Taming uncertainty with MDE: an historical perspective

The article 'Taming uncertainty with MDE: an historical perspective' delves into the multifaceted challenge of uncertainty in software development, categorizing it into epistemic and aleatory uncertainties. It explores the historical journey of Model Driven Engineering (MDE) in tackling these uncertainties, from early CASE tools to the more sophisticated approaches of today. The paper discusses the progression of MDE in handling uncertainty at different levels, including model-level aspects, language-level considerations, and the eventual standardization of Uncertainty Modeling. Additionally, it highlights the importance of managing both epistemic and aleatory uncertainties in software systems, emphasizing the need for explicit modeling and statistical methods to build confidence envelopes for computations. The article concludes by outlining the ongoing challenges and future directions in uncertainty management within software development, emphasizing the necessity of systematic identification and modeling of uncertainty points to enhance software reliability and predictability.