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The European Union’s Geopolitics

The Lackluster World Power

  • 2024
  • Book

About this book

The book deals with the urgent need for the EU to position itself globally in the wake of Brexit, a rapidly worsening climate crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic, an aggressive Russia, and an ever more assertive China. After 60 years of intensive navel gazing that focused on institutional design more than world politics, the EU is now forced to defend its liberal democratic values, which have come under attack from inside and outside the European integration project. Moreover, Realpolitik is back on the agenda. Europe’s content negligence of defense matters in the past few decades has been revealed by Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine.

Table of Contents

  1. Frontmatter

  2. Introduction: The EU’s Geopolitics—Where Ambition Exceeds Ability

    Mathias Jopp, Johannes Pollak
    The chapter examines the EU's efforts to navigate complex geopolitical landscapes, balancing its economic strength with its geopolitical ambitions. It discusses the EU's response to crises such as the war in Ukraine, the climate crisis, and the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as the challenges posed by Russia and China. The text also explores the EU's struggle to achieve strategic autonomy and its attempts to build partnerships with like-minded countries. The chapter provides a detailed analysis of the EU's trade policy, defense capabilities, and foreign policy strategies, highlighting the complexities and contradictions in the EU's geopolitical stance.
  3. Puzzle Pieces

    1. Frontmatter

    2. Can the EEAS Deliver Diplomacy for the Era of Grey Zones and Intensified Geopolitical Competition?

      Jozef Bátora
      The chapter discusses the EU's response to intensified geopolitical competition and grey zones, focusing on the European External Action Service (EEAS) as an interstitial organization. It elaborates on the EEAS's organizational challenges and adaptations in integrating diplomacy, defense, and intelligence domains. The analysis highlights the EEAS's unique position as a non-state entity, its evolving role in countering hybrid threats, and the geopolitical turn it has undergone in response to recent global conflicts. The chapter concludes with recommendations for making the EEAS fit for a world of growing geopolitical confrontation.
    3. European Defence: Developments, Challenges and Gaps in Institutions, Instruments, and Strategies

      Florence Ertel, Daniel Göler
      The chapter delves into the evolution of the European Common Security and Defence Policy (CSDP), tracing its origins from the early attempts at European defence integration to the current geopolitical landscape shaped by the Russian war in Ukraine. It examines the institutional framework of CSDP, which has been marked by a tension between supranational and intergovernmental approaches. The chapter also analyzes the instruments and capabilities developed under CSDP, such as the European Defence Fund and the European Peace Facility, and evaluates their effectiveness. Additionally, it assesses the EU's security strategies, including the European Security Strategy (2003), the EU Global Strategy (2016), and the Strategic Compass (2022), highlighting the shift in the EU's self-image and security priorities. The chapter concludes by identifying perspectives and gaps in the current CSDP, offering insights into the future directions of European defence policy.
    4. Geopolitical Enlargement

      Frank Schimmelfennig
      The chapter delves into the renewed focus on EU enlargement, sparked by the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and the shift from a transformative to a geopolitical approach. It examines the nature of this geopolitical enlargement, the specific challenges it poses, and the trade-offs between speed and compliance. The author argues that differentiated integration is key to managing these challenges and ensuring the EU's effectiveness. The chapter also highlights the need for internal reforms and the potential for geopolitical enlargement to expose the EU's limitations as a global power. By offering a comprehensive analysis of these issues, the chapter provides valuable insights into the future of EU expansion and its geopolitical implications.
    5. EU Trade Policy in a Geopolitical Age

      Katharina Meissner
      The chapter delves into the EU's trade policy amidst a geopolitical age, marked by significant shifts in international relations and trade dynamics. It examines the return of geopolitics and geoeconomics, highlighting the EU's strategic responses through the 'geopolitical' European Commission and the concept of Open Strategic Autonomy. The analysis covers the EU's trade strategy, including new policy instruments designed to tackle economic distortions, defend against economic coercion, and ensure critical infrastructure and supply resilience. The chapter also assesses whether the EU's trade policy is fit for this new age, discussing the challenges and potential solutions for the EU to remain a strong player in the international system.
    6. Squaring the Circle? The EU’s Energy Dilemma

      Johannes Pollak, Samuel Randolph Schubert
      The chapter delves into the EU’s energy security dilemma exacerbated by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, revealing the EU’s over-reliance on Russian energy supplies and the subsequent scramble to diversify. It examines the concept of energy security, including its geopolitical dimensions, and the EU’s efforts to enhance its energy independence. The text also discusses the EU’s response to the crisis, including sanctions, diversification of energy sources, and the shift towards renewable energy. Additionally, it explores the strategic implications of these changes and the challenges the EU faces in achieving energy autonomy and maintaining its global influence.
  4. The Big Issues

