am Sociol Rev 81(4):668–695CrossRef
go back to reference Lee Y (2020) Long-term shifts in Korean manufacturing and plant-level productivity dynamics. Policy Research Working Paper 9279. World Bank Group. Lee Y (2020) Long-term shifts in Korean manufacturing and plant-level productivity dynamics. Policy Research Working Paper 9279. World Bank Group.
go back to reference Liu J, Liu L, Qian Y, Song S (2022) The effect of artificial intelligence on carbon intensity: evidence from China’s industrial sector. Socio-Econ Plan Sci. 83:101002CrossRef Liu J, Liu L, Qian Y, Song S (2022) The effect of artificial intelligence on carbon intensity: evidence from China’s industrial sector. Socio-Econ Plan Sci. 83:101002CrossRef
go back to reference Makridakis S (2017) The forthcoming artificial Intelligence (AI) revolution: Its impact on society and firms. Futures 90:46–60CrossRef Makridakis S (2017) The forthcoming artificial Intelligence (AI) revolution: Its impact on society and firms. Futures 90:46–60CrossRef
go back to reference Markusen A (2004) Targeting occupations in regional and community economic development. J Am Plann Assoc 70:253–268CrossRef Markusen A (2004) Targeting occupations in regional and community economic development. J Am Plann Assoc 70:253–268CrossRef
go back to reference Markusen A, Wassall GH, DeNatale D, Cohen R (2008) Defining the creative economy: Industry and occupational approaches. Econ Dev Q 22:24–45CrossRef Markusen A, Wassall GH, DeNatale D, Cohen R (2008) Defining the creative economy: Industry and occupational approaches. Econ Dev Q 22:24–45CrossRef
go back to reference McKinsey, Company (2018) AI, automation, and the future of work: Ten things to solve for. McKinsey Global Institute 1–7 McKinsey, Company (2018) AI, automation, and the future of work: Ten things to solve for. McKinsey Global Institute 1–7
go back to reference Mellander C (2009) Creative and knowledge industries: an occupational distribution approach. Econ Dev Q 23:294–305CrossRef Mellander C (2009) Creative and knowledge industries: an occupational distribution approach. Econ Dev Q 23:294–305CrossRef
go back to reference Michaels G, Natraj A, Van Reenen JV (2014) Has ICT polarized skill demand? Evidence from eleven countries over twenty-five years. Rev Econ Stat 96(1):60–77CrossRef Michaels G, Natraj A, Van Reenen JV (2014) Has ICT polarized skill demand? Evidence from eleven countries over twenty-five years. Rev Econ Stat 96(1):60–77CrossRef
go back to reference Miller GA (1995) WordNet: a lexical database for English. Commun ACM 38(11):39–41CrossRef Miller GA (1995) WordNet: a lexical database for English. Commun ACM 38(11):39–41CrossRef
go back to reference Muro M, Maxim R, Whiton J (2019) Automation and artificial intelligence: how machines are affecting people and places. Brookings Institute January: 1–108 Muro M, Maxim R, Whiton J (2019) Automation and artificial intelligence: how machines are affecting people and places. Brookings Institute January: 1–108
go back to reference Nam T (2019) Technology usage, expected job sustainability, and perceived job insecurity. Technol Forecast Soc Change 138:155–165CrossRef Nam T (2019) Technology usage, expected job sustainability, and perceived job insecurity. Technol Forecast Soc Change 138:155–165CrossRef
go back to reference Park D, Shin K (2012) Performance of the service sector in the Republic of Korea: an empirical investigation. ADB economic working paper series No. 324. Asian development bank Park D, Shin K (2012) Performance of the service sector in the Republic of Korea: an empirical investigation. ADB economic working paper series No. 324. Asian development bank
go back to reference Peters MA (2017) Technological unemployment: Educating for the fourth industrial revolution. Educ Philos Theory 49(1):1–6CrossRef Peters MA (2017) Technological unemployment: Educating for the fourth industrial revolution. Educ Philos Theory 49(1):1–6CrossRef
go back to reference Portas M (2011) The Portas review: the future of our high streets. GOV.UK. 55 Portas M (2011) The Portas review: the future of our high streets. GOV.UK. 55
