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Published in: Structural and Multidisciplinary Optimization 2/2011

01-02-2011 | Research Paper

Surrogate modeling approximation using a mixture of experts based on EM joint estimation

Authors: Dimitri Bettebghor, Nathalie Bartoli, Stéphane Grihon, Joseph Morlier, Manuel Samuelides

Published in: Structural and Multidisciplinary Optimization | Issue 2/2011

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Abstract

An automatic method to combine several local surrogate models is presented. This method is intended to build accurate and smooth approximation of discontinuous functions that are to be used in structural optimization problems. It strongly relies on the Expectation−Maximization (EM) algorithm for Gaussian mixture models (GMM). To the end of regression, the inputs are clustered together with their output values by means of parameter estimation of the joint distribution. A local expert is then built (linear, quadratic, artificial neural network, moving least squares) on each cluster. Lastly, the local experts are combined using the Gaussian mixture model parameters found by the EM algorithm to obtain a global model. This method is tested over both mathematical test cases and an engineering optimization problem from aeronautics and is found to improve the accuracy of the approximation.

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Appendix
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Footnotes
1
The Mahalanobis distance of a random variable X ∈ \(\mathbb{R}^{d}\) is the distance defined by the inverse the variance-covariance matrix \(\Gamma = {\mbox{Var}(X)}\): for ω 1, \(\omega_2 \in {\mathbb{R}^{d}}\) the Mahalanobis distance is \(D_{M}(\omega_1,\omega_2) = ||\omega_1-\omega_2||_{\Gamma^{-1}} = \sqrt{(\omega_1-\omega_2)^T\Gamma^{-1}(\omega_1-\omega_2)}\). It does define a distance since the inverse of Γ (sometimes called the precision matrix) is symmetric positive definite.
 
2
All these matrices are symmetric positive definite but they can become nearly-singular especially in case of redundant data (linearity), QR factorization performs better than Gaussian reduction and even Choleski factorization.
 
3
This boundary is often known in Probability as the Bayes classifier.
 
4
Such regressions are mainly used to speed up pre-sizing of the aircraft and are known as design curves.
 
5
In this article we focused on Gaussian mixture models that were fully free, i.e. all the parameters of the Gaussian mixture models are not constrained and EM algorithm estimates all the parameters. There are more simple Gaussian mixture models that assume that all the means are the same or all of the variance-covariance matrices are of the form \(\sigma^2 I_n\) (this hypothesis is known in statistics as homoscedascity).
 
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Metadata
Title
Surrogate modeling approximation using a mixture of experts based on EM joint estimation
Authors
Dimitri Bettebghor
Nathalie Bartoli
Stéphane Grihon
Joseph Morlier
Manuel Samuelides
Publication date
01-02-2011
Publisher
Springer-Verlag
Published in
Structural and Multidisciplinary Optimization / Issue 2/2011
Print ISSN: 1615-147X
Electronic ISSN: 1615-1488
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00158-010-0554-2

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