    1. Frontmatter

    2. Russian Geopolitics and the Russian-Ukrainian War: Lessons for the EU

      Petr Kratochvíl, Tomáš Doležal
      The chapter 'Russian Geopolitics and the Russian-Ukrainian War: Lessons for the EU' delves into the geopolitical dynamics surrounding the Russian invasion of Ukraine, with a particular focus on the implications for the European Union. It begins by contextualizing Russia's historical role in European geopolitics and the evolution of its relationship with the EU. The text then explores the transformation of Russian geopolitical identity under President Putin, highlighting the role of ontological insecurity and the emergence of an 'identitarian geopolitics'. The invasion of Ukraine is analyzed as a consequence of these factors, providing a nuanced understanding of the geopolitical motivations behind the conflict. The chapter concludes by drawing lessons for the EU, emphasizing the need for a more realistic geopolitical approach and the importance of understanding the complexities of Russia's geopolitical outlook. This chapter offers valuable insights for those seeking to understand the broader geopolitical implications of the ongoing conflict and its impact on European security and politics.
    3. China: Systemic Rival or Selective Partner? Prospects and Challenges

      L. Curran, M. Poustie
      This chapter delves into the intricate dynamics of the EU-China relationship, emphasizing the significance of global norms in trade, investment, and climate change. It argues that the EU needs a nuanced strategy to navigate China’s role as both a norm-taker and norm-maker. The text explores China’s evolving political landscape, its assertive foreign policy, and the challenges it poses to the EU’s economic and security interests. It also examines China’s engagement with climate change norms, highlighting both its cooperation and reservations. The chapter concludes by discussing the EU’s innovative policy responses, such as the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism, and the need to balance strategic autonomy with cooperation in key sectors like the energy transition.
    4. The Transatlantic Relationship

      Roberta N. Haar
      The chapter focuses on three central issues in the European Union’s transatlantic relationship with the United States that contribute to Europe’s lacklustre performance: leadership, capability, and solidarity. It traces the evolution of these problems from the Obama administration to the Biden era, with a particular focus on the impact of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The chapter explores how shifting geopolitical landscapes and new global challenges have undermined US leadership and European willingness to follow, as well as the capability gaps in European defence and the solidarity issues that have strained the alliance. It also discusses the potential implications of a Trump presidency in 2024 and offers strategies for Europeans to enhance their leadership role, address capability gaps, and strengthen transatlantic solidarity. The chapter concludes with a forecast of future challenges and the importance of active preparation for potential shifts in the transatlantic relationship.
    5. The Geopolitics of Global Transportation in the Twenty-First Century

      Alice-Catherine Carls
      This chapter delves into the intricate geopolitics of global transportation, highlighting how political dynamics, technological advancements, and economic factors have shaped transportation routes over centuries. It begins with the Industrial Revolution, focusing on key projects like the Berlin-Baghdad railroad and the Trans-Siberian railroad, and explores how these routes facilitated the commercial advantage of industrialized nations. The end of the Cold War and the breakup of the Soviet Union opened Central Asia to the world, leading to the formation of transportation corridors like the Southern Corridor and the Trans-Siberian railroad. The chapter also discusses the rise of initiatives like the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) by China and the European Union’s Global Gateway, which aim to bridge the infrastructure gap in the Global South. Additionally, it examines the increasing importance of the Arctic region for transportation and the competition between major powers for control over these routes. The chapter concludes by discussing the future of global transportation, emphasizing the importance of cooperation and sustainable development in the face of challenges like climate change and geopolitical tensions.
  5. Making Partners

    1. Frontmatter

    2. The European Union and Turkey: A Relationship of Frenemies

      Funda Tekin
      The chapter 'The European Union and Turkey: A Relationship of Frenemies' delves into the intricate and multifaceted relationship between the European Union and Turkey, with a focus on geopolitical influences. It begins by highlighting the historical trajectory of their relationship, marked by terms like 'odyssey' and 'tortured love affair.' The year 2024 marks the 25th anniversary of Turkey’s official EU accession candidacy, yet recent developments, such as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, have sidelined Turkey in the EU’s enlargement policy. The chapter explores how geopolitical visions and foreign policy approaches of both the EU and Turkey have evolved, shifting from normative power to strategic autonomy. It also discusses key geopolitical challenges, including migration, the Middle East conflicts, the Eastern Mediterranean, and Russia’s war in Ukraine, and how these factors impact the EU-Turkey relationship. The analysis concludes by assessing the future prospects of this relationship in the context of variable geometries of Europe and the EU’s strategic autonomy.
    3. Geopolitics in Central Asia: The European Union Participating in a New Great Game over Land-Locked Countries?