go back to reference Rampersad G (2020) Robot will take your job: Innovation for an era of artificial intelligence. J Bus Res 116:68–74CrossRef Rampersad G (2020) Robot will take your job: Innovation for an era of artificial intelligence. J Bus Res 116:68–74CrossRef
go back to reference Scott A, Mantegna A (2009) Human capital assets and structures of work in the US metropolitan hierarchy. Int Reg Sci Rev 32:173–194CrossRef Scott A, Mantegna A (2009) Human capital assets and structures of work in the US metropolitan hierarchy. Int Reg Sci Rev 32:173–194CrossRef
go back to reference Seo JK, Cho M, Skelton T (2015) “Dynamic Busan”: Envisioning a global hub city in Korea. Cities 46:26–34CrossRef Seo JK, Cho M, Skelton T (2015) “Dynamic Busan”: Envisioning a global hub city in Korea. Cities 46:26–34CrossRef
go back to reference Trabucco D (2021) Will artificial intelligence kill architects? An insight on the architect job in the AI future. Tech Spec Ser 2:128–132 Trabucco D (2021) Will artificial intelligence kill architects? An insight on the architect job in the AI future. Tech Spec Ser 2:128–132
go back to reference USPTO (2014) General information concerning patents USPTO (2014) General information concerning patents
go back to reference Ward JH (1963) Hierarchical grouping to optimize an objective function. J Am Stat Assoc 58(301):236–244CrossRef Ward JH (1963) Hierarchical grouping to optimize an objective function. J Am Stat Assoc 58(301):236–244CrossRef
go back to reference Webb M (2020) The impact of artificial intelligence on the labor market. SSRN 158713 Webb M (2020) The impact of artificial intelligence on the labor market. SSRN 158713
go back to reference West JM (1987) South Korea’s entry into the International Labor Organization: perspectives on corporatist labor law during a late industrial revolution. Stan J Int’l Law 23(2):447–546 West JM (1987) South Korea’s entry into the International Labor Organization: perspectives on corporatist labor law during a late industrial revolution. Stan J Int’l Law 23(2):447–546
go back to reference Wixe S, Andersson M (2017) Which types of relatedness matter in regional growth? Industry, occupation and education. Reg Stu 51:523–536CrossRef Wixe S, Andersson M (2017) Which types of relatedness matter in regional growth? Industry, occupation and education. Reg Stu 51:523–536CrossRef
go back to reference World Intellectual Property Organization (2019) WIPO Technology Trends 2019: Artificial Intelligence. World Intellectual Property Organization, Geneva World Intellectual Property Organization (2019) WIPO Technology Trends 2019: Artificial Intelligence. World Intellectual Property Organization, Geneva
go back to reference Yamada I, Torisawa K, Kazama J, et al. (2009) Hypernym discovery based on distributional similarity and hierarchical structures. In: Proceedings of the 2009 Conference on empirical methods in natural language processing, Singapore, pp 929–937 Yamada I, Torisawa K, Kazama J, et al. (2009) Hypernym discovery based on distributional similarity and hierarchical structures. In: Proceedings of the 2009 Conference on empirical methods in natural language processing, Singapore, pp 929–937
go back to reference Yeh CCR, Wong CCJ, Chang WWV, et al. (2020) Labor displacement in artificial intelligence era: a systematic literature review. Taiwan J East Asian Stud 17(2) Yeh CCR, Wong CCJ, Chang WWV, et al. (2020) Labor displacement in artificial intelligence era: a systematic literature review. Taiwan J East Asian Stud 17(2)
Metadata
Title
Spatial distribution and characteristics of vulnerable occupations to artificial intelligence: cases from South Korea
Authors
Seongjun Yang
Donghyun Kim
Publication date
07-07-2023
Publisher
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Published in
The Annals of Regional Science / Issue 4/2024
Print ISSN: 0570-1864
Electronic ISSN: 1432-0592
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-023-01234-1