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19-12-2023 | Original Research

The externality of politically connected directors’ resignations on peers’ cost of debt

Authors: Ting Liu, Shaoqing Kang, Lihong Wang

Published in: Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting | Issue 3/2024

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Abstract

Using a sample of Chinese listed firms from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges from 2012 to 2018, we investigate the externality of the forced resignations of politically connected independent directors on the cost of debt for non-connected peers. Exploiting an exogenous shock caused by the 18th decree, we find that when politically connected independent directors resign from a Chinese listed firm, non-connected peers within the same industry experience a decrease in the cost of debt. Moreover, the sensitivity analyses further show that the above externality is more prominent in a subsample of Chinese listed non-SOEs, and in a subsample of Chinese listed firms operating in more competitive industries as well as in less developed financial markets, indicating that the externality is conditional on ownership type, industry competition and financial market development. Finally, further analyses show that peers tend to issue new debt after the political connection is disrupted. We also find that when peers have a higher creditworthiness and resignation firms have a lower creditworthiness, peers enjoy a lower cost of debt after resignations. These findings suggest that the resignations have a positive externality on peers’ cost of debt due to the elimination of preferential treatment and an improved resource allocation efficiency.

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Footnotes
1
Indeed, there are only 6 listed firms resigning politically independent directors in 2013. To exclude the possibility that our results are influenced by 6 resigning firms in 2013, we also regard the above 6 firms resigning politically connected independent directors as politically connected firms affected by the 18th decree in a robustness check. Our main conclusions are not affected.
 
2
Given that RES_FIN and REP_FIN represent changes in the directors’ background while GROWTH is a change form, we control their level form. Similarly, given that ΔAGE does not exhibit any change, we directly control AGE in our model.
 
3
To mitigate the concern that measurement error may confound our results, we use an alternative proxy for the cost of debt. Following extant literature (see also Gao et al. 2020), we adopt the cost of bond to capture the market rate of financing cost, which is measured as the difference between the annual yield to maturity on the firm’s outstanding traded bond and yield to maturity on a Treasury bond of comparable maturity. Similar to the main results, we find that non-connected peer firms enjoy a lower bond spread following the resignations.
 
4
As a robustness check, we further conduct a split-sample analysis according to whether the government has an influence over bank lending, and find that the coefficients of PEER_DUM and TREAT × POST are both significant across these subsamples with versus without a government influence. The results show that the externality of the disruption of political connection on peer firms’ cost of debt is not sensitive to lending institutions’ ownership type.
 
5
More exactly, financial-institutions activity is measured as the private sector credit to regional GDP; financial-institutions access is measured as the bank branches per 100,000 adults, and financial-institutions efficiency is measured as the accounting value of bank’s net interest revenues as a share of its assets. We aggregate the sub-indices into the final index by pooling together all series in a particular sub-index across all regions and all years to find the linear combination. Clearly, the aggregation is a weighted linear average of the underlying series, and a higher weight is given to a series that contributes more to the direction of common variation.
 
6
In addition, stock market investors in non-connected peers may also react positively to the resignations since peers can enjoy a favorable operating environment following resignations. Thereby, we examine the effect of the resignation on peers’ equity return. We find that the loss of political connections possessed by independent directors positively affect peers’ market reactions.
 
7
Earnings quality is measured as the absolute value of discretionary accruals computed from annual cross-sectional estimations of Jones model. Quality of information disclosure is measured as the score value for information disclosure of listed firms. Analyst following is equal to the average number of analysts making a forecast for firm’s earnings. Analyst earnings forecast is the absolute value of the forecast error multiplied by negative one, scaled by the stock price at the end of the prior fiscal year. Auditors is equal to one if the firm is audited by a BIG4, and zero otherwise.
 
8
Since the sample in the difference-in-difference analysis does not include the resignation firms, we thereby do not use this sample to examine whether the externality of resignation on peers’ cost of debt varies depending on the information transparency of peers and resignation firms.
 
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Metadata
Title
The externality of politically connected directors’ resignations on peers’ cost of debt
Authors
Ting Liu
Shaoqing Kang
Lihong Wang
Publication date
19-12-2023
Publisher
Springer US
Published in
Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting / Issue 3/2024
Print ISSN: 0924-865X
Electronic ISSN: 1573-7179
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11156-023-01232-6

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