      Julian Plottka
      This chapter delves into the geopolitical landscape of Central Asia, focusing on the European Union's role and the changing dynamics due to Russia's war in Ukraine. It begins by analyzing the geographical factors that influence the region's international relations, including its landlocked status and resource abundance. The chapter then explores the power politics at play, discussing the 'New Great Game' between Russia, China, and the US, and the role of the Central Asian states as active participants rather than passive objects. Additionally, it examines the opportunities and challenges in the region, such as economic diversification, security threats, and the need for green transition. The chapter concludes with a review of the EU's Central Asia policy and recommendations for future engagement, highlighting the need for a more pragmatic and geopolitically aware approach.
    4. Navigating Norms and Pragmatism in EU-India Relations

      Multilateralism, Connectivity, and the Future of the Strategic Partnership Philipp Gieg, Gisela Müller-Brandeck-Bocquet
      The chapter 'Navigating Norms and Pragmatism in EU-India Relations' delves into the intricate dynamics of the EU-India Strategic Partnership, established in 2004. Despite shared values and ambitious goals, the partnership has underperformed due to divergent interests and normative contestations. The authors analyze two key areas: political cooperation, particularly regarding multilateralism and global governance, and connectivity cooperation. They argue that while India's increasing 'post-Western' stance and democratic backsliding pose challenges, there are opportunities for alignment in connectivity projects. The chapter concludes by highlighting the potential for a more pragmatic and results-oriented partnership, emphasizing the need for the EU to adapt its approach to India's evolving role on the global stage.
    5. The European Union’s Strategy Toward the Indo-Pacific

      Giulio Pugliese, Thomas Christiansen
      The European Union's strategy toward the Indo-Pacific region is a comprehensive response to the geopolitical shifts in Asia, driven by the rise of China and the consequent realignment of global powers. The EU, traditionally focused on economic cooperation, is now confronting the complexities of a more assertive China and a changing geopolitical landscape. This chapter explores the EU's evolving perspective on the Indo-Pacific, the historical and strategic roots of the concept, and the challenges it faces in balancing economic interests with geopolitical realities. It also delves into the EU's formalized strategy for the region, the development of partnerships, and the challenges posed by internal differences and the alignment with US policies. The chapter concludes by assessing the future outlook of the EU's engagement with the Indo-Pacific, highlighting the need for a nuanced approach that balances economic opportunities with strategic imperatives.
    6. The EU, Sub-Saharan Africa, and South America: What Role for Geo-strategic Partnerships?

      Johanne Døhlie Saltnes, Carlos Cruz Infante
      The EU has long sought strategic partnerships with Sub-Saharan Africa and South America, driven by geopolitical ambitions and a desire for influence. However, these efforts have often been criticized for hypocrisy and a focus on self-interest. The chapter argues that for the EU to succeed, it must acknowledge the global South's struggle for recognition, be honest about its geopolitical motives, and work towards atoning for past colonial grievances. The analysis highlights the complexities of these partnerships, including the influence of China and Russia, and suggests that science diplomacy could be a key area for mutual cooperation and trust-building.
    7. How Relevant Are Continued Ties with Canada?

      John Erik Fossum, Amy Verdun
      The chapter delves into the historical and contemporary significance of EU-Canada relations, emphasizing the convergence of values and goals between the two entities. It assesses the impact of geographical constraints, such as Canada's proximity to the US, on their relationship and explores strategic areas for collaboration, including security, defence, trade, and energy. The chapter also highlights the role of the Arctic in EU-Canada relations and the potential for strengthening ties in response to geopolitical shifts, particularly the rise of autocracies and the changing dynamics within NATO. Additionally, it discusses the challenges posed by the Trump presidency and the importance of diversifying strategic supplies and strengthening bilateral cooperation in areas such as critical minerals and digital innovation.
  6. Correction to: The European Union’s Strategy Toward the Indo-Pacific

    Giulio Pugliese, Thomas Christiansen
    This chapter addresses a critical correction to the author listing of 'The European Union’s Strategy Toward the Indo-Pacific', a chapter in 'The European Union’s Geopolitics, The Future of Europe'. Due to a production oversight, the authors Thomas Christiansen and Giulio Pugliese were initially listed incorrectly. This correction rectifies the error, accurately crediting Giulio Pugliese as the first author and Thomas Christiansen as the second. The chapter emphasizes the importance of accurate attribution in scholarly work, ensuring that the contributions of each author are appropriately recognized. This correction is vital for maintaining the integrity and credibility of the research presented in the chapter.
Title
The European Union’s Geopolitics
Editors
Mathias Jopp
Johannes Pollak
Copyright Year
2024
Electronic ISBN
978-3-031-74587-4
Print ISBN
978-3-031-74586-7
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-74587-4